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Vikings vs Bears Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 12

ByUSA Wager

With the Vikings favored on the road, the money line odds have them at -174 as they take on the Bears at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 24th at Soldier Field in Chicago. The Bears’ money line odds are +148, and the point spread is -3 in favor of the Vikings. This week 12 matchup is being televised on FOX, and the over/under line is set at 39.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Bears vs Vikings

  • We have the Bears winning this one by a score of 24 to 19
  • Not only do we have the Bears winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 39.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Vikings -3 | Bears +3
  • Total: 39.5
  • MoneyLine: Vikings -174 | Bears +148

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Vikings vs. Bears Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 12, the Vikings rank 14th in our offensive power rankings. They are 9th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 24.4 points per game, and lead the league in first-quarter scoring. Minnesota ranks 12th in passing yards per game (224.6) and 19th in rushing (116.4 yards per game on 29.3 attempts). On 3rd down, they convert 39.7% of the time, which ranks 12th in the NFL, and they are 13th in red zone conversion percentage.

Sam Darnold bounced back from a rough week 10 performance with 246 passing yards and 2 touchdowns in week 11 against the Titans, posting a passer rating of 107. Aaron Jones had 39 rushing yards on 15 carries, while Justin Jefferson led the team with 6 catches for 81 yards. Minnesota scored 23 points in week 11, with 16 of those coming in the first half.

Heading into week 12, the Bears rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings, averaging 19.4 points per game, which is 21st in the NFL. They are 29th in the league in total yards per game, with 289, and 28th in passing yards per game, averaging 173.8 on 32.5 attempts per game. On the ground, Chicago ranks 22nd in rushing yards per game, with 115.2, on 27.8 attempts per contest. They have struggled on third down, converting just 31.9% of their attempts, but they rank 3rd in the NFL in red zone conversion percentage.

Caleb Williams threw for 231 yards in week 11, completing 23 of 31 passes against the Packers, after posting 120 yards in week 10 and 217 yards in week 9. He was sacked 3 times in week 11 after being sacked 9 times in week 10 and 6 times in week 9. D’Andre Swift led the Bears with 71 rushing yards on 14 carries in week 11, and Rome Odunze had 6 receptions for 65 yards.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Bears +148 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Bears Prediction: Total

In the Vikings’ 23-13 win over the Titans, Minnesota’s defense allowed just 33 rushing yards on 19 attempts, making it tough for Tennessee to run the ball effectively. They also recorded five sacks and held the Titans to a 40% third-down conversion rate. In the passing game, the Vikings gave up 261 yards through the air on 17 completions, with one touchdown allowed. They also came up with one interception and limited the Titans to a 54.8% completion percentage.

Minnesota’s defense was effective in generating pressure, as they not only had five sacks but also won the quarterback hit and tackles for loss differentials in this game.

In their 20-19 loss to the Packers, the Bears’ defense allowed 260 passing yards on just 13 completions. The Bears’ offense put them in some tough spots, as they allowed 366 total yards. They defended the run well, giving up just 106 yards on 25 attempts, and they also picked off one pass. Their run defense allowed just 4.2 yards per attempt.

Chicago’s defense was tough on third down, allowing only a 20% conversion rate. They also managed one sack and won the tackles for loss battle. Despite this, the Bears still came up just short in a 20-19 loss to the Packers.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 39.5 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Bears Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 12, the Vikings have won three straight games, including a 23-13 road win over the Titans in week 11. This puts Minnesota at 8-2, with a 95.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 10.4% chance of winning the NFC North. The Vikings are 1-1 in division games and 3-2 in conference play, and they currently rank 8th in our NFL power rankings.

Against the spread, the Vikings are 7-3, with a +7.4 scoring margin. They are 4-3 as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 3-7, with the under hitting in three straight games.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Minnesota have gone 3-0. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 0-3.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 22 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.

Chicago heads into week 12 against the Vikings looking to snap a four-game losing streak, which includes a 20-19 home loss to the Packers in week 11. The Bears were +6 in that matchup and managed to cover the spread despite the loss. The O/U line was 41, and the teams combined for 39 points, marking Chicago’s fourth straight under.

With a 4-6 record, the Bears rank 24th in our power rankings and have just a 1.1% chance of making the playoffs. They are 6-4 against the spread this season and have a +0.7 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 3-7, with their games averaging 38.1 points compared to an average line of 42.6.

  • Chicago has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). Across this span, their ATS record sits at 2-1 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • In their last five games at home, the Bears have a straight up record of 0-5 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 12 points per game in this stretch.
  • Free Spread Prediction Bears +3 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Bears Pick: Bears Moneyline (+148)

Our projected score for this Bears vs. Vikings matchup is 27-19 in favor of Chicago, making them our pick to not only win but also cover the spread. Currently, the Bears are 3-point favorites, and with our projections, we like them to cover as home underdogs.

For this week 12 matchup, we also have a point total projection of 46 points, making the over an appealing bet with the line sitting at just 39.5 points.

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