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Titans vs Texans Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 12

ByUSA Wager

The Titans and Texans will face off on Sunday, November 24th at 1:00 ET on CBS. The Texans are the heavy favorite with a money line of -430, and the point spread is -8.5 in favor of the Texans. This AFC South matchup is being played at NRG Stadium in Houston, and the over/under line is set at 41.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Texans vs Titans

  • We have the Texans winning this one by a score of 30 to 17
  • Not only do we have the Texans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -8.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 41.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Titans +8.5 | Texans -8.5
  • Total: 41.5
  • MoneyLine: Titans +332 | Texans -430

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Titans vs. Texans Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 12, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17, and 25th in yards per game with 295.4. Tennessee’s passing attack ranks 27th, with 178.4 yards per game, while they rank 18th in rushing yards per game with 117. On 3rd down, the Titans are 26th in the league, converting 33.6% of their attempts, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 7th with a 48.3% conversion rate.

Will Levis threw for 295 yards in week 11, completing 17 of 31 passes with one touchdown and one interception. He was sacked 5 times in the loss to the Vikings. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine had 2 catches for 117 yards, and Levis led the team in rushing with 18 yards on 7 carries.

Heading into week 12, the Texans’ offense is 17th in our power rankings. They are 13th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.5, and 14th in yards per game with 342.9. Houston ranks 16th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 38.2% success rate, and they are 22nd in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 6th in red zone attempts. The Texans have been strong in the 1st quarter, ranking 3rd in the league in points scored.

C.J. Stroud threw for 257 yards in week 11, completing 23 of 34 passes with one interception. Joe Mixon had 109 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns, while Tank Dell led the team with 54 receiving yards. Before Dell’s 54-yard game, John Metchie III had 74 yards in week 10, and Dell had 126 yards in week 9.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Texans -430 (Bet Now)

Titans vs. Texans Prediction: Total

Despite holding the Vikings to 82 yards on 2.5 yards per attempt, the Titans lost 23-13, giving up 236 yards through the air. They allowed two passing touchdowns and struggled to get off the field, as Minnesota converted 64.3% of their fourth-down attempts and 64.3% of their third-down attempts. The Titans’ defense managed two sacks in the game.

Despite giving up 324 passing yards to the Cowboys, the Texans’ defense came away with a big 34-10 win. Houston’s defense was tough on Dallas’ running game, allowing just 64 yards on 18 attempts. The Texans also had five sacks and held Dallas to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.

For the game, the Texans limited the Cowboys to 5.8 yards per attempt through the air. Houston also defended the pass well, allowing just a 58.9% completion percentage. Even though they gave up some yardage, their ability to pressure the quarterback and defend the run was key to their success.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 41.5 (Bet Now)

Titans vs. Texans Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 12, the Titans have lost two straight games, including a 23-13 home loss to the Vikings in week 11. This puts Tennessee at 2-8, placing them 3rd in the AFC South. Our power rankings have them 28th, and we give them a 0.5% chance of making the playoffs.

Against the spread, the Titans are 1-9 and have failed to cover in six consecutive games. Their average scoring margin is -9.3 points per game. Their O/U record is 5-4-1, with their games averaging 43.3 points compared to an average line of 40.4.

  • Over their last three regular season games, the Titans have gone 1-2 straight up. In these contests, the team went just 0-3 against the spread, while going 1-2 on the over-under.
  • Across their five previous road games, Tennessee has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 17 points per game.

With a 7-4 record, the Texans sit atop the AFC South and have a 96.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 94.6% chance of winning the division. They are 3-0 in division games and 5-1 in conference play. Houston is 4-1 at home and 3-3 on the road.

After two straight losses, the Texans bounced back with a 34-10 win over the Cowboys in week 11. They were favored by 7 points and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 5-6. They have now covered in two straight games. Their O/U record stands at 3-7-1 this season.

  • Houston will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 0-2-1.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Texans -8.5 (Bet Now)

Titans vs. Texans Pick: Texans -8.5

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Texans to cover as home favorites in this week 12 matchup between the Titans and Texans. Even though the Texans are 3-8, we have them pulling off the upset by a score of 30-17.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 41.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with our projections pointing to a combined score of 47 points.

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