Steelers vs Ravens Prediction & NFL Odds For The Wild Card round
The Ravens are heavily favored at -530 on the money line as they face the Steelers at 8:00 ET on Saturday, January 11th. This AFC North matchup is being played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore and is available for viewing on AMZN. The Ravens are -9.5 point favorites, with the over/under line set at 45.5 points.
Prediction at a Glance for Ravens vs Steelers
- We have the Ravens winning this one by a score of 28 to 17
- Not only do we have the Ravens winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -9.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Steelers +9.5 | Ravens -9.5
- Total: 45.5
- MoneyLine: Steelers +399 | Ravens -530
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Steelers vs. Ravens Prediction: MoneyLine
Heading into the Wild Card round, the Steelers rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They’re 15th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 22.4, and 23rd in yards per game, with 319.4. Pittsburgh leans on the run game, ranking 4th in rushing attempts and 11th in rushing yards per game. On the other hand, they’re 27th in passing yards per game and 25th in passing attempts.
In their Week 3 win over the Chargers, the Steelers scored 10 points in the 4th quarter. Justin Fields threw for 245 yards, going 25/32, with one touchdown and one interception. Najee Harris led the team with 70 rushing yards on 18 carries, while Calvin Austin III had 4 catches for 95 yards and a touchdown.
Heading into the Wild Card round, the Ravens are ranked 1st in our offensive power rankings, averaging 30.5 points per game, which is 3rd in the NFL. They lead the league with 424.9 passing yards per game, despite ranking 27th in passing attempts. Baltimore is 7th in passing yards per game, with 237.4. On the ground, they are 2nd in rushing attempts and lead the NFL with 187.6 rushing yards per game. The Ravens are 3rd in 3rd-down conversions but rank 31st in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 6th in red zone attempts.
In week 3, Lamar Jackson posted a passer rating of 139, going 12/15 for 182 yards and a touchdown in a win over the Cowboys. Derrick Henry rushed for 151 yards and 2 touchdowns on 25 carries, while Nelson Agholor led the team with 56 receiving yards. Baltimore scored 14 points in the 1st quarter and converted all 3 of their red zone attempts.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction Ravens -530 (Bet Now)
Steelers vs. Ravens Prediction: Total
In their 19-17 loss to the Bengals, the Steelers’ defense allowed 314 yards and 37 completions through the air. Despite this, they did manage to force 4 sacks and an interception. Cincinnati found success through the air, completing 80.4% of their passes for 246 yards and converting 38.5% of their third down attempts.
On the ground, the Bengals managed just 68 yards on 21 attempts. Pittsburgh’s defense also won the tackles for loss battle, but ultimately couldn’t do enough to prevent the Bengals from pulling out a close 19-17 win.
In their most recent game, the Ravens’ defense was dominant, allowing just 10 points to the Browns. Cleveland managed only 56 yards rushing on 19 attempts and 174 yards passing. The Ravens’ defense picked off two passes and held the Browns to 33.3% on third down.
Baltimore’s defense also had two sacks and limited the Browns to a 52.9% completion percentage. Offensively, the Ravens put up 230 yards in their 35-10 win over the Browns.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 45.5 (Bet Now)
Steelers vs. Ravens Prediction: Spread
After ending the regular season on a four-game losing streak, the Steelers got back on track with a 18-10 win over the Falcons in week 1. Pittsburgh entered the game as 4-point underdogs but managed to pull off the road victory. The combined scoring of 28 points fell short of the 43-point line, marking the second straight under in Steelers games.
Pittsburgh finished the season 10-7, putting them 6th in our power rankings heading into the playoffs. Against the spread, the Steelers went 11-6, with a +1.9 scoring margin. They were 5-3 ATS as favorites and 6-3 as underdogs.
- Pittsburgh has put together a record of 0-3 in their last three games (regular season). Their record vs the spread sits at 1-2 in these matchups, while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
- Across the Steelers last five road games, the team averaged 24 points per game while allowing 30. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
After finishing the regular season at 12-5, the Ravens enter the playoffs on a four-game winning streak, including a 35-10 victory over the Browns in week 18. Baltimore was favored by 20 points and covered the spread, while the 45 combined points went over the 42-point line. The Ravens also covered in their previous three games, including a 21-point win over the Giants in week 15, a 17-point win over the Steelers in week 16, and a 29-point win over the Texans in week 17.
Heading into the playoffs, the Ravens rank 2nd in our NFL power rankings. They finished the season 10-6-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +9.2 points per game. Their O/U record was 13-4, with their games averaging 51.7 points compared to an average line of 47.3.
- Over their last three games, the Ravens have gone 2-1 straight up. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 2-1.
- Baltimore has played well in their previous five home games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 27 points per game while allowing 17. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- Free Spread Prediction Ravens -9.5 (Bet Now)
Steelers vs. Ravens Pick: Ravens -9.5
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Ravens to cover as heavy 9.5-point favorites in this week one postseason matchup between the Ravens and Steelers. We have the Ravens winning by a score of 26-15.
For this game, we are leaning towards taking the under, with the line sitting at 45.5 points. Our projections have this one finishing with just 41 combined points.
