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Panthers vs Buccaneers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 17

ByUSA Wager

The Panthers and Buccaneers will face off on Sunday, December 29th at 1:00 ET on CBS. The Buccaneers are the heavy favorite with a money line of -416, and the point spread is -8 in favor of the Buccaneers. This week 17 NFC South matchup is being played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, and the over/under line is set at 49.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Buccaneers vs Panthers

  • We have the Buccaneers winning this one by a score of 27 to 23
  • Even though we like the Buccaneers to win, our ATS pick is to take the Panthers at +8
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 49.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Panthers +8 | Buccaneers -8
  • Total: 49.5
  • MoneyLine: Panthers +322 | Buccaneers -416

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Panthers vs. Buccaneers Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 17, the Panthers are 24th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 26th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.9, and are 30th in passing yards per game with 183.5, despite being 15th in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 16th in rushing yards per game, averaging 112.3 on 24.5 attempts per game. Carolina ranks 27th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 35.3% success rate, but they are 13th in red zone conversion percentage.

Bryce Young is coming off a strong performance in week 16, throwing for 158 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception, posting a passer rating of 107. Chuba Hubbard led the rushing attack with 25 carries for 152 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Adam Thielen had 5 catches for 43 yards and a touchdown. Carolina scored 7 points in the 4th quarter and added 6 points in overtime to secure the win over the Cardinals.

Heading into week 17, the Buccaneers are 9th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 28.5 points per game, which is 5th in the NFL. They rank 3rd in passing yards per game (246.1) and 7th in rushing yards per game (143.7), with 33.8 passing attempts and 27.5 rushing attempts per game, both 12th in the league. Tampa Bay is 2nd in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 48.4% success rate, and they are 5th in red zone attempts, though they rank 29th in red zone conversion percentage at 5.2%.

Baker Mayfield threw for 303 yards (31/43) and 2 touchdowns in week 16 against the Cowboys, posting a passer rating of 97. Mike Evans led the team with 69 receiving yards, and Bucky Irving rushed for 68 yards on 16 carries. Tampa Bay scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter and 7 in the 4th, converting 6 of 12 3rd-down attempts and going 3/3 in the red zone.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Buccaneers -416 (Bet Now)

Panthers vs. Buccaneers Prediction: Total

Despite giving up 206 rushing yards on just 29 attempts, the Panthers’ defense was able to hold the Cardinals to 176 yards passing in their most recent game. Carolina won 36-30 in overtime, and the Panthers’ defense forced one interception and allowed just one passing touchdown. Arizona finished with 382 total yards, but the Panthers’ defense tightened up when needed, holding the Cardinals to 46.2% on third down.

Carolina’s defense also came away with three sacks and had a chance to improve on their 62.5% completion percentage allowed. The Panthers’ run defense will be a focal point for improvement going forward, as allowing 206 yards on the ground is not sustainable over the course of a season.

In their 26-24 loss to the Cowboys, the Buccaneers’ defense gave up 286 passing yards on 26 completions. Despite their struggles against the pass, they did limit Dallas to just 31 rushing yards on 20 attempts. The Bucs allowed the Cowboys to convert 33.3% of their third down attempts and gave up one passing touchdown.

Tampa Bay’s defense managed just one sack in the game and allowed Dallas quarterbacks to complete 74.3% of their passes. The Bucs also missed out on creating much pressure, as they tied the Cowboys in the quarterback hit battle.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 49.5 (Bet Now)

Panthers vs. Buccaneers Prediction: Spread

With a 4-11 record, the Panthers are at the bottom of our NFL power rankings heading into week 17. Carolina is 1-5 on the road this season and 3-6 at home. They are 4th in the NFC South with a 1-3 division record and are 15th in the NFC with a 3-7 conference record.

Carolina has an average scoring margin of -11 points per game and is 7-8 against the spread. They are 7-7 ATS as underdogs and 0-1 as favorites. Their O/U record is 11-4, with the over hitting in their last two games. Panthers games have averaged 48.7 points this season, with an average O/U line of 43.3.

  • Across Carolina’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. They have held up well vs the spread in these matchups, going 2-1 as well as an over-under record of 2-1.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Panthers have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 16 points per game in this stretch.

Heading into week 17, the Buccaneers have a 58.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 51.7% chance of winning the NFC South. They currently rank 8th in our NFL power rankings. Tampa Bay is 8-7, including a 5-3 record on the road and a 3-4 mark at home. In division play, they are 2-2. Against the spread, the Bucs are 9-6, with a +5 average scoring margin. Their O/U record is 10-5, with the over hitting in two straight games.

After three straight wins, the Bucs couldn’t get past the Cowboys in week 16, losing 26-24. Tampa Bay was favored by 4.5 points but couldn’t cover the spread. The combined scoring of 50 points was enough to hit the over. In week 15, the Bucs beat the Chargers 40-17, and in week 14, they defeated the Raiders 28-13.

  • The Buccaneers have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. Across this span, their ATS record sits at 2-1 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • In their last five home games, Tampa Bay has averaged 28 points per game while allowing 20. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Free Spread Prediction Panthers +8 (Bet Now)

Panthers vs. Buccaneers Pick: Panthers +8

Our pick vs. the spread in this week 17 matchup between the Panthers and Buccaneers is to take the Panthers to cover as road underdogs. Even though the Panthers are 8-point underdogs, our projected final score has the Buccaneers winning 29-25.

For this one, we are actually taking the Panthers to cover at +8. As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 49.5 points, we like the over, with a projected combined score of 54 points.

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