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Falcons vs Raiders Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 15

ByUSA Wager

ESPN will broadcast the week 15 non-conference matchup between the Falcons and Raiders from Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The Falcons are favored on the road with a money line of -227, and the Raiders’ money line sits at +185. The game is set for 8:30 ET, and the Falcons are -4.5 point favorites, with the over/under line at 44 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Raiders vs Falcons

  • We have the Falcons winning this one by a score of 23 to 21
  • Even though we like the Falcons to win, our ATS pick is to take the Raiders at +4.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 44 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Falcons -4.5 | Raiders +4.5
  • Total: 44
  • MoneyLine: Falcons -227 | Raiders +185

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Falcons vs. Raiders Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 15, the Falcons rank 13th in our offensive power rankings. They are 17th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.4, and they rank 8th in total yards per game with 371. Atlanta has leaned on the passing game, with Kirk Cousins under center, ranking 2nd in the league with 250.2 passing yards per game on 34 attempts per contest. On the ground, they average 120.8 rushing yards per game, which ranks 12th in the NFL, on 27.6 attempts per game.

In week 14, Cousins threw for 344 yards on 23/37 passing, but he also had 2 interceptions and failed to throw a touchdown. Darnell Mooney led the receiving corps with 6 catches for 142 yards, while Bijan Robinson rushed for 92 yards and a touchdown on 22 carries. The Falcons scored 21 points against the Vikings, with 11 of those coming in the 3rd quarter.

Heading into week 15, the Raiders rank 32nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in both points per game (18.2) and yards per game (303). Despite ranking 4th in passing attempts per game (37.5), they are 16th in passing yards, averaging 223.9 per game. In the run game, they are 29th in attempts and last in rushing yards, with 79.1 per game. On 3rd down, they rank 26th in conversion rate at 34.3%, but they are 4th in red zone conversion percentage.

Against the Bucs in week 14, Las Vegas struggled, scoring just 13 points and failing to score in the 1st and 3rd quarters. Aidan O’Connell threw for 104 yards, completing 11 of 19 passes with one interception. Sincere McCormick led the team with 78 rushing yards on 15 carries, and Michael Mayer had 7 catches for 68 yards.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Falcons -227 (Bet Now)

Falcons vs. Raiders Prediction: Total

In their 42-21 loss to the Vikings, the Falcons’ defense struggled to defend the pass, giving up 318 yards through the air and allowing five passing touchdowns. Minnesota’s passing attack was efficient, completing 78.6% of their passes and converting 66.7% of their third down attempts. Despite recording four sacks and hitting the quarterback more often than the Vikings, Atlanta’s defense couldn’t slow down Minnesota’s passing game.

On the ground, the Falcons gave up 115 yards on 24 attempts, averaging 4.8 yards per attempt. The Atlanta defense will need to improve in coverage and on critical downs after this performance.

In their 28-13 loss to the Buccaneers, the Raiders’ defense allowed 420 total yards and 152 rushing yards on just 26 attempts. They gave up 268 yards through the air on 18 completions, including three passing touchdowns. Despite this, they did come up with two interceptions. The Raiders allowed Tampa Bay to average 9.2 yards per attempt in the passing game.

Las Vegas did manage to get to the quarterback, finishing with four sacks and winning the quarterback hit differential. They also had three more tackles for loss than the Buccaneers. However, the Raiders struggled on third down, allowing Tampa Bay to convert 41.7% of their third-down opportunities.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 44 (Bet Now)

Falcons vs. Raiders Prediction: Spread

Atlanta’s losing streak now stands at four games, dropping them to 6-7 on the season. After a week 9 win over the Cowboys, the Falcons have suffered three straight losses, including a 42-21 defeat to the Vikings in week 14. They also fell to the Chargers in week 13 and were blown out 38-6 by the Broncos in week 11. Despite their recent struggles, Atlanta is 2nd in the NFC South with a 4-1 division record.

Our projections give the Falcons a 30.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 26% chance of winning the division. They rank 19th in our NFL power rankings. Atlanta has an average scoring margin of -4.2 points per game and is 5-8 against the spread this season. Their O/U record is also 5-8, with their games averaging 47 points compared to an average line of 46.5.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Atlanta has a record of 0-3. Against the spread, Atlanta went 0-3 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Atlanta has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 22 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.

Heading into week 15, the Raiders are on a nine-game losing streak, dropping their record to 2-11. Las Vegas ranks 25th in our NFL power rankings and has a -9.6 scoring margin this season. Against the spread, they are 5-8, including a 5-7 record as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-5, with the under hitting in their last two games.

After a week 4 win over the Browns, the Raiders have lost nine straight, including a 28-13 loss to the Buccaneers in week 14. They couldn’t cover the 6.5-point spread, and the 41 combined points fell short of the 47-point line.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Las Vegas has a record of 0-3. The team’s record vs the spread was just 1-2, in addition to an over-under mark of 3-0.
  • Across their five previous home games, Las Vegas has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-5 while averaging 17 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Raiders +4.5 (Bet Now)

Falcons vs. Raiders Pick: Raiders +4.5

Our pick vs. the spread in this week 15 matchup between the Falcons and Raiders is to take the Raiders to cover as home underdogs. Right now, the point spread line has the Raiders at +4.5, and although our score prediction has the Falcons winning 21-18, the Raiders are our pick vs. the spread.

For the over/under line, with the line sitting at 44 points, we like the under, with a projected combined score of 39 points.

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