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Steelers vs Browns Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 12

ByUSA Wager

With the money line at -193, the Steelers are favored on the road as they take on the Browns at 8:15 ET on Thursday, November 21st. The Browns’ money line odds are +163, and the Steelers are favored by -3.5 on the point spread. The over/under line is at 36.5 points. This week 12 AFC North matchup is being televised by AMZN.

Prediction at a Glance for Browns vs Steelers

  • We have the Steelers winning this one by a score of 22 to 18
  • Not only do we have the Steelers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 36.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Steelers -3.5 | Browns +3.5
  • Total: 36.5
  • MoneyLine: Steelers -193 | Browns +163

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Steelers vs. Browns Prediction: MoneyLine

Russell Wilson’s passer rating has declined in each of his last three games, dropping from 114 in week 9 to 93 in week 10, and then to 67 in week 11 against the Ravens, where he threw for 205 yards, completing 23 of 36 passes with no touchdowns and one interception. George Pickens led the team in receiving with 8 catches for 89 yards, while Najee Harris rushed for 63 yards on 18 carries.

Heading into week 12, the Steelers rank 14th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.3. They are 19th in the league in passing yards per game (187.3) and 15th in 3rd-down conversion percentage. Pittsburgh ranks 17th in our offensive power rankings.

Jameis Winston bounced back from a rough outing in week 9, throwing for 395 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 11 against the Saints. He completed 30 of 46 passes and avoided interceptions after throwing 3 against the Chargers. Jerry Jeudy led the receiving corps with 6 catches for 142 yards, while Nick Chubb rushed for 50 yards on 11 carries.

Heading into week 12, the Browns rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 29th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 16.2, and 27th in yards per game with 291.3. Despite being 2nd in passing attempts, they rank 19th in passing yards per game. On the ground, they are 29th in rushing yards per game, averaging 88.5.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Steelers -193 (Bet Now)

Steelers vs. Browns Prediction: Total

In their 18-16 win over the Ravens, the Steelers’ defense allowed just 16 completions on 33 attempts for 205 yards through the air. They picked off one pass and limited Baltimore to a 48.5% completion percentage. Despite this, the Ravens still managed 124 rushing yards on only 19 attempts, averaging 6.5 yards per attempt. Pittsburgh’s defense also struggled with tackles for loss, finishing with a -4 differential in that category. The Steelers held the Ravens to a 36.4% conversion rate on third down.

In their 35-14 loss to the Saints, the Browns gave up 214 rushing yards on just 28 attempts, including a long run of 52 yards. The defense allowed New Orleans to finish with 473 total yards. The Browns’ secondary struggled, allowing the Saints to average 8.9 yards per attempt through the air, with two passing touchdowns and a 75.9% completion rate.

Cleveland’s defense managed just one sack and allowed the Saints to convert on 50% of their third down attempts. Despite their struggles, the Browns did come up with one interception in the game.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 36.5 (Bet Now)

Steelers vs. Browns Prediction: Spread

With their fifth straight win, the Steelers now sit at 8-2, putting them atop the AFC North. This run includes a narrow 18-16 victory over the Ravens in week 11, where they covered the spread as 3.5-point underdogs. Pittsburgh also covered in their previous four games, including a 1-point win over the Commanders in week 10 and an 8-point win over the Giants in week 8.

Heading into week 12, the Steelers rank 10th in our NFL power rankings and have a 66.6% chance of winning the division and a 97.3% chance of making the playoffs. Pittsburgh has an average scoring margin of +7.1 points per game and is 8-2 against the spread this season. Their O/U record is 5-5, with their games averaging 39.5 points.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Pittsburgh have gone 3-0. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 3-0 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
  • Pittsburgh has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 23 points per game while allowing 16. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.

Heading into week 12, the Browns are 2-8 and rank 21st in our power rankings. They have a 0.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 0.0% chance of winning the AFC North. Cleveland is 1-1 in division games and 2-3 in conference play. They are 1-4 both at home and on the road this season.

Against the spread, the Browns are 3-7, with a scoring margin of -8.6 points per game. They are 0-4 as favorites and 3-3 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-6, with their games averaging 41 points compared to an average line of 41.6.

  • Across Cleveland’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. In these contests, the team went just 1-2 against the spread, while going 1-2 on the over-under.
  • In their last five games at home, the Browns have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 15 points per game in these contests.
  • Free Spread Prediction Steelers -3.5 (Bet Now)

Steelers vs. Browns Pick: Steelers -3.5

Our pick against the spread for this week 12 matchup between the Steelers and Browns is to take the Steelers to cover as 3.5-point road favorites. We have the Steelers winning 24-18, making them a good bet to cover the spread.

For a point-spread pick, we are leaning towards taking the Steelers to cover as road favorites. As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 36.5 points, we have these teams combining for 42 points, making the over our recommended pick.

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