Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Titans vs Bills Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 7

ByUSA Wager

With the Titans and Bills both looking to add to their records, this week seven AFC matchup is being played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY. The game is set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, with the Bills favored by -450 on the money line. Tennessee comes in as the +355 underdog, and the current over/under line is at 42.5 points. The game is being televised on CBS.

Prediction at a Glance for Bills vs Titans

  • We have the Titans winning this one by a score of 23 to 12
  • Not only do we have the Titans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +8.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 42.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Titans +8.5 | Bills -8.5
  • Total: 42.5
  • MoneyLine: Titans +355 | Bills -450

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Titans vs. Bills Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 7, the Titans rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 19th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 19.2 points per game, but they are 31st in passing yards per game (135) and 31st in total yards per game (253.2). On 3rd down, they rank 27th with a conversion rate of 29.3%, but they have been strong in the red zone, ranking 6th with a 61.5% conversion rate.

In week 6, Will Levis threw for 95 yards, completing 16 of 27 passes with one touchdown and one interception. Tony Pollard led the rushing attack with 93 yards on 17 carries, and DeAndre Hopkins had 4 receptions for 54 yards.

In our offensive power rankings, the Bills sit 4th in the NFL, and they are 6th in points per game, averaging 27.5. They are 21st in the league in yards per game, with 309.7, and they rank 28th in passing attempts and 25th in passing yards per game. On the ground, Buffalo is 11th in both rushing attempts and rushing yards per game.

Buffalo ranks 5th in red zone attempts, but they are 26th in conversion percentage, with just 9.1%. They also rank 22nd in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Titans +355 (Bet Now)

Titans vs. Bills Prediction: Total

In their 20-17 loss to the Colts, the Titans’ defense allowed just 2.9 yards per attempt on the ground, giving up a total of 80 rushing yards on 28 attempts. Despite their strong performance against the run, they struggled against the pass, allowing 189 yards through the air, including two touchdowns. The Titans’ offense managed just 269 total yards in the game.

Tennessee’s defense didn’t record any sacks in the game but did manage to force one interception. Opposing quarterbacks completed just 57.9% of their passes against the Titans in this one, and they held the Colts to a 46.7% conversion rate on third down.

The Bills’ defense came up with three sacks and held the Jets to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down in their 23-20 win. Despite giving up 121 rushing yards on just 21 attempts, Buffalo’s defense forced 393 total yards. They allowed 272 passing yards, with the Jets completing 65.7% of their passes and scoring two passing touchdowns.

Buffalo’s defense also came up with one interception and won the battle in quarterback hits, tackles for loss, and limited the Jets to a 7.8 yards per attempt in the passing game.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 42.5 (Bet Now)

Titans vs. Bills Prediction: Spread

With a 1-4 record, the Titans sit 23rd in our power rankings, giving them a 7.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 2% chance of winning the AFC South. Tennessee is 0-3 at home but 1-1 on the road, including a 31-12 win over the Dolphins in week 4. However, they couldn’t carry that momentum into week 6, losing 20-17 to the Colts.

The Titans have an average scoring margin of -2.8 points per game and are 1-4 against the spread. They failed to cover as 2.5-point favorites vs the Colts, but they did cover in their win over Miami. Their O/U record is 2-2-1 this season, with their games averaging 41.2 points.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Tennessee has a record of 1-2. Against the spread, Tennessee went 1-2 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • Across the Titans last five road games, the team averaged 18 points per game while allowing 24. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.

Following two straight losses, the Bills bounced back in week 6 with a 23-20 road win over the Jets, improving their record to 4-2. This puts Buffalo first in the AFC East, with a 2-0 division record. Our projections give the Bills an 86.1% chance of winning the division and a 94.7% chance of making the playoffs. They are 5th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 7.

Buffalo has a +6.5 scoring margin this season and is 3-3 against the spread. They covered the 1-point spread in their win over the Jets but failed to cover in their previous two games. Their O/U record is also 3-3, with their games averaging 48.5 points compared to an average line of 46.2.

  • The Bills have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. Across these games, they have put together an ATS mark of 1-2 as well as an over-under record of 3-0.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Buffalo has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Titans +8.5 (Bet Now)

Titans vs. Bills Pick: Titans Moneyline (+355)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Titans to cover as road underdogs in this week seven matchup between the Titans and Bills. The point spread line has the Titans at +8.5, and with our projected final score of 23-14 in favor of the Titans, they are the best bet to cover.

For this game, we also have a pick on the over/under line, and we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 37 points and the O/U line sitting at 42.5 points.

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