Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Ravens vs Bills Prediction & NFL Odds For The Divisional round

ByUSA Wager

The Ravens are favored on the road in their AFC matchup against the Bills. The game, set for 6:30 ET on Sunday, January 19th, will be broadcast on CBS. The Ravens’ money line odds are -117, while the Bills’ odds are -102. The over/under line is set at 51.5 points, with Baltimore favored by -1 point on the road.

Prediction at a Glance for Bills vs Ravens

  • We have the Bills winning this one by a score of 25 to 21
  • Not only do we have the Bills winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 51.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Ravens -1 | Bills +1
  • Total: 51.5
  • MoneyLine: Ravens -117 | Bills -102

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Ravens vs. Bills Prediction: MoneyLine

We have the Ravens sitting atop our offensive power rankings heading into the divisional round. They lead the NFL in yards per game (427.1) and rank 3rd in points per game, averaging 30.3. Baltimore has leaned heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and leading the league with 193.8 rushing yards per game. On 3rd down, they have been solid, converting 48.2% of their attempts, which ranks 3rd in the NFL. However, they have struggled in the red zone, ranking 31st in conversion percentage.

Lamar Jackson posted a passer rating of 132 in the wild-card round, throwing for 175 yards and 2 touchdowns on 16/21 passing. Derrick Henry rushed for 186 yards and 2 touchdowns on 26 carries, while Isaiah Likely led the team in receiving with 53 yards on 3 catches.

Josh Allen was excellent in the Wild Card round, completing 20 of 26 passes for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception, posting a passer rating of 135. Curtis Samuel led the team with 68 receiving yards on 3 catches, while James Cook rushed for 120 yards and a touchdown on 23 carries. Buffalo scored 24 points in the first three quarters against Denver but struggled in the red zone, converting only 1 of 5 attempts.

Buffalo ranks 2nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 30.9, and is 9th in passing yards per game with 229.8, despite ranking 24th in passing attempts. They also rank 9th in rushing yards per game, with 135.6, on 29.7 attempts per game. The Bills are 7th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 44.1% success rate, but rank 30th in red zone conversion percentage.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Bills -102 (Bet Now)

Ravens vs. Bills Prediction: Total

Despite allowing 251 passing yards, the Ravens’ defense held the Steelers to just 29 rushing yards on 11 attempts in their 28-14 win. Baltimore’s defense recorded four sacks and held Pittsburgh to 2.6 yards per attempt on the ground. The Ravens also won the quarterback hit battle, with a +6 differential, but lost the tackles for loss battle by -2.

On the negative side, the Ravens allowed two passing touchdowns and allowed the Steelers to convert on 45.5% of their third down attempts. Baltimore gave up 280 total yards in the game.

Buffalo’s defense was dominant in their 31-7 win over the Broncos, holding them to just 79 yards on 17 rushing attempts. The Bills’ secondary allowed only 145 passing yards and held Denver to a 60.9% completion rate. They defended well on third downs, allowing just a 22.2% conversion rate.

The Bills’ defense also recorded two sacks and limited the Broncos to just 224 total yards. Despite giving up one passing touchdown, they kept the Broncos out of the endzone for the majority of the game.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 51.5 (Bet Now)

Ravens vs. Bills Prediction: Spread

After finishing the regular season 12-5, the Ravens entered the playoffs on a four-game winning streak, which included a 28-14 victory over the Steelers in the Wild Card round. Baltimore was favored by 8.5 points and covered the spread, while the 42 combined points fell short of the 44.5-point line. Before that, the Ravens had a 35-10 win over the Browns in week 18 and a 31-2 win over the Texans in week 17.

Heading into the Divisional round, the Ravens are ranked 2nd in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +9.5 and are 11-6-1 against the spread, including four straight ATS wins. Their O/U record is 13-5, with their games averaging 51.2 points compared to a 47.1-point line.

  • Baltimore has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 3-0. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2.
  • Across their last five road contests, Baltimore has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 27 points per game.

Buffalo finished the regular season 13-4, putting them 2nd in the AFC and 3rd in our power rankings. They went 5-1 in the division and 10-3 in conference play. The Bills were 9-0 at home but just 5-4 on the road. After losing to the Patriots in week 18, they bounced back with a 31-7 win over the Broncos in the Wild Card round, easily covering the 7.5-point spread. The O/U line was 48.5, and the teams combined for 38 points.

Buffalo has an average scoring margin of +10.1 and is 11-7 ATS this season. They are 9-5 as favorites and 2-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 11-7, with the over hitting in their last two games. The average line in their games was 46.4, with an average of 51.7 points scored.

  • Buffalo will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 3-0 over their past three games. In terms of betting, the team went 2-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 1-2.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Buffalo has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 33 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Bills +1 (Bet Now)

Ravens vs. Bills Pick: Bills Moneyline (-102)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Buffalo Bills to cover as home underdogs in this week two postseason matchup vs. the Ravens. The point spread has the Bills at +1, and we have them not only covering but winning by a score of 27-21.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 51.5 points, we are leaning towards the under with a projected combined score of 48 points.

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