Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Vikings vs Packers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 4

ByUSA Wager

With the money line at -140, the Packers are favored as they host the Vikings at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 29th at Lambeau Field. The Vikings are +2.5 point underdogs on the road in this week four NFC North matchup. CBS is covering this game, and the over/under line is set at 43.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Packers vs Vikings

  • We have the Packers winning this one by a score of 22 to 18
  • Not only do we have the Packers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -2.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 43.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Vikings +2.5 | Packers -2.5
  • Total: 43.5
  • MoneyLine: Vikings +116 | Packers -140

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Vikings vs. Packers Prediction: MoneyLine

Sam Darnold threw for 181 yards (17/28) and four touchdowns to lead the Vikings to a 34-7 win over the Texans. Darnold was not sacked in the game and finished with a passer rating of 119. Minnesota’s offense picked up 19 first downs and gained 296 total yards.

Minnesota’s running game produced 118 yards on 28 attempts, with Aaron Jones leading the way with 102 yards on 19 carries. Darnold’s top target was Justin Jefferson, who caught six passes for 81 yards and one touchdown.

Malik Willis led the Packers to a 30-14 win over the Titans, not only at quarterback but also as the team’s leading rusher. Green Bay’s offense put up 188 yards on the ground, averaging 5.1 yards per attempt. Willis rushed for 73 yards, including a 29-yard run and one touchdown.

Despite not completing a pass, Willis threw for 202 yards and one touchdown, with Christian Watson being their top receiver with two catches for 67 yards. The Packers’ offense struggled in pass protection, as they allowed three sacks and had a tough time on third down, converting just 35.7% of their chances.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Packers -140 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Packers Prediction: Total

The Vikings’ defense was dominant in their 34-7 win over the Texans, allowing just 38 rushing yards on 14 attempts. They didn’t allow a single completion in the passing game, although they did give up one passing touchdown. Minnesota’s defense picked off two passes and held Houston to 28.6% on third down.

Despite giving up 258 passing yards, Minnesota’s defense didn’t allow any completed passes. They also recorded five sacks and held the Texans to 0 passing yards after factoring in the sacks.

The Packers’ defense played well in their most recent game, coming away with 8 sacks and holding the Titans to just 33 rushing yards on 11 attempts. Despite not allowing a single completion, the Packers did give up two passing touchdowns, as the Titans finished with 204 passing yards. Green Bay’s defense also forced two interceptions and limited Tennessee to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 43.5 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Packers Prediction: Spread

Minnesota is now 3-0 after their 34-7 win over the Texans. The Vikings came into the game as +1.5 point underdogs, giving them a comfortable cover and straight-up win. The combined 41 points was under the 46.5-point total line. Minnesota jumped out to a 14-0 first-quarter lead when Sam Darnold connected with Justin Jefferson for a touchdown and later found Aaron Jones for another score.

The Vikings added another touchdown before halftime and responded to Houston’s lone score in the 3rd quarter with a field goal to make it 24-7. Minnesota then put the game away with 13 points in the 4th quarter. Darnold added two more touchdown passes in the 4th quarter, one to Johnny Mundt and a 58-yard field goal from Will Reichard.

  • Through their last three games, the Vikings have a record of 3-0. In these games, they have a 3-0 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 0-3.
  • Minnesota has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 19 points per game while allowing 16. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1-2.

The Packers’ 30-14 win over the Titans improved their record to 2-1. Green Bay was on the road for this one and came out on top by 16 points. They were also +3 point underdogs, giving them both the straight-up and ATS wins. The game’s 44 combined points went over the 37-point total line.

Green Bay got off to a great start, leading 17-7 after the 1st quarter. They added a field goal in the 2nd quarter to lead 20-7 at halftime. The Titans made it 27-14 in the 3rd quarter, but the Packers added a field goal in the 4th to put the game away.

  • Through their last three games, the Packers have a record of 2-1. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 1-2 in those same games.
  • Across their last five home contests, Green Bay has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 32 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Packers -2.5 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Packers Pick: Packers -2.5

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Packers to cover as 2.5-point favorites in this week four matchup between the Vikings and Packers. We have the Packers winning 24-19, and with the line sitting at -2.5 in favor of the Packers, they are our pick to cover.

For the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 43 points and the line currently sitting at 43.5 points.

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