Saints vs Chiefs Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 5

The Saints and Chiefs will face off on Monday, October 7th at 8:15 ET, with the Chiefs favored on the money line at -227. The Saints are +187 on the money line and +5 on the point spread. This week five non-conference matchup is being televised on ESPN, and the over/under line is set at 42.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Chiefs vs Saints

• We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 22 to 13
• Not only do we have the Chiefs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 42.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Saints +5 | Chiefs -5
• Total: 42.5
• MoneyLine: Saints +187 | Chiefs -227

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Saints vs. Chiefs Prediction: MoneyLine

The Saints’ offense, led by Derek Carr, put up 235 yards passing in their 26-24 loss to the Falcons. New Orleans had 25 first downs and finished with 315 total yards. Alvin Kamara rushed for 77 yards and was the top rusher with 131 yards, averaging 4.0 yards per attempt. The offense was unable to find the endzone through the air, with Carr throwing one interception.

Chris Olave led the receiving corps with 87 yards on eight catches. New Orleans had a good day on third down, converting 53.8% of their chances, but they still came up short in the end. The Saints’ offense will be looking to finish drives with touchdowns in their next game.

The Chiefs’ offense picked up 16 first downs in their 17-10 win over the Chargers, and they finished with 228 yards passing on 29 attempts. Patrick Mahomes threw for 245 yards (19/29), with one touchdown and one interception. Kansas City struggled to run the ball, finishing with just 101 yards on 26 attempts. Mahomes was sacked three times.

On the receiving end, Travis Kelce led the way with 89 yards on seven catches. Kareem Hunt led the team with 69 yards rushing, averaging 4.9 yards per attempt and with a long run of 10 yards.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction Chiefs -227 (Bet Now)

Saints vs. Chiefs Prediction: Total

In their 26-24 loss to the Falcons, the Saints’ defense allowed 227 passing yards and 88 rushing yards on just 15 attempts. They held Atlanta to a 36.4% conversion rate on third down and limited them to 315 total yards. New Orleans didn’t allow any passing touchdowns but did come up with one interception.

The Saints’ defense managed one sack in the game and held the Falcons to a 60% completion rate. New Orleans also won the quarterback hit battle but lost the tackles for loss differential by -2.

In their 17-10 win over the Chargers, the Chiefs’ defense allowed just 169 passing yards on 16 completions. They held the Chargers to 55 yards rushing on 24 attempts, with a yards per attempt of just 2.3. The Chiefs defended the run well and limited big plays, giving up only one touchdown and holding the Chargers to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down.

Kansas City’s defense also recorded two sacks and had six more quarterback hits than the Chargers. This pressure contributed to the Chiefs’ success in defending the pass, as the Chargers completed just 59.3% of their passes. The Chiefs’ defense played a key role in their narrow victory, helping them control the game and limiting the Chargers to 224 total yards.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 42.5 (Bet Now)

Saints vs. Chiefs Prediction: Spread

Despite a late touchdown from Alvin Kamara, the Saints fell to the Falcons 26-24, bringing their season record to 2-2. New Orleans went into the game as +2.5 point underdogs on the road, and their loss came in heartbreaking fashion, as the Falcons kicked a 58-yard field goal with seven seconds left to seal the win. The over/under line heading into the game was 42.5 points, and the teams combined for 50 points.

The Saints were forced to play catch up throughout the game, as Taysom Hill’s second touchdown put them up 14-7 in the 2nd quarter. However, Atlanta scored 10 points before halftime to take the lead. New Orleans managed only a field goal in the 3rd quarter, trailing 20-17 heading into the 4th. Despite Kamara’s late touchdown in the 4th, the Falcons added a final field goal to pull out the win.

• Across New Orleans’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. This also includes going 2-1 ATS, and posting an over-under record of 2-1.
• In their last five road games, New Orleans has averaged 25 points per game while allowing 22. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.

After falling behind 10-0 in their most recent game against the Chargers, the Chiefs rallied to win 17-10, keeping their record at a perfect 4-0. The Chiefs were on the road for this one, and they were 7-point favorites, resulting in a push vs. the spread. The 27 combined points were well below the over/under line of 41.5 points.

Ladd McConkey’s touchdown catch from Justin Herbert put the Chiefs behind early, and they didn’t score until the 2nd quarter when Xavier Worthy caught a touchdown pass from Patrick Mahomes. The game was tied at 10 heading into the 4th quarter, but Samaje Perine’s 2-yard touchdown run put the Chiefs ahead for good.

• The Chiefs have posted a 3-0 record in their previous three games. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 2-0-1 on the over/under.
• In their last five home games, Kansas City has averaged 19 points per game while allowing 14. The team’s record in this stretch was 5-0 while going 4-0-1 vs. the spread.

• Free Spread Prediction Chiefs -5 (Bet Now)

Saints vs. Chiefs Pick: Chiefs -5

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chiefs to cover as home favorites in this week five matchup between the Saints and Chiefs. Right now, the point spread lines have the Chiefs at -5, and we have them winning 21-15. As for an ATS pick, we like the Chiefs to cover at home.

For the over/under line, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 36 points, and the O/U line sitting at 42.5 points.