Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Ravens vs Chiefs Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 1

ByUSA Wager

On Thursday, September 5th at 8:20 ET, the Ravens and Chiefs will kick off their season on NBC. The Chiefs are favored at -152 on the money line and -3 on the point spread. The over/under line is at 46.5 points for this week one AFC matchup at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.

Prediction at a Glance for Chiefs vs Ravens

  • We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 24 to 16
  • Not only do we have the Chiefs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 46.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Ravens +3 | Chiefs -3
  • Total: 46.5
  • MoneyLine: Ravens +127 | Chiefs -152

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Ravens vs. Chiefs Prediction: MoneyLine

With an average of 156.4 rushing yards per game, the Ravens led the NFL in this category last season. They also ranked 3rd in rushing attempts per game. Overall, the Ravens’ offense was 8th in the league, scoring 27.7 points per game. They were 4th in the league in points per game, both at home and on the road, averaging 30.1 points at home and 24.5 on the road.

Despite being 29th in passing attempts per game, the Ravens were 3rd in passing yards per attempt. Their 367.6 yards per game placed them 6th in the league in total yards. They also had the 2nd highest percentage of first downs coming from rushing plays, at 770.5%.

The Ravens were 8th in the league in offensive power rankings last season, averaging 27.7 points per game, which was 4th best in the NFL. They were also 4th in both home and road scoring, with 30.1 points at home and 24.5 on the road. Baltimore was one of the most run-heavy offenses in the league, averaging 31.5 rushing attempts per game and leading the league with 156.4 rushing yards per game.

In the passing game, the Ravens were 3rd in passing yards per attempt, but their 29th ranking in passing attempts per game limited their overall production, finishing 21st in passing yards with 211.2 per game. They also excelled on third downs, converting 42% of their third down attempts.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Chiefs -152 (Bet Now)

Ravens vs. Chiefs Prediction: Total

Opposing quarterbacks had a tough time against the Ravens last season, as they allowed a league-best passer rating of just 71.64. Baltimore’s defense was the top-ranked unit in the NFL, giving up only 16.2 points per game. They also excelled in the turnover game, leading the league in takeaways (31) and turnover differential.

The Ravens’ secondary was particularly strong, giving up just 5.1 yards per attempt, which was the best in the league. Their run defense was also impressive, allowing the fewest rushing touchdowns and the 10th best figure in rushing yards per attempt.

Despite being on the road, the Ravens’ defense allowed just 15 points per game last season, the best mark in the league. Their overall points allowed per game was also the best in the NFL, at 16.2. They excelled in both stopping the run and creating turnovers, leading the league in rushing touchdowns allowed and takeaways.

Against the pass, the Ravens were the best in the league, allowing just 5.1 yards per attempt. Opposing quarterbacks had a collective passer rating of 71.64 against Baltimore, the lowest in the NFL.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 46.5 (Bet Now)

Ravens vs. Chiefs Prediction: Spread

The Ravens’ 13-4 record last season was boosted by their success in non-conference games, where they went a perfect 5-0. They also made a strong push in the playoffs, reaching the AFC Conference Championship before falling to the Chiefs, 17-10. Baltimore excelled against teams with winning records, going 11-5 and winning the AFC North with a 3-3 division record.

As favorites, the Ravens went 12-4 and they were 10-6 against the spread. At home, their ATS record was 6-5, while they were 6-2 ATS on the road. The over/under record in Ravens’ games was 8-10-1, with an average combined scoring of 43.9 points per game.

  • Baltimore has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 1-2 and an over-under mark of 0-2-1.
  • Baltimore has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 5-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 26 points per game while allowing 15. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.

The Ravens’ ATS record was 12-7 last season, and they were 10-6 vs. the spread as favorites and 2-1 as underdogs. Baltimore’s playoff run ended in the AFC Conference Championship with a 17-10 loss to the Chiefs. They excelled in non-conference games, going 5-0, and topped the AFC with a 9-5 record. Within the division, they went 3-3, but their overall record was 13-4, placing them 1st in the AFC North.

When favored, the Ravens went 12-4, and they were 11-5 vs. above .500 teams. Their over/under record was 8-10-1, with their games averaging 43.9 points per game. This placed them 17th in the league in average combined scoring. At home, the Ravens were 5-3 ATS as favorites and 0-1 as home underdogs. On the road, they were 6-2 ATS.

  • Kansas City has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. In terms of betting, the team went 3-0 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 0-2-1.
  • In their last five home games, Kansas City has averaged 20 points per game while allowing 18. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
  • Free Spread Prediction Chiefs -3 (Bet Now)

Ravens vs. Chiefs Pick: Chiefs -3

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chiefs to cover as home favorites. Right now, the point spread lines have the Ravens at +3, and with our projected score of 22-18 in favor of the Chiefs, we are locking in the Chiefs to cover.

For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the under, with the line sitting at 46.5 points. Our projections have this game finishing with just 40 combined points.

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