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Vikings vs Jaguars Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 10

ByUSA Wager

FOX will broadcast the week 10 non-conference matchup between the Vikings and Jaguars from EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville. The Jaguars are +165 on the money line, with the Vikings favored by -4 on the road. Kickoff is at 1:00 ET, and the over/under line is set at 47.5 points. The Vikings’ record is missing, and the Jaguars’ record is also not provided.

Prediction at a Glance for Jaguars vs Vikings

  • We have the Vikings winning this one by a score of 24 to 18
  • Not only do we have the Vikings winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -4
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 47.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Vikings -4 | Jaguars +4
  • Total: 47.5
  • MoneyLine: Vikings -198 | Jaguars +165

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Vikings vs. Jaguars Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 10, the Vikings are 13th in our offensive power rankings. They are 8th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.1, and they lead the league in first-quarter scoring. Minnesota ranks 13th in total yards per game (336.2) and 12th in passing yards per game (222.1), despite being 24th in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 21st in rushing yards per game. The Vikings are 9th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage, with a 40.9% success rate.

In week 9, Sam Darnold threw for 290 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 2 interceptions, against the Colts. Justin Jefferson had 7 catches for 137 yards, while Aaron Jones rushed for 64 yards on 21 carries. Minnesota scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter and added 7 more in the 4th.

Heading into week 10, the Jaguars sit 19th in our offensive power rankings. They are averaging 21.7 points per game, which ranks 17th in the NFL, and they are 21st in total yards per game with 320.7. Jacksonville ranks 17th in passing attempts and passing yards per game, with 207.2. On the ground, they are 24th in rushing attempts and 22nd in rushing yards per game. They have struggled on third down, converting just 31.6% of their attempts, which ranks 27th in the league.

In week 9, Trevor Lawrence threw for 169 yards and 2 interceptions, finishing with a passer rating of 40. Evan Engram led the team with 5 catches for 45 yards, while Travis Etienne Jr. had 24 rushing yards on 3 carries. Jacksonville scored 16 points in the 3rd quarter against the Eagles but were shut out in the first half.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Vikings -198 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Jaguars Prediction: Total

The Vikings’ defense was tough to move the ball against in their most recent game, as they held the Colts to just 159 yards passing and 68 yards rushing on 19 attempts. They also came away with three sacks and limited Indianapolis to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down. Minnesota’s defense didn’t allow a passing touchdown in their 21-13 victory, and they picked off one pass while holding the Colts to a 59.3% completion percentage.

Minnesota’s defense didn’t allow a passing touchdown in their 21-13 victory, and they picked off one pass while holding the Colts to a 59.3% completion percentage. The Vikings’ defense was tough to move the ball against in their most recent game, as they held the Colts to just 159 yards passing and 68 yards rushing on 19 attempts. They also came away with three sacks and limited Indianapolis to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down.

In their 28-23 loss to the Eagles, the Jaguars’ defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 237 yards on 46 attempts, an average of 5.2 yards per attempt. Despite this, they did manage to sack the quarterback three times. In the passing game, Jacksonville allowed 18 completions for 210 yards, with Philadelphia averaging 8.8 yards per attempt. The Eagles converted on 52.9% of their third down attempts.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 47.5 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Jaguars Prediction: Spread

After two straight losses, the Vikings bounced back in week 9 with a 21-13 win over the Colts, improving their record to 6-2. Minnesota was favored by 5.5 points and covered the spread, putting them at 6-2 against the spread this season. They are 3-2 as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is +7.4 points per game. The over/under record in their games is 3-5, with an average of 44.9 points per game compared to a line of 45.7.

Heading into week 10, the Vikings rank 8th in our NFL power rankings and have an 81.3% chance of making the playoffs. They are 2nd in the NFC North with a 1-1 division record and are 3-2 in conference games. Minnesota is 4-1 at home and 2-1 on the road.

  • Minnesota has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). The team’s record vs the spread was just 1-2, in addition to an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • Through their last five road games, Minnesota has an ATS record of just 2-2-1. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 24 points per game.

Jacksonville heads into week 10 with a 2-7 record, putting them 4th in the AFC South. After snapping their losing streak with a week 7 win over the Patriots, the Jaguars have dropped two straight, including a 28-23 road loss to the Eagles in week 9. They were able to cover the spread as 7.5-point underdogs in that game, and they’ve now covered in three straight, including a narrow 3-point loss to the Packers in week 8.

Jacksonville currently ranks 26th in our power rankings and has a 3.3% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record stands at 6-3, with the over hitting in five straight games. Their matchups have averaged 49.7 points per game this season, compared to an average line of 45.4.

  • Through their last three games, the Jaguars have a record of 2-1. In terms of betting, the team went 2-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 3-0.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Jacksonville has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 17 per game. The team went 0-5 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Vikings -4 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Jaguars Pick: Vikings -4

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Vikings to cover as 4-point road favorites in their matchup against the Jaguars. We have the Vikings winning by a score of 27-19, making them a good bet to cover.

For this week 10 matchup, our best bet for the over/under line of 47.5 is to take the under, with a projected combined score of 46 points.

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