Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Titans vs Bears Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 1

ByUSA Wager

The Titans and Bears will kick off their season on Sunday, September 8th at 1:00 ET on FOX. The Bears are favored on the money line at -204 and are -4.5 point favorites on the road. The over/under line is set at 45.5 points for this non-conference matchup.

Prediction at a Glance for Bears vs Titans

  • We have the Titans winning this one by a score of 24 to 18
  • Not only do we have the Titans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +4.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Titans +4.5 | Bears -4.5
  • Total: 45.5
  • MoneyLine: Titans +169 | Bears -204

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Titans vs. Bears Prediction: MoneyLine

Last season, the Titans’ offense struggled to move the ball consistently, averaging just 289 yards per game, which ranked 28th in the NFL. They were even worse in the passing game, averaging only 180.4 yards per game on 29.1 attempts, ranking 30th in the league. Overall, they finished 27th in points per game, averaging 17.9, and on the road, they managed only 12.6 points per game, which was 30th in the league.

Tennessee’s rushing game was more effective, averaging 108.6 yards per game (18th) on 26.1 attempts per game (21st). However, their inability to sustain drives was evident in their 33.5% conversion rate on third downs, which placed them 25th in the league.

The Titans’ passing game was one of the least productive in the league last season, ranking 29th in yards per game with just 180.4. This was a result of their 30th ranked passing attempts per game. Overall, the Titans’ offense was 19th in the league, averaging 17.9 points per game, and they were 27th in the league in scoring. They struggled particularly on the road, where they averaged only 12.6 points per game, ranking 30th.

Tennessee’s offense as a whole was 28th in yards per game, averaging 289 per contest. They also struggled on third downs, ranking 25th in third down conversion percentage, and they were 18th in rushing yards per game, averaging 108.6 yards per contest.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Titans +169 (Bet Now)

Titans vs. Bears Prediction: Total

Opponents converted on 38.5% of their third down attempts against the Titans last season. Despite this, the Titans’ defense was 24th in the NFL, and they allowed 21.6 points per game, ranking 15th. One of their biggest issues was defending the pass, as they gave up a completion percentage of 67.8% (28th) and allowed quarterbacks to have a collective passer rating of 94.07 (27th).

On the positive side, the Titans were tough to score on in the red zone, allowing a red zone scoring percentage of just 37.7%. They also excelled in run defense, giving up only 3.8 yards per attempt, which was 4th best in the league. However, they struggled to pressure the quarterback, finishing near the bottom of the league in both sacks and quarterback hits.

The Titans’ defense allowed a collective passer rating of 94.07 last season, ranking 27th in the league. They were 24th in our power rankings and gave up 21.6 points per game, which was right in the middle of the pack at 15th. In terms of yards allowed, they were 17th in the NFL, giving up an average of 335.1 yards per game.

Opposing quarterbacks completed 67.8% of their passes against Tennessee, ranking 28th in the league. Although they were 20th in quarterback hits, the Titans managed to get to the quarterback and finished 10th in the league in sacks. They also had the 4th best ranking in rushing touchdowns allowed.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 45.5 (Bet Now)

Titans vs. Bears Prediction: Spread

The Titans went 5-3-1 against the spread at home but struggled on the road with a 2-6 ATS record. Overall, they were 7-9-1 ATS. On the season, Tennessee finished with a disappointing 6-11 record, placing them 4th in the AFC South. They were just 3-11 against teams with above .500 records but managed a 3-0 record against teams with below .500 records.

Within their division, the Titans went only 1-5, and their road record was 1-7, while they were above .500 at home with a 5-4 record. Last year’s Titans squad was favored twice and went 1-1 in those games. As underdogs, they went 5-9. Their over/under record was 6-11, and their games averaged 39.5 points.

  • The Titans have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 1-1-1 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Through their last five road contests, the Titans offense has averaged 13 points per game while allowing an average of 25. Tennessee posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 1-4 ATS.

The Titans’ 2023 season was a struggle, as they finished with a disappointing 6-11 record, placing them 4th in the AFC South. They went just 1-5 within their division and were 3-11 against teams with winning records. However, they did manage to go 3-0 against teams with losing records. On the road, the Titans were just 1-7, but they played much better at home, going 5-4.

Tennessee was the underdog in most of their games last season, going 5-9 as the underdog and 1-2 as the favorite. The Titans’ games averaged 39.5 points, and their over/under record for the season was 6-11. Against the spread, they were 7-9-1, with a 5-3-1 record at home and a 2-6 record on the road.

  • The Bears have posted a 3-0 record in their previous three games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 3-0 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
  • In their last five home games, Chicago has averaged 16 points per game while allowing 20. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-4 while going 3-2.
  • Free Spread Prediction Titans +4.5 (Bet Now)

Titans vs. Bears Pick: Titans Moneyline (+169)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Titans to cover as road underdogs in this week one matchup against the Bears. Right now, the Titans are sitting at +4.5 point road underdogs, and we have them winning by a score of 24-19.

As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 45.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with our projections coming in at 43 combined points.

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