Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Saints vs Falcons Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 4

ByUSA Wager

FOX will broadcast the week four NFC South matchup between the Falcons and Saints from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The Falcons are the favorite with a point spread of -1.5 and money line odds of -123. The Saints’ money line odds are +101, and the over/under line is set at 42 points for this 1:00 ET game on Sunday, September 29th.

Prediction at a Glance for Falcons vs Saints

  • We have the Saints winning this one by a score of 23 to 22
  • Not only do we have the Saints winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 42 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Saints +1.5 | Falcons -1.5
  • Total: 42
  • MoneyLine: Saints +101 | Falcons -123

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Saints vs. Falcons Prediction: MoneyLine

Alvin Kamara was the leading rusher for the Saints in their 15-12 loss to the Eagles, gaining just 87 yards on 26 attempts. The Saints’ offense struggled to move the ball, finishing with only 12 first downs and 130 yards passing. Derek Carr, playing at quarterback, threw for 142 yards, completing 56% of his passes, and was sacked once.

Chris Olave led the receiving corps with 86 yards and a touchdown. The Saints’ running game also struggled, averaging only 3.1 yards per attempt. Despite their offensive woes, they did convert on 46.2% of their third down attempts.

The Falcons’ offense was forced to be one-dimensional in their 22-17 loss to the Chiefs, as they managed just 82 yards on 25 rushing attempts. Atlanta’s running game struggled, averaging only 3.3 yards per attempt. Quarterback Kirk Cousins led the passing attack with 229 yards, completing 20 of 29 passes and throwing one touchdown. He was also sacked twice and threw one interception.

Drake London was the top receiver for the Falcons, finishing with 67 yards and one touchdown. Tyler Allgeier led the team with 32 rushing yards. Atlanta finished the game with 19 first downs and went 2-of-9 on third down.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Saints +101 (Bet Now)

Saints vs. Falcons Prediction: Total

The Saints’ defense held the Eagles to 0 completions on 0 passing attempts in their most recent game, but still came out on the losing end, falling 15-12. The defense did force one interception and had four sacks. However, they struggled against the run, allowing 172 yards on just 25 attempts, including a long 82-yard run by Jalen Hurts. New Orleans gave up 460 total yards in the game.

Even though the defense played well against the pass, the Saints’ offense failed to capitalize, going 2 for 13 on third down and only scoring 12 points. The Eagles were able to break through with a big rushing performance, averaging 6.9 yards per attempt.

In their 22-17 loss to the Chiefs, the Falcons’ defense gave up 217 yards through the air. They didn’t manage any sacks and allowed Kansas City to convert on 42.9% of their third down attempts. The Falcons did force one interception, but the Chiefs still came out on top.

Against the run, the Falcons gave up 128 yards on 33 attempts. Atlanta’s defense also struggled to generate pressure, as they lost the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -6.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 42 (Bet Now)

Saints vs. Falcons Prediction: Spread

Despite holding a 3-0 lead at halftime, the Saints fell to the Eagles by a score of 15-12, dropping their record to 2-1 for the season. New Orleans missed a good opportunity to add to their lead in the 3rd quarter and ended up paying for it in the 4th quarter. The Eagles took the lead with just over a minute remaining in the 4th, and the Saints couldn’t come up with a response.

Philadelphia’s Saquon Barkley broke the stalemate in the 3rd quarter with a 65-yard touchdown run. New Orleans finally found the endzone with just over two minutes left in the 4th quarter, as Derek Carr connected with Chris Olave for a touchdown. However, the Eagles quickly responded with a touchdown of their own, and the Saints couldn’t mount a comeback in the final minute.

  • New Orleans will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, New Orleans has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 24 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.

Despite leading 14-13 at halftime, the Falcons ended up losing 22-17 to the Chiefs, dropping their record to 1-2. Atlanta initially took the lead with a touchdown from Kirk Cousins to Drake London in the first quarter. However, the Chiefs tied it up in the 2nd quarter, and the lead went back and forth until the Falcons gave up a 9-point 3rd quarter run to the Chiefs.

Heading into the 4th quarter, the Falcons were down by eight, and Patrick Mahomes added to the Chiefs’ lead with a touchdown to Rashee Rice in the 3rd. Atlanta didn’t help their chances by missing out on a chance to extend their lead late in the 2nd quarter, as they allowed Harrison Butker to kick a field goal with 11 seconds left in the half.

  • Over their last three regular season games, the Falcons have gone 1-2 straight up. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 1-2 and an over-under mark of 0-3.
  • Across their five previous home games, Atlanta has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 15 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Saints +1.5 (Bet Now)

Saints vs. Falcons Pick: Saints Moneyline (+101)

With the point spread sitting at 1.5 in favor of the Saints, we are looking to take New Orleans to cover as road underdogs in this week four matchup between the Saints and Falcons. Our predicted final score is 25-20 in favor of the Saints.

For this week’s over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 45 points and the O/U line currently at 42 points.

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