Texans vs Jaguars Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 13
FOX will broadcast this week 13 AFC South matchup between the Texans and Jaguars, which is set to kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 1st at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL. The Jaguars are the underdog at +191 on the money line and +5 on the point spread. The Texans are favored with money line odds of -232. The over/under line is at 43.5 points.
Prediction at a Glance for Jaguars vs Texans
- We have the Jaguars winning this one by a score of 24 to 14
- Not only do we have the Jaguars winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 43.5 points
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Texans -5 | Jaguars +5
- Total: 43.5
- MoneyLine: Texans -232 | Jaguars +191
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Texans vs. Jaguars Prediction: MoneyLine
Heading into week 13, the Texans rank 19th in our offensive power rankings. They are 12th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.8, and 16th in yards per game with 336. Houston ranks 15th in passing yards per game (221.4) and 20th in rushing (114.6). They have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 37% of the time, which ranks 22nd in the league. Despite being 6th in red zone attempts, they are 23rd in red zone conversion percentage at 14.3%.
In week 12, C.J. Stroud threw for 247 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions on 20/33 passing. Joe Mixon was held to 22 yards on 14 carries, while Nico Collins led the team with 5 catches for 92 yards and a touchdown. The Texans scored 7 points in the 1st and 3rd quarters, finishing with 3 points in the 4th. They converted 2 of 4 red zone attempts and struggled on 3rd down, going 3/13.
Jacksonville’s offense has struggled, ranking 24th in our power rankings and 23rd in points per game (18.9). They rank 30th in the NFL in yards per game (290.8) and 27th in passing yards (189.2), with 30.4 attempts per game. On the ground, they average 101.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 25th, on 22.4 attempts per game (28th). The Jaguars rank 30th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 31.9% success rate, and 15th in red zone conversions, despite being 11th in attempts.
Mac Jones has started the last two games for Jacksonville, throwing for 138 yards and an interception in week 11. Before his injury, Trevor Lawrence had 2004 passing yards and 11 touchdowns. Travis Etienne Jr. rushed for 27 yards on 12 carries in week 11, and Brian Thomas Jr. led the team with 82 receiving yards.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction Jaguars +191 (Bet Now)
Texans vs. Jaguars Prediction: Total
Despite their 32-27 loss to the Titans, the Texans’ defense put pressure on the quarterback with 8 sacks and also came up with one interception. The Texans allowed 237 passing yards on 18 completions, and Tennessee finished with a 72% completion rate. However, the Texans gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed the Titans to run for 132 yards on 33 attempts.
On third downs, the Texans held the Titans to a 28.6% conversion rate. Houston also led in quarterback hits, tackles for loss, and limited Tennessee to 4 yards per attempt in the running game.
The Jaguars’ defense gave up 52 points in a blowout loss to the Lions, allowing 645 total yards. They couldn’t generate any pressure, finishing with no sacks and just one hit on the quarterback. The performance was tough to watch, as the Lions completed 81.8% of their passes for 449 yards and four touchdowns.
On the ground, the Jaguars gave up 196 rushing yards on 43 attempts. Additionally, the Jaguars allowed the Lions to convert on 60% of their third down attempts.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 43.5 (Bet Now)
Texans vs. Jaguars Prediction: Spread
Heading into week 13, the Texans hold a 7-5 record, putting them in first place in the AFC South. Our projections give them a 90.9% chance of winning the division and a 92.5% chance of making the playoffs. Houston ranks 12th in our NFL power rankings this week. They are 5-7 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +1.4 points per game.
In week 12, the Texans lost 32-27 to the Titans, ending their two-game winning streak. They were favored by 8 points but couldn’t get the win at home. The game’s 59 combined points went over the 40.5-point line, marking the second straight over for Houston.
- The Texans have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. They have held up well vs the spread in these matchups, going 2-1 as well as an over-under record of 2-0-1.
- Across their last five road contests, Houston has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 23 points per game.
Heading into week 13, the Jaguars are looking to end a four-game losing streak, including a 52-6 blowout loss to the Lions in week 11. This leaves Jacksonville at 2-9, putting them 28th in our power rankings and giving them just a 0.5% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4th in the AFC South, with a 1-1 record in division games.
Jacksonville is 6-5 against the spread this season, with a 5-2 record as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-4, with their games averaging 47.6 points (the line has averaged 45.3 points).
- Through their last three regular season contests, Jacksonville has a record of 1-2. They have held up well vs the spread in these matchups, going 3-0 as well as an over-under record of 2-1.
- Across the Jaguars last five home games, the team averaged 15 points per game while allowing 37. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 0-5 straight-up.
- Free Spread Prediction Jaguars +5 (Bet Now)
Texans vs. Jaguars Pick: Jaguars Moneyline (+191)
Our prediction for this week 13 matchup between the Jaguars and Texans is to take Jacksonville to cover as home underdogs. With the point spread sitting at +5 in favor of the Jaguars, we have them winning and covering by a score of 26-17.
For this one, we also like the under, with the line sitting at 43.5 points. Our projections have these teams combining for just 43 points, making the under a solid play for this matchup.
