Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Buccaneers vs Falcons Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 5

ByUSA Wager

The Falcons are favored at -124 on the money line as they host the Buccaneers at 8:15 ET on Thursday, October 3rd. The Falcons have a point spread of -1.5, and the over/under line is 43.5 points. This week five matchup is being televised by AMZN, and the Falcons are the favorite despite not having their record added yet. The Buccaneers’ record is also missing.

Prediction at a Glance for Falcons vs Buccaneers

  • We have the Falcons winning this one by a score of 22 to 18
  • Not only do we have the Falcons winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 43.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Buccaneers +1.5 | Falcons -1.5
  • Total: 43.5
  • MoneyLine: Buccaneers +104 | Falcons -124

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Prediction: MoneyLine

Baker Mayfield threw for 347 yards and completed 63% of his passes in the Buccaneers’ 33-16 win over the Eagles. Tampa Bay’s offense put up 29 first downs and 334 yards passing. Mayfield threw two touchdowns and was not intercepted.

Mike Evans led the team with 94 receiving yards and one touchdown. The Buccaneers struggled to get the running game going, with Bucky Irving leading the team with just 49 yards on 10 carries. Mayfield also rushed for a touchdown.

Atlanta’s offense managed just 14 first downs in their 26-24 win over the Saints, with Kirk Cousins throwing for 238 yards and completing 60% of his passes. The Falcons struggled to establish the run, finishing with only 88 yards on 15 attempts. Cousins was also the team’s leading rusher, with Tyler Allgeier gaining 60 yards on eight carries.

Drake London led the Falcons with 64 receiving yards. Atlanta’s passing game struggled to find the endzone, as they failed to record a passing touchdown and Cousins was intercepted once. The Falcons’ offense also allowed one sack and had a 36.4% third-down conversion rate.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Falcons -124 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Prediction: Total

The Buccaneers’ defense was dominant in their 33-16 win over the Eagles, recording six sacks and holding Philadelphia to just 114 passing yards. Tampa Bay’s pass rush was also effective, as they hit the quarterback four more times than the Eagles did. The Eagles managed just 113 yards on 20 rushing attempts, averaging only 5.6 yards per attempt. Tampa Bay’s run defense was tough to crack, allowing Philadelphia to gain just 227 total yards.

Despite allowing the Saints to convert on 53.8% of their third down attempts, the Falcons’ defense came up with a good performance in their 26-24 win over the Saints. They limited New Orleans to 131 rushing yards on 33 attempts and held them to 77 yards below their season average. The Falcons’ defense also defended 28 passing attempts, allowing 235 passing yards.

Their secondary didn’t allow a passing touchdown, and they came up with one interception. Additionally, Atlanta’s defense recorded one sack and won the tackles for loss battle by a margin of +2.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 43.5 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Prediction: Spread

The Buccaneers are now 3-1 after their 33-16 win over the Eagles. Despite being 1-point underdogs, Tampa Bay won by 17 points, easily covering the spread. The combined 49 points went over the total line of 42 points. Tampa Bay got off to a great start, leading 14-0 after the first quarter, and they extended their lead to 24-7 by halftime.

Even though the Eagles made it 24-16 in the 3rd quarter, the Buccaneers added a field goal in the 4th to pull away. Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans got Tampa Bay on the board in the 1st quarter with a touchdown, and after the Eagles made it 24-16 in the 3rd quarter, the Buccaneers added a field goal in the 4th to pull away. Saquon Barkley and Bucky Irving each added rushing touchdowns for the Buccaneers.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Tampa Bay have gone 2-1. In these games, they have a 2-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.

The Falcons picked up a 26-24 win over the Saints, moving their record to 2-2. Favored by -2.5, Atlanta’s 2-point win didn’t cover the spread. The game’s 50 combined points went over the 42.5-point total line. Atlanta’s win was capped off by a 58-yard field goal from Younghoe Koo with seven seconds left.

After Koo’s kick in the 4th quarter, the Falcons took a 23-17 lead. The Saints responded with an Alvin Kamara touchdown run with 29 seconds left to take a 24-23 lead. However, the Falcons pulled out the win with Koo’s late field goal. Taysom Hill rushed for two touchdowns for the Saints, while Bijan Robinson also found the endzone for Atlanta.

  • Atlanta has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). Their record against the spread in this stretch is 0-3 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Across their five previous home games, Atlanta has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 15 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Falcons -1.5 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Pick: Falcons Moneyline (-124)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Falcons to cover as home favorites in this week five matchup against the Buccaneers. The point spread lines have the Falcons at -1.5, and we have them winning 21-15.

For this one, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 36 points and the O/U line sitting at 43.5 points.

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