Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Raiders vs Chargers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 1

ByUSA Wager

The Chargers are favored on the money line at -163 as they face the Raiders in a week one matchup at 4:05 ET. The Chargers are -3 point favorites on the point spread, and the over/under line is set at 40 points. This AFC West matchup is being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA, with CBS handling the television coverage.

Prediction at a Glance for Chargers vs Raiders

  • We have the Raiders winning this one by a score of 26 to 21
  • Not only do we have the Raiders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 40 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Raiders +3 | Chargers -3
  • Total: 40
  • MoneyLine: Raiders +137 | Chargers -163

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Raiders vs. Chargers Prediction: MoneyLine

Overall, the Raiders’ offense struggled last season, finishing 27th in both yards per game and yards per play. They were also 27th in scoring, averaging 19.5 points per game. One of the main issues was their running game, which ranked 30th in yards and 27th in attempts.

In the passing game, the Raiders were 22nd in attempts, averaging 198.8 yards per game (23rd). For the season, they averaged 289.5 yards per game. On third downs, the Raiders were 22nd in the league, converting at a rate of 35.6%.

At home, the Chargers were 2-7, and on the road, they were 3-5. The Chargers were 5-5 as the favorite and winless in seven games as the underdog. Their over/under record for the season was 5-12. The Chargers finished the 2023 season with a 43.8 combined average in their games. The Chargers went 5-4 against below .500 teams and 0-8 against teams with winning records.

The Chargers’ ATS record for the season was 6-11. They were 3-5 vs. the spread on the road and 3-6 vs. the spread at home. When favored, the Chargers went 5-5 ATS, but as the underdog, they went 1-6 ATS.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Raiders +137 (Bet Now)

Raiders vs. Chargers Prediction: Total

On the road, the Raiders’ defense gave up 23.9 points per game, which was 19th in the NFL. However, at home, they were the 2nd best unit, allowing just 15.6 points per game. Overall, they finished 7th in the league, giving up 19.5 points per game. In terms of yards allowed, they were 14th, giving up an average of 330.9 yards per game.

Las Vegas’ defense was tough against the pass, giving up only 212.4 passing yards per game and the 5th fewest passing touchdowns. They also performed well against the run, giving up the 7th fewest rushing touchdowns and the 9th fewest rushing yards per attempt. However, opponents were able to convert on 41.4% of their third down attempts against the Raiders.

The Chargers’ defense allowed 23.4 points per game last season, ranking 23rd in the league. They struggled to defend the pass, giving up 249.8 passing yards per game (29th). Overall, they allowed 362.9 yards per game, ranking 28th in the NFL. Despite these numbers, they did finish 9th in both passing and rushing touchdowns allowed.

One of the bright spots for the Chargers was their ability to create turnovers, as they ranked 10th in the league with 21 takeaways. They also had the 7th most sacks last season. However, their overall defensive power ranking was 28th, and they finished the season with a tough road stretch, giving up 23.8 points per game compared to 23.1 points at home.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 40 (Bet Now)

Raiders vs. Chargers Prediction: Spread

The Raiders went 8-9 last season, finishing 2nd in the AFC West with a 4-2 record against division rivals. They struggled on the road, going only 2-6, but were much better at home, going 6-3. Overall, they were 8-9, and their home vs. road splits played a big role in their season.

Against the spread, the Raiders were 10-6-1, and they were 6-2-1 at home and 4-4 on the road. Their over/under record was 6-11, with their games averaging 39 combined points per game. This was 28th in the league last season.

  • The Raiders have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. In terms of betting, the team went 3-0 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 2-1.
  • Across their last five road contests, Las Vegas has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-4, while averaging 15 points per game.

The Chargers’ 2023 season was a struggle, as they only managed five wins, going 5-12 overall. They were winless as the underdog, going 0-7, but they were 5-5 when favored. Within the AFC-West, the Chargers went 1-5, and they finished 4th in the division. Against below .500 teams, they were 5-4, but winless against teams with above .500 records (0-8).

At home, the Chargers went 2-7, and on the road, they were 3-5. Their over/under record for the season was 5-12, and their games averaged 43.8 points. The Chargers went 6-11 against the spread, with a 3-6 record at home and a 3-5 record on the road.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Los Angeles has a record of 0-3. Against the spread, Los Angeles went 1-2 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • In their last five games at home, the Chargers have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 16 points per game in these contests.
  • Free Spread Prediction Raiders +3 (Bet Now)

Raiders vs. Chargers Pick: Raiders Moneyline (+137)

Our model has the Raiders coming out on top in their week one matchup against the Chargers, with a final score prediction of 25-19 in favor of the Raiders. With the point spread sitting at -3 in favor of the Raiders, we like them to cover as the road favorites.

For the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the over, as the line is currently sitting at just 40 points, and our projections have these teams combining for 44 points. So, if you are looking to place a bet on this one, take the over while there is still some value in the line.

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