Steelers vs Colts Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 4

The Colts are the underdog at +107 on the money line as they host the Steelers at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 29th at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Steelers are favored on the road with a point spread of -2. You can catch this week four AFC matchup on CBS, with the over/under line set at 40 points. The Colts and Steelers both need to add to their records.

Prediction at a Glance for Colts vs Steelers

• We have the Colts winning this one by a score of 22 to 16
• Not only do we have the Colts winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2
• We see this game finishing below the line of 40 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Steelers -2 | Colts +2
• Total: 40
• MoneyLine: Steelers -129 | Colts +107

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Steelers vs. Colts Prediction: MoneyLine

The Steelers’ offense put up 232 yards through the air in their 20-10 win over the Chargers. Pittsburgh’s running game managed 114 yards on 31 attempts. Justin Fields, who completed 78% of his passes, threw for 245 yards, with one touchdown and one interception.

Calvin Austin III led the team with 95 receiving yards, including a 55-yard reception and a touchdown. Najee Harris rushed for 70 yards, with a long run of 21 yards, and added 16 receiving yards.

In their 21-16 win over the Bears, the Colts’ offense put up 150 rushing yards on 33 attempts. However, they struggled in the passing game, with quarterback Anthony Richardson throwing for just 167 yards on 50% completions. Richardson finished with 167 yards on 10 completions, and the Colts’ offense as a whole managed only 15 first downs and 156 yards through the air.

Jonathan Taylor had a good game on the ground, rushing for 110 yards, averaging 4.8 yards per attempt, and scoring two rushing touchdowns, including a 29-yard run. Alec Pierce was the leading receiver with 44 yards on one catch. The Colts’ offense also struggled on third down, converting only 25% of their chances.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction Colts +107 (Bet Now)

Steelers vs. Colts Prediction: Total

In their most recent game, the Steelers’ defense didn’t allow a single completion, as the Chargers went 0/1 passing. Pittsburgh’s defense was dominant, allowing just 107 yards on the ground and 168 total yards. They also recorded five sacks and limited the Chargers to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down. Despite this, the Steelers did allow one defensive touchdown in their 20-10 win.

Pittsburgh’s defense was tough against the run, allowing just 61 yards on 20 attempts. They also pressured the quarterback, winning the QB hit battle by +2. The only score they allowed was on the defensive side of the ball, as the Chargers’ defense also found the endzone.

The Colts’ defense picked off two passes and held the Bears to 42.9% on third down in their 21-16 win. Despite giving up 395 yards, Indianapolis kept Chicago out of the endzone for most of the game. They limited the Bears to just 63 rushing yards on 28 attempts and recorded four sacks while hitting the quarterback three more times.

In the passing game, the Colts didn’t allow any completions, as Chicago finished with 332 yards through the air. Indianapolis gave up two passing touchdowns and forced the Bears to finish with a 0% completion percentage.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 40 (Bet Now)

Steelers vs. Colts Prediction: Spread

The Steelers are now 3-0 after a 20-10 win over the Chargers. Pittsburgh was favored by -2.5 and covered the spread with their 10-point victory. The 30 combined points were well below the over/under line of 36 points. The Steelers trailed 10-7 at halftime but scored 10 unanswered points in the 4th quarter to pull out the win.

Justin Fields had a big game for the Steelers, throwing four touchdowns, including two in the 3rd quarter to break a 10-10 tie heading into the 4th. The Chargers and Fields made things interesting, as they scored twice in the final 2:49 of the 3rd quarter to pull within 30-22. However, Pittsburgh and Fields opened the 4th quarter with a Chris Boswell field goal and ended with a touchdown pass to Calvin Austin III.

• Pittsburgh has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 3-0 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 0-3 in those same games.
• When looking at their past five road matchups, Pittsburgh has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 19 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.

Even though the Bears made it interesting in the 4th quarter, the Colts came out on top by a score of 21-16 in their most recent game, bringing their record to 1-2. Indianapolis was favored by -2 and with the 5-point win, they covered the spread. The combined 37 points was just below the over/under line of 43.5 points.

Indianapolis took an 11-point lead into the 4th quarter, leading 21-10. The Bears made it 21-16 with 2:05 remaining in the 4th, and the Colts sealed the win with a late touchdown. The Colts were led by Anthony Richardson, who threw two touchdown passes in the 2nd quarter, both to Kylen Granson. The Bears added a late field goal in the 4th, making the final score 28-27 in favor of the Colts.

• Through their last three regular season contests, Indianapolis has a record of 1-2. This also includes going 2-1 ATS, and posting an over-under record of 1-2.
• Across the Colts last five home games, the team averaged 15 points per game while allowing 22. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.

• Free Spread Prediction Colts +2 (Bet Now)

Steelers vs. Colts Pick: Colts Moneyline (+107)

For this week four matchup between the Colts and Steelers, we have the Colts coming out on top by a score of 19-17. With this projection, we like the Colts to not only win but cover the spread, as they are currently 2-point home underdogs.

As for the best way to bet the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 36 points and the line sitting at 40 points.