Texans vs Jets Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 9
AMZN is handling the television coverage for this week nine AFC matchup between the Texans and Jets. The Jets are the favorite with a money line of -128, and the game is set for 8:15 ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Texans’ money line odds are +107, and the Jets are -2 point favorites, with the over/under line at 42 points. Both teams need to add their current season records.
Prediction at a Glance for Jets vs Texans
- We have the Texans winning this one by a score of 20 to 18
- Not only do we have the Texans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2
- We see this game finishing below the line of 42 points
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Texans +2 | Jets -2
- Total: 42
- MoneyLine: Texans +107 | Jets -128
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Texans vs. Jets Prediction: MoneyLine
Heading into week 9, the Texans are 17th in our offensive power rankings. They’re averaging 23.5 points per game, which ranks 14th in the NFL, and they’re 9th in passing yards per game with 232.5 on 35 attempts per game. Houston has been strong in the first quarter, averaging 6.2 points, which ranks 3rd in the league. However, they’ve struggled on 3rd down, converting just 38.9% of their attempts, and they rank 21st in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 8, C.J. Stroud threw for 285 yards and a touchdown, completing 25 of 37 passes in the Texans’ win over the Colts. Joe Mixon rushed for 102 yards on 25 carries, and Stefon Diggs had 5 catches for 81 yards. Houston scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter but managed only 3 points in the 4th quarter.
Heading into week 9, the Jets rank 20th in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 18.8 points per game, and 23rd in total yards, with 310.6 per game. New York has leaned heavily on the passing game, ranking 4th in attempts and 12th in passing yards. On the ground, they rank 30th in rushing yards per game, with 86.1, on 22.1 attempts per contest.
Aaron Rodgers is coming off a strong week 8 performance, throwing for 233 yards and 2 touchdowns with a passer rating of 111. Breece Hall had 80 rushing yards on 16 carries, while Garrett Wilson led the team with 113 receiving yards on 5 catches. The Jets scored 6 points in the 4th quarter against the Patriots in week 8.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction Texans +107 (Bet Now)
Texans vs. Jets Prediction: Total
In their 23-20 win over the Colts, the Texans’ defense was excellent on third downs, allowing just a 15.4% conversion rate. Despite giving up 163 rushing yards on just 26 attempts, they held the Colts to 303 total yards. Houston’s defense was tough against the pass, allowing just 10 completions for 140 yards (4.4 yards per attempt) and forcing one interception. The Texans’ defense also recorded five sacks in the game.
In their 25-22 loss to the Patriots, the Jets’ defense allowed just 136 passing yards, with New England managing only 18 completions. Despite this, they still gave up 247 yards overall. New York defended the run well, allowing just 3.6 yards per attempt and 111 yards on 31 attempts. The Patriots converted 46.7% of their third down attempts.
New York’s defense also came away with two sacks and limited the Patriots to just four big plays (plays of 20+ yards). However, the Jets’ offense turned the ball over six times, putting the defense in tough situations throughout the game.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 42 (Bet Now)
Texans vs. Jets Prediction: Spread
Heading into week 9, the Texans sit at 6-2, giving them a 94.9% chance of making the playoffs and an 83.2% chance of winning the AFC South. Houston is 3-0 in division play and 5-0 against AFC opponents, putting them in first place in the division and second in the conference. However, they rank 13th in our NFL power rankings. The Texans are 4-0 at home but just 2-2 on the road.
Houston is 3-5 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +1.1 points per game. They are 2-5 ATS as favorites and 1-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 2-6, with the under hitting in two straight games. Their games have averaged 45.9 points this season, compared to an average line of 45.6.
- Spanning across their last three games, Houston have gone 2-1. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2.
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
The Jets have now dropped five straight games, including a 25-22 loss to the Patriots in week 8. New York was a 7-point favorite in this matchup but couldn’t get the win on the road. This puts their record at 2-6, leaving them 4th in the AFC East. According to our projections, the Jets have a 9.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 1.0% chance of winning the division.
Heading into week 9, the Jets rank 16th in our power rankings. Their average scoring margin this season is -2.5 points per game, and they are 2-6 against the spread. Their O/U record is 4-3-1, with the over hitting in three consecutive games.
- Across New York’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. Across these games, their ATS record was just 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 1-2.
- In their last five games at home, the Jets have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 19 points per game in this stretch.
- Free Spread Prediction Texans +2 (Bet Now)
Texans vs. Jets Pick: Texans Moneyline (+107)
For this week nine matchup between the Texans and Jets, we have the Texans coming out on top by a score of 21-16. With this projection, we really like the Texans to cover as the road underdogs, as they are currently sitting at +2 point favorites. This is a good spot to take the Texans vs. the spread.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 42 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 37 points.