Taphorn’s Twelve Pack: College Football Week 6
Here’s your weekly twelve pack of College Football betting advice, drink at your own risk. Crack open six bets that I like and six bets that I don’t and pray for a great weekend without a hangover.
Week 5 Record: 2-4. -1 units; Year to Date Record: 15-18. -7 units; Degenerate Little Birdie Record: 3-2
Six Bets I Like
1. Georgia Bulldogs -14.5 at Auburn Tigers
The house. The boat. The 401K. Bet it all on the Dawgs. I can’t for the life of me figure out why this line is only set at two touchdowns. Bo Nix had a few hero moments in Death Valley last week, but that Tigers defense isn’t close to what Kirby Smart’s team has going. Outside of some Jordan-Hare voodoo I don’t see this one being close.
Bet amount: 2 units
2. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -19.5 at Arkansas State Red Wolves (Thu)
I’m going to ride the wave a bit on the Chants. Arkansas State has lost four straight games and has given up 40+ points in each game. Not what you want to see when Grayson McCall and company are coming to town.
Bet amount: 2 units
3. LSU Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats -3.5
Rumors are flying that Coach O’s job is on the line in this game. Kentucky is coming off a big win against Florida and LSU lost to Auburn at home for the first time since the turn of the century. Big Blue Nation celebrates a win.
Bet amount: 1 unit
4. UCLA Bruins -16.5 at Arizona Wildcats
Chip Kelly’s team keeps getting hopes up only to end in a letdown. That may be hard for even him to do against a terrible Arizona team. Some late-night Pac-12 madness for a Bruins cover.
Bet amount: 1 unit
5. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -3.5 at Duke Blue Devils
Georgia Tech has gone full Jekyll and Hyde on the field this year. A loss to Northern Illinois followed up with a narrow upset of Clemson. A blowout win over North Carolina then an embarrassing loss to Pitt. I’ll bet on the good Jackets showing up this week over Duke.
Bet amount: ½ unit
6. Alabama Crimson Tide -17 at Texas A&M Aggies
This game was circled as the toughest on Bama’s schedule coming into the year, but that changed quickly. It’s still a night game at Kyle Field so anything could happen, but the Aggies have been anything but a quality football team this year.
Bet amount: ½ unit
Degenerate Little Birdie’s Bonus Bet: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -5.5 at Syracuse Orange
Your ACC leading Wake Forest Demon Deacons! Just like everyone predicted. The Orange aren’t the embarrassment they were a year ago and lead the ACC in sacks per game, but Wake is playing good football right now. Road cover for the Demon Deacons.
6 Bets to Avoid
1. Penn State Nittany Lions at Iowa Hawkeyes -2.5
I didn’t love Iowa a week ago, but the defense showed out again to the tune of six interceptions. Penn State has been the more tested team and I don’t expect many points in this one and it’ll be a toss-up.
2. Stanford Cardinal at Arizona State Sun Devils -12.5
Both teams coming off big wins a week ago, will Stanford have a let down after upsetting Oregon. A Friday night game in Tempe should give the Pac-12 some insights on where these teams stand.
3. Oklahoma Sooners -3.5 vs Texas Longhorns
Another high-quality matchup that will go a long way in deciding the Big 12 champion. Sarkisian’s team has been playing at a high level behind Casey Thompson and Bijan Robinson, can they keep it going against Lincoln Riley’s Sooners?
4. Arkansas Razorbacks at Ole Miss Rebels -5.5
Two teams that fell hard from grace a week ago. Beat downs against the top two ranked teams in the country don’t typically treat teams well, so let’s see which team responds better.
5. Connecticut Huskies -3.5 at UMass Minutemen
This game is included for comedic purposes. Arguably the two worst teams in the FBS. UConn came close to knocking off fellow bottom dweller Vanderbilt last week so maybe there’s some improvement there.
6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish +0.5 at Virginia Tech Hokies
Notre Dame’s offensive line and quarterback situation are a mess. The Irish got bullied by Cincinnati and going to Blacksburg isn’t much of a vacation. The Hokies are offensively challenged themselves so don’t look for many points to be scored.
Stay tuned for more NCAAF betting previews and picks over at USAWager.com!
