Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Texans vs Vikings Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 3

ByUSA Wager

The Texans are favored on the road as they take on the Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The Texans’ point spread is -2.5, and their money line odds are -139. The Vikings’ money line odds are +116, and the over/under line is 45.5 points. This non-conference matchup is being televised on CBS, and the Texans and Vikings are both looking to improve their records in this week three matchup.

Prediction at a Glance for Vikings vs Texans

  • We have the Vikings winning this one by a score of 25 to 24
  • Not only do we have the Vikings winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 45.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Texans -2.5 | Vikings +2.5
  • Total: 45.5
  • MoneyLine: Texans -139 | Vikings +116

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Texans vs. Vikings Prediction: MoneyLine

In their 19-13 win over the Bears, the Texans’ offense gained 205 yards. They struggled on third down, converting only 28.6% of their chances, and allowed three sacks. The running game was limited to 75 yards on 22 attempts. C.J. Stroud led the passing attack with 235 yards, completing 63.9% of his passes. He was sacked three times and threw one touchdown.

Nico Collins was the top receiver with 135 yards and a touchdown. Cam Akers led the team in rushing with 32 yards on seven attempts. Stroud finished with a passer rating of 94 and didn’t throw any interceptions.

The Vikings’ offense had a good day on the ground in their 23-17 win over the 49ers, rushing for 146 yards on just 24 attempts. They averaged 6.1 yards per attempt. Through the air, Minnesota had 257 yards passing on 26 attempts, with Sam Darnold throwing for 268 yards and completing 65% of his passes. Darnold threw two touchdowns and was sacked four times.

Justin Jefferson had a big game receiving, racking up 133 yards on four catches, including a 97-yard touchdown. Ty Chandler led the team in rushing with 82 yards, averaging 8.2 yards per attempt and breaking off a 25-yard run.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Vikings +116 (Bet Now)

Texans vs. Vikings Prediction: Total

Houston’s defense was dominant in their 19-13 win over the Bears, allowing just 134 passing yards and forcing seven sacks. The Texans’ secondary limited Chicago to 62.2% completions and just 71 rushing yards on 22 attempts. They also came away with two interceptions and didn’t allow a passing touchdown.

On third downs, the Texans held the Bears to a 35.3% conversion rate and won the battle in the trenches with seven quarterback hits and three tackles for loss.

In the Vikings’ 23-17 win over the 49ers, their defense came up with six sacks and held San Francisco to just a 20% conversion rate on third down. Despite this, the 49ers still managed 399 yards of total offense. Minnesota’s run defense allowed 102 yards on 25 attempts, while in the passing game, they gave up 297 yards through the air and allowed the 49ers to complete 77.8% of their passes.

Minnesota also picked off one pass and limited the 49ers to one touchdown. The Vikings’ pass rush was effective, leading to a number of big plays, but they will be looking to improve in defending the big play and lowering the yardage totals in future games.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 45.5 (Bet Now)

Texans vs. Vikings Prediction: Spread

The Texans are now 2-0 after their 19-13 win over the Bears. Despite their win, they did not cover the spread, as they were -6.5 point favorites. The combined 32 points was below the over/under line of 45.5 points. Houston’s win was fueled by a strong 2nd quarter, in which they outscored the Bears 13-7, giving them a 16-10 lead at halftime.

Houston opened the scoring with a 56-yard field goal, and C.J. Stroud found Nico Collins for two touchdowns in the 2nd quarter. The Texans added a touchdown in the 4th quarter to seal the win. The Bears made it a bit interesting in the 4th quarter, but Houston responded with a touchdown from Rome Odunze to secure the victory.

  • Through their last three games, the Texans have a record of 2-1. Across these games, they have put together an ATS mark of 0-3 as well as an over-under record of 1-1-1.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Texans have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 17 points per game in these contests.

The Vikings improved to 2-0 with a 23-17 win over the 49ers, adding a 3-point field goal from Will Reichard in the 1st quarter. Minnesota took a 13-7 lead into halftime, and a touchdown from Sam Darnold to Jalen Nailor in the 3rd quarter helped extend their lead to 20-7 heading into the 4th. Even though the 49ers outscored them in the 4th quarter, the Vikings held on for the win.

In the 4th quarter, the 49ers added a late touchdown to make the score 27-17, but Reichard sealed the win with a 27-yard field goal with 3:32 remaining. Minnesota’s win came despite being 4-point underdogs, and the combined 40 points were just short of the over/under line of 46.5 points.

  • The Vikings have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. Their record vs the spread sits at 1-2 in these matchups, while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
  • In their last five home games, Minnesota has averaged 19 points per game while allowing 16. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 2-1-2.
  • Free Spread Prediction Vikings +2.5 (Bet Now)

Texans vs. Vikings Pick: Vikings Moneyline (+116)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Vikings to cover as home underdogs in their matchup against the Texans. The point spread line for this one is at -2.5 in favor of the Texans, but we have the Vikings winning by a score of 26-22.

For an over/under pick, we really like the over, with a projected combined score of 48 points. With the O/U line sitting at 45.5 points, there is a lot of value in taking the over in this week three matchup.

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