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Ravens vs Texans Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 17

ByUSA Wager

The Texans are the underdog at +176 on the money line as they host the Ravens at 4:30 ET on Wednesday, December 25th at NRG Stadium in Houston. The Ravens are favored by -4 on the road, and the over/under line is at 47.5 points. This week 17 AFC matchup is being televised on NFLX.

Prediction at a Glance for Texans vs Ravens

  • We have the Texans winning this one by a score of 29 to 25
  • Not only do we have the Texans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +4
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 47.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Ravens -4 | Texans +4
  • Total: 47.5
  • MoneyLine: Ravens -210 | Texans +176

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Ravens vs. Texans Prediction: MoneyLine

Our offensive power rankings have the Ravens at the top heading into week 17. They lead the NFL in yards per game (423.7) and are 3rd in points per game, averaging 30.1. Baltimore ranks 3rd in 3rd-down conversions (48.2%) and 4th in red zone attempts, although they are 30th in red zone conversion percentage. Despite ranking 26th in passing attempts, they are 5th in passing yards per game, with 242.5. On the ground, the Ravens are 3rd in rushing attempts and 2nd in rushing yards per game, averaging 181.2.

Lamar Jackson threw for 207 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 16, completing 15 of 23 passes with 1 interception. Derrick Henry rushed for 162 yards on 24 carries, and Zay Flowers had 5 catches for 100 yards. Baltimore scored in every quarter, putting up 10 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters. Before Flowers’ 100-yard game, Rashod Bateman led the team with 80 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 15, and Flowers had 74 yards in week 14.

Heading into week 17, the Texans rank 20th in our offensive power rankings. They are 13th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.1, and 20th in yards per game, with 323.3. Houston has been strong in the first quarter, ranking 7th in the league in scoring. They are 15th in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 19th in red zone conversion rate, despite being 9th in red zone attempts.

In week 16, C.J. Stroud threw for 244 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions against the Chiefs. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing with 57 yards on 14 carries, while Tank Dell had 6 catches for 98 yards and a touchdown. Dell will miss the rest of the season with a knee injury.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Texans +176 (Bet Now)

Ravens vs. Texans Prediction: Total

Despite giving up 117 rushing yards to the Steelers, the Ravens’ defense came away with a 34-17 win. They held Pittsburgh to 40% on third down and recorded three sacks in the game. Baltimore’s defense also limited the Steelers to 198 passing yards on 22 completions and forced one interception.

The Ravens’ defense gave up two passing touchdowns in the game but made it tough on the Steelers to sustain drives, and they won the battle in quarterback hits and tackles for loss.

In the Texans’ 27-19 loss to the Chiefs, their defense allowed Kansas City to convert on 53.8% of their third down attempts. They gave up 375 total yards, with 124 coming on the ground and 251 through the air. Houston allowed the Chiefs to complete 68.3% of their passes and finish with a yards per attempt of 6.1.

Houston’s defense struggled to generate pressure, managing just one sack and losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials to the Chiefs. This impacted their ability to slow down Kansas City’s passing attack and limited their overall defensive performance.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 47.5 (Bet Now)

Ravens vs. Texans Prediction: Spread

At 10-5, the Ravens sit 2nd in our power rankings and have a 100% chance of making the playoffs. They’ve won two straight, including a 34-17 victory over the Steelers in week 16. Baltimore covered the 7-point spread in that game, and the 51 combined points went over the 44-point line.

The Ravens are 8-6-1 against the spread this season, with a +6.9 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 12-3, with the over hitting in their last two games. Baltimore’s games have averaged 53.4 points, compared to a 47.6-point line.

  • Over their last three games, the Ravens have gone 2-1 straight up. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 2-1.
  • Baltimore has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 29 points per game while allowing 23. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.

At 9-6, the Texans hold the top spot in the AFC South, with our projections giving them a 100% chance of winning the division and making the playoffs. Houston ranks 11th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 17. They are 5-2 at home and 4-4 on the road this season.

Against the spread, the Texans are 6-8-1, with a +1.3 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 5-9-1, with their games averaging 44.9 points (O/U line: 44.8). In week 16, they lost 27-19 to the Chiefs, leaving them at 9-6. Before that, they beat the Dolphins 20-12 in week 15 and the Jaguars 23-20 in week 13.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Houston has a record of 1-2. Across this span, their ATS record sits at 2-1 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-1-1.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 2-2-1 while averaging 22 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Texans +4 (Bet Now)

Ravens vs. Texans Pick: Texans Moneyline (+176)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Texans to cover as home underdogs. They are currently sitting at +4 point underdogs, and we have them not only covering but winning by a score of 32-23.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 47.5 points, we have these teams combining for 55 points, making our pick the over.

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