Saints vs Giants Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 14

The over/under line is set at 40 points as the Giants and Saints face off at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Giants are +189 on the money line, while the Saints are favored by -231 on the road. New York is +5 point underdogs, and this week 14 NFC matchup is scheduled for 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th, with FOX handling the TV coverage.

Prediction at a Glance for Giants vs Saints

• We have the Giants winning this one by a score of 21 to 16
• Not only do we have the Giants winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 40 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Saints -5 | Giants +5
• Total: 40
• MoneyLine: Saints -231 | Giants +189

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Saints vs. Giants Prediction: MoneyLine

In our offensive power rankings, the Saints sit 17th in the NFL. They are currently 13th in points per game (23) and 12th in yards per game (345.7). New Orleans ranks 19th in passing yards per game (213.9) and 17th in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 10th in rushing yards per game (131.8) and 8th in rushing attempts. The Saints are 15th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage (38.5%) and 14th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 13, Derek Carr threw for 184 yards and a touchdown, finishing 24/37 with a passer rating of 85. Alvin Kamara led the team with 112 rushing yards on 23 carries, while Taysom Hill had 5 receptions for 37 yards. The Saints scored 8 points in the 4th quarter but fell short against the Rams, losing 21-14.

Heading into week 14, the Giants rank 29th in our offensive power rankings. They are 31st in the NFL in points per game, averaging 15.2, and 26th in yards per game with 299.1. Despite being 7th in passing attempts, they are 31st in passing yards per game, averaging 183.2. On the ground, they rank 15th in rushing yards per game, with 115.9, on 26.1 attempts per game.

In week 13, the Giants scored 20 points against the Cowboys, with 10 coming in the 4th quarter. Drew Lock threw for 178 yards (21/32) with one interception, and he was sacked six times. Malik Nabers led the team with 8 catches for 69 yards, and Lock also led the team in rushing with 57 yards on 4 carries.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction Giants +189 (Bet Now)

Saints vs. Giants Prediction: Total

In their 21-14 loss to the Rams, the Saints’ defense allowed 166 passing yards on just 14 completions. However, they struggled to stop the run, giving up 156 yards on 5.4 yards per attempt. The Saints’ offense managed just 14 points, and the defense allowed the Rams to convert on 44.4% of their third down attempts.

New Orleans did manage two sacks and held the Rams to 322 total yards, but they did allow two passing touchdowns and a 58.3% completion rate. The Saints’ defense also allowed the Rams to control the game on the ground, with New Orleans running for 29 attempts.

In their 27-20 loss to the Cowboys, the Giants’ defense allowed 195 passing yards on 21 completions. Despite this, they struggled to generate pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and lost the quarterback hit differential by 11. The Giants also gave up 122 rushing yards on 32 attempts, with Dallas converting on 46.7% of their third down attempts.

New York’s defense held Dallas to 5.4 yards per pass attempt and 317 total yards. However, the Giants’ defense couldn’t create any turnovers and allowed one passing touchdown. Additionally, the Giants had a tough time creating negative plays, losing the tackles for loss battle by -2.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 40 (Bet Now)

Saints vs. Giants Prediction: Spread

After back-to-back wins in weeks 10 and 11, the Saints couldn’t keep the momentum going, falling 21-14 to the Rams in week 13. New Orleans was a 2.5-point underdog at home, and the loss dropped them to 4-8 on the season, putting them 3rd in the NFC South. They currently rank 23rd in our power rankings and have just a 0.6% chance of making the playoffs.

New Orleans has a -0.4 average scoring margin and is 5-7 against the spread. They are 1-2 ATS as favorites and 4-5 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-5, with their games averaging 46.4 points compared to an average line of 43.9.

• Over their last three games, the Saints have gone 2-1 straight up. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
• In their last five games away from home, the Saints have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 22 points per game in these contests.

Heading into week 14, the Giants are on a seven-game losing streak, dropping their record to 2-10. This includes a 30-7 loss to the Buccaneers in week 12 and a 27-20 loss to the Cowboys in week 13. New York is 0-6 at home this season, but they have two road wins, including a 29-20 victory over the Seahawks in week 5. The Giants are currently 4th in the NFC East with an 0-5 division record.

Our projections give the Giants a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs, and they rank 31st in our power rankings. Against the spread, New York is 3-9, with seven straight ATS losses. Their O/U record is 4-8, with their games averaging 38.5 points compared to an average line of 41.5.

• Through their last three regular season contests, New York has a record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread sits at 0-3 in these matchups, while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
• In their last five games at home, the Giants have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 21 points per game in this stretch.

• Free Spread Prediction Giants +5 (Bet Now)

Saints vs. Giants Pick: Giants Moneyline (+189)

Our model has the Giants coming out on top by a score of 21-16 in their week 14 matchup against the Saints. With the Giants being 5-point favorites at home, we are recommending taking them to cover as home underdogs.

For this game, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 37 points and the O/U line sitting at 40 points.