Saints vs Chargers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 8
The Chargers are heavily favored as they host the Saints at 4:05 ET on Sunday, October 27th at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. The Chargers’ money line odds are -352, while the Saints are at +279. The over/under line is set at 40 points for this week eight non-conference matchup, with the Chargers favored by -7.5 points. The game will be televised on FOX.
Prediction at a Glance for Chargers vs Saints
- We have the Chargers winning this one by a score of 26 to 18
- Not only do we have the Chargers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -7.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 40 points
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Saints +7.5 | Chargers -7.5
- Total: 40
- MoneyLine: Saints +279 | Chargers -352
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Saints vs. Chargers Prediction: MoneyLine
Heading into week 8, the Saints rank 19th in our offensive power rankings. They are 9th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 25.3, and 21st in passing yards per game with 196.6, coming on 30.7 attempts per game. New Orleans is 12th in rushing attempts per game and 19th in rushing yards, with 116.3 per game. They have been strong on 3rd down, converting 43.7% of their attempts, which ranks 6th in the league.
Spencer Rattler has started the last two games for the Saints, throwing for 172 yards on 25/35 passing in week 7, with no touchdowns or interceptions. New Orleans struggled on 3rd down in week 7, converting just 5 of 17 attempts. They also failed to score in the 1st or 3rd quarters, putting up 3 points in the 2nd and 7 in the 4th.
Heading into week 8, the Chargers rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17.7, and 25th in yards per game with 300. Los Angeles ranks 24th in passing yards per game (183.7) and 25th in pass attempts. On the ground, they average 116.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 18th, and are 10th in rushing attempts. The Chargers have been strong on 3rd down, converting 42.5% of their attempts, which ranks 7th in the league. They also lead the NFL in red zone conversion percentage.
Justin Herbert threw for 349 yards in week 7, completing 27 of 39 passes without a touchdown or interception. J.K. Dobbins had 40 rushing yards on 14 carries, and Will Dissly led the team with 8 catches for 81 yards. Los Angeles scored 6 points in the 4th quarter, but fell short in a 17-15 loss to the Cardinals.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction Chargers -352 (Bet Now)
Saints vs. Chargers Prediction: Total
In the Saints’ 33-10 loss to the Broncos, their defense gave up 225 rushing yards on just 35 attempts. Despite this, they held the Broncos to 164 yards passing and a 61.5% completion rate. New Orleans also held Denver to 36.4% on third down and didn’t allow any passing touchdowns.
New Orleans struggled to generate pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and lost the QB hit differential by 11. The Saints also lost the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -3.
In the Chargers’ 17-15 loss to the Cardinals, their defense allowed just 145 passing yards on 14 completions. However, they struggled to stop the run, giving up 181 yards on the ground across 29 attempts. Arizona finished with 326 total yards, including a key 41-yard touchdown run that contributed to the Chargers’ defensive struggles against the run.
Despite their issues against the run, the Chargers’ defense held the Cardinals to a 28.6% third-down conversion rate. They also picked off one pass and limited Arizona to 5.6 yards per attempt in the passing game. However, Los Angeles failed to record a sack and allowed six more quarterback hits than they generated.
- Free Total Prediction OVER 40 (Bet Now)
Saints vs. Chargers Prediction: Spread
After starting the season with two straight wins, the Saints have now dropped five in a row, including a 33-10 loss to the Broncos in week 7. This streak has put New Orleans at 2-5, leaving them 3rd in the NFC South. Our power rankings have the Saints 18th heading into week 8, and they have a 7% chance of making the playoffs.
New Orleans is 3-4 against the spread and has failed to cover in three straight games. Their O/U record is 5-2, with the over hitting in each of the last two games. Saints games have averaged 51 points this season, with an average line of 43.2.
- The Saints have gone 0-3 over their last three regular season games. Against the spread, New Orleans went 0-3 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 2-1.
- Across their last five road contests, New Orleans has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 25 points per game.
Heading into week 8, the Chargers sit at 3-3, giving them a 47.9% chance of making the playoffs and putting them 19th in our power rankings. After a week 6 win over the Broncos, Los Angeles couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing 17-15 to the Cardinals in week 7. The Chargers were 1-point favorites in that game, but they couldn’t pull out the win, dropping them to 3-2-1 against the spread this season.
So far, the Chargers have an average scoring margin of +3.8 points per game. Their O/U record is 1-5, with their games averaging 31.5 points per game. The O/U line in their games has been 39.7 points on average.
- The Chargers have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. Across these games, their ATS record was just 1-1-1, while posting an over-under record of 0-3.
- Across the Chargers last five home games, the team averaged 16 points per game while allowing 14. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
- Free Spread Prediction Chargers -7.5 (Bet Now)
Saints vs. Chargers Pick: Chargers -7.5
The Chargers are our pick to cover the spread in this week eight matchup against the Saints. Even though they are 7.5-point favorites at home, we have the Chargers winning by a score of 27-16.
For this game, we are going with the over as our best bet, with a projected combined score of 43 points. The current O/U line is sitting at just 40 points.
