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Dolphins vs Browns Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 17

ByUSA Wager

The Dolphins are favored on the road with a money line of -296 as they take on the Browns in a week 17 AFC matchup. The Browns are +240 on the money line, and the point spread has the Dolphins -6.5. The over/under line is set at 40 points, and this one is being televised on CBS. The Browns are 0-0 and the Dolphins are 0-0.

Prediction at a Glance for Browns vs Dolphins

  • We have the Browns winning this one by a score of 22 to 13
  • Not only do we have the Browns winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 40 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Dolphins -6.5 | Browns +6.5
  • Total: 40
  • MoneyLine: Dolphins -296 | Browns +240

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Dolphins vs. Browns Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 17, the Dolphins are 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 20.3, and 17th in yards per game with 327.9. Miami ranks 15th in passing yards per game (222.1) and 24th in rushing yards per game (105.7). They are 17th in the league in 3rd-down conversions and 26.1% in the red zone, which also ranks 17th.

Tua Tagovailoa bounced back from a 3-interception game in week 15, throwing for 215 yards and a touchdown with no interceptions against the 49ers in week 16. De’Von Achane had 120 rushing yards on 17 carries and led the team in receiving with 6 catches for 70 yards.

Heading into week 17, the Browns sit at the bottom of our offensive power rankings. They are 30th in the league in points per game, averaging 16.3, and 25th in yards per game with 307.2. Despite leading the NFL in passing attempts per game (38.7), they rank 19th in passing yards per game (211.3). Cleveland is 24th in rushing attempts and 27th in rushing yards, averaging 95.9 per game. They have struggled on third down, converting just 28.4% of their attempts, which ranks 31st in the NFL. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, leading the league with a 61.3% conversion rate.

In week 16, the Browns scored just 6 points in their loss to the Bengals, all coming in the 3rd quarter. Dorian Thompson-Robinson threw for 157 yards on 20/34 passing, with 2 interceptions and no touchdowns. He was also sacked 5 times. Jerome Ford led the team in rushing with 92 yards on 11 carries, while David Njoku had 8 receptions for 66 yards.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Browns +240 (Bet Now)

Dolphins vs. Browns Prediction: Total

In their 29-17 win over the 49ers, the Dolphins’ defense gave up 374 total yards. They were relatively effective against the run, allowing just 81 yards on 18 attempts (4.5 yards per attempt). Miami gave up 293 passing yards, with San Francisco completing 65% of their passes. The Dolphins did come up with one interception and recorded three sacks in the game.

Miami held the 49ers to a 38.5% conversion rate on third downs and also won the battle in quarterback hits, finishing with a +5 differential compared to the 49ers.

In their 24-6 loss to the Bengals, the Browns’ defense allowed 76.7% completions to opposing quarterbacks. Despite recording four sacks, the Browns allowed three passing touchdowns and 210 yards through the air. The Bengals also found success on the ground, rushing for 116 yards on just 22 attempts.

Cleveland’s defense struggled to get off the field, as the Bengals converted 36.4% of their third down attempts. Even though the Browns’ pass rush was effective at times (4 sacks), they lost the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials in this game.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 40 (Bet Now)

Dolphins vs. Browns Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 17, the Dolphins sit at 7-8 after a 29-17 win over the 49ers in week 16. Miami was a 1.5-point underdog in this matchup, but they came away with the victory, outscoring San Francisco 16-7 in the second half. The combined 46 points narrowly went over the 44-point line. Before this game, the Dolphins had lost two in a row, including a 20-12 defeat to the Texans in week 15.

Miami currently has an 8.3% chance of making the playoffs and is 14th in our power rankings. They are 6-9 against the spread, with a -1.6 average scoring margin. Their O/U record is 7-8, with their games averaging 42.3 points compared to an average line of 45.1.

  • Miami will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread and posting an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 17 points per game in this stretch.

With a 3-12 record, the Browns sit 4th in the AFC North and 23rd in our power rankings. They have a -9 scoring margin and are 4-11 against the spread, including 0-4 as favorites. Their O/U record is 6-9, with the under hitting in three straight games.

Cleveland has lost four straight games, including a 24-6 loss to the Bengals in week 16. Before that, they fell to the Chiefs (28-7) in week 15 and the Steelers (27-14) in week 14. Their last win was a 24-19 victory over the Steelers in week 12.

  • Across Cleveland’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. The team’s record vs the spread was just 1-2, in addition to an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Through their last five home games, Cleveland has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 0-5 while averaging 16 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Browns +6.5 (Bet Now)

Dolphins vs. Browns Pick: Browns Moneyline (+240)

Our pick against the spread is to take the Browns to cover as home underdogs in this week 17 matchup against the Dolphins. The point spread line currently has the Browns at +6.5, and we have them winning 20-15.

For this one, we also like the under pick for the over/under, with a projected combined score of 35 points, which is well below the O/U line of 40 points.

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