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Packers vs Lions Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 14

ByUSA Wager

The Lions are favored at -185 on the money line as they face the Packers at 8:15 ET on Thursday, December 5th. The Lions are -3.5 point favorites, and the game is being televised by AMZN. The over/under line is set at 51 points for this week 14 NFC North matchup at Ford Field in Detroit.

Prediction at a Glance for Lions vs Packers

  • We have the Packers winning this one by a score of 29 to 24
  • Not only do we have the Packers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 51 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Packers +3.5 | Lions -3.5
  • Total: 51
  • MoneyLine: Packers +156 | Lions -185

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Packers vs. Lions Prediction: MoneyLine

Jordan Love has been impressive over his last three games, culminating in a 274-yard performance in week 13 against the Dolphins, where he posted a passer rating of 129, completing 21 of 28 passes with 2 touchdowns and no interceptions. Green Bay has also been strong on third down, converting 5 of 11 attempts in week 13, and they scored on 3 of 5 red zone trips. Josh Jacobs, who is dealing with a calf injury, had 43 yards on 19 carries in week 13, while Tucker Kraft led the team with 6 receptions for 78 yards.

Heading into week 14, the Packers are 9th in our offensive power rankings. They are 7th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 26.5 points per game, and they rank 3rd in total yards with 382.4 per game. Despite being 29th in passing attempts, Green Bay is 8th in passing yards, averaging 233.9 per game. On the ground, they are 5th in rushing, with 148.5 yards per game.

Jared Goff has been solid for the Lions, posting a passer rating of 100 in week 13, with 221 yards and 2 touchdowns on 21/34 passing against the Bears. He has avoided interceptions in his last three games, including a 269-yard performance in week 12 and a 412-yard outing in week 11. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the team in receiving in week 13, with 5 catches for 73 yards, following his 161-yard, 2-touchdown game in week 11. David Montgomery rushed for 88 yards on 21 carries in week 13.

Detroit ranks 2nd in our offensive power rankings, leading the NFL with 31.9 points per game. They are 2nd in total yards per game (395.2) and 5th in passing yards, despite ranking 26th in passing attempts. The Lions are 4th in rushing yards and 3rd in rushing attempts. They rank 4th in 3rd-down conversions but are 27th in red zone conversion percentage.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Packers +156 (Bet Now)

Packers vs. Lions Prediction: Total

Green Bay’s defense gave up 336 passing yards to the Dolphins in their most recent game, but still came out on top with a 30-17 win. The Packers’ run defense was excellent, allowing just 39 yards on 14 attempts. Despite the high number of completions (37) by Miami, the Packers limited them to 17 points.

The Packers’ defense also recorded five sacks and held the Dolphins to a 28.6% conversion rate on third down. Even though Miami completed 80.4% of their passes, Green Bay’s ability to pressure the quarterback played a big role in the game.

In their 23-20 win over the Bears, the Lions’ defense allowed just 78 rushing yards on 15 attempts. Despite giving up three passing touchdowns, they held Chicago to 223 yards through the air and limited them to a 51.3% completion percentage. Detroit’s defense also recorded five sacks and held the Bears to a 46.7% third-down conversion rate.

The Lions’ defense put pressure on the quarterback throughout the game, coming out ahead in both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials. This helped compensate for the three passing touchdowns allowed and contributed to the overall defensive effort in the win.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 51 (Bet Now)

Packers vs. Lions Prediction: Spread

With three consecutive wins, the Packers have improved to 9-3 this season, giving them a 99.1% chance of making the playoffs according to our projections. Green Bay currently ranks 4th in our NFL power rankings and 6th in the NFC standings. Despite their strong record, they are just 1-2 in division games, leaving them 3rd in the NFC North. The Packers are 5-2 at home and 4-1 on the road.

Against the spread, the Packers are 6-6, with two straight ATS wins. They covered the 3.5-point spread in their 30-17 win over the Dolphins in week 13 and also covered against the 49ers in week 12. Their O/U record is 5-6-1, with their games averaging 46.5 points this season.

  • Green Bay has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 1-2 on the over/under.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Green Bay has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 26 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.

Heading into week 14 against the Packers, the Lions sit atop our power rankings and have a 10-game winning streak. Detroit is 11-1 this season, giving them a 100% chance of making the playoffs and an 84.7% chance of winning the NFC North. In division games, the Lions are 3-0, and they are 7-1 against NFC opponents. They are 5-1 at home and 6-0 on the road.

Detroit has a +15 scoring margin and is 9-3 against the spread. They are 8-3 as favorites and 1-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 5-6-1, with the under hitting in two straight games. Their games have averaged 48.8 points, while the O/U line has averaged 49.6.

  • The Lions have posted a 3-0 record in their previous three games. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 2-1 on the over/under.
  • The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last home games and 5-0 straight-up.
  • Free Spread Prediction Packers +3.5 (Bet Now)

Packers vs. Lions Pick: Packers Moneyline (+156)

Our prediction for this week 14 matchup between the Packers and Lions is to take Green Bay to cover as road underdogs. The point spread lines have the Packers at +3.5, and we have them winning 29-22, making them our best bet vs. the spread.

For the over/under line, we are going with the over, with a projected combined score of 51 points. With the line sitting at 51 points, we think there is some good value in taking the over for this matchup.

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