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Commanders vs Eagles Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 11

ByUSA Wager

The Eagles are favored at -174 on the money line as they host the Commanders at 8:15 ET on AMZN. Washington is +147 on the money line and +3.5 on the point spread. The over/under line is sitting at 48.5 points for this week 11 NFC East matchup. The Eagles and Commanders need to add their records.

Prediction at a Glance for Eagles vs Commanders

  • We have the Eagles winning this one by a score of 26 to 23
  • Even though we like the Eagles to win, our ATS pick is to take the Commanders at +3.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 48.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Commanders +3.5 | Eagles -3.5
  • Total: 48.5
  • MoneyLine: Commanders +147 | Eagles -174

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 11, the Commanders are 3rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 29, and 4th in yards per game with 377. Despite ranking 26th in passing attempts, they are 11th in passing yards, with Jayden Daniels throwing for 202 yards in week 10. On the ground, Washington ranks 4th in rushing attempts and yards per game, averaging 153.5 yards. They are 5th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 44.7% success rate.

Washington has struggled in the red zone, ranking 28th in conversion percentage, despite leading the league in red zone attempts. Daniels failed to throw a touchdown in week 10, but the Commanders scored 3 rushing touchdowns, including 2 from Austin Ekeler. Terry McLaurin had 5 catches for 113 yards in week 10, following a 125-yard performance in week 8.

Jalen Hurts has been on a roll, posting a passer rating of 115 in week 10 against the Cowboys, with 202 yards and 2 touchdowns on 14/20 passing. Before that, he had back-to-back games with a passer rating of 132, throwing for 230 yards in week 9 and 236 yards in week 8. Saquon Barkley rushed for 66 yards on 14 carries in week 10, following his 159-yard performance in week 9 and 108 yards in week 8. A.J. Brown led the Eagles in receiving in week 10, with 5 catches for 109 yards.

Heading into week 11, the Eagles rank 6th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 25.9, and are also 6th in total yards per game with 373.9. They have leaned heavily on the run game, leading the league in rushing attempts and ranking 2nd in rushing yards per game with 176.1. However, they are 20th in passing yards per game, averaging 197.8, and rank 31st in passing attempts per game.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Eagles -174 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction: Total

In their most recent game, Washington’s defense allowed just 172 passing yards on 14 completions to the Steelers, but they still gave up three passing touchdowns in a 28-27 loss. The Commanders struggled against the run, allowing 140 yards on 43 attempts, and Pittsburgh finished with 312 total yards. Washington did come up with one interception and recorded three sacks in the game. Opposing quarterbacks completed just 48.3% of their passes against Washington.

On third downs, the Commanders allowed the Steelers to convert 43.8% of their chances. Despite their defensive efforts, Washington’s offense couldn’t do enough to secure the win.

In their 34-6 win over the Cowboys, the Eagles’ defense was dominant, allowing just 49 passing yards and forcing Dallas to complete only 58.6% of their passes. The Eagles defended the run well, giving up just 97 yards on 24 attempts (4.0 yards per attempt). Dallas struggled on third down, converting only 21.4% of their third down attempts. Philadelphia also came away with three sacks and one interception.

The Eagles’ defense didn’t allow a single touchdown and held the Cowboys to just 146 total yards in the game. This was a strong bounce-back performance for Philadelphia after giving up 42 points to the Buccaneers in the previous week.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 48.5 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction: Spread

After winning three straight games, the Commanders fell at home to the Steelers in week 10, bringing their record to 7-3. Washington entered the game as 1.5-point favorites but couldn’t hold on, losing 28-27. The combined scoring of 55 points went over the 45.5-point line. Before this, the Commanders had a narrow 27-22 win over the Giants in week 9 and a 40-7 victory over the Panthers in week 7.

Heading into week 11, Washington has an 89.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 36.5% chance of winning the NFC East. They are 2-0 in division games and 5-1 in conference play. Against the spread, the Commanders are 7-2-1, with a +7.3 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 7-3, with the over hitting in two straight games.

  • Over their last three games, the Commanders have gone 2-1 straight up. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • The Commanders are 3-1-1 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.

With their 34-6 win over the Cowboys in week 10, the Eagles extended their winning streak to five games, bringing their record to 7-2. This run includes a 28-23 victory over the Jaguars in week 9 and a 20-point win over the Bengals in week 8. Philadelphia is now 2-0 in the NFC East and sits atop the division standings. Our projections give them a 63.4% chance of winning the division and a 95.3% chance of making the playoffs.

Heading into week 11, the Eagles rank 7th in our NFL power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +8 points per game and are 5-4 against the spread. They are 3-4 ATS as favorites and 2-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-5, with their games averaging 43.8 points compared to an average line of 45.4.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Philadelphia have gone 2-1. However, they have only gone 0-3 vs. the spread over this stretch. Their over-under record in these three games was 1-2.
  • Philadelphia has played well in their previous five home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 26 points per game while allowing 14. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • Free Spread Prediction Commanders +3.5 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Eagles Pick: Commanders +3.5

With the line sitting at 48.5 points, our pick is to take the over, as we have this week 11 matchup between the Eagles and Commanders finishing with 51 combined points. As for the point spread, we have the Eagles coming out on top by a score of 27-24.

However, with the Commanders at +3.5, our pick vs. the spread is to take them as the road underdogs to cover the spread.

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