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Rams vs Patriots Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 11

ByUSA Wager

The Patriots are +175 on the money line as they host the Rams at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. The Rams are favored on the road with a money line of -213 and a point spread of -4.5. The over/under line is set at 43.5 points for this non-conference matchup, which is being televised by FOX.

Prediction at a Glance for Patriots vs Rams

  • We have the Patriots winning this one by a score of 25 to 20
  • Not only do we have the Patriots winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +4.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 43.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Rams -4.5 | Patriots +4.5
  • Total: 43.5
  • MoneyLine: Rams -213 | Patriots +175

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Rams vs. Patriots Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 11, the Rams are 16th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 20.6 points per game, which ranks 17th in the NFL. They also sit 17th in passing yards per game with 328.7, while their 35.9 passing attempts per game are 5th most in the league. On the ground, they rank 26th in rushing yards per game, with 94.1, on 25 attempts per game.

Matthew Stafford threw for 293 yards in week 10, completing 32 of 46 passes, but didn’t find the end zone and was sacked 4 times. Kyren Williams led the team with 62 rushing yards on 15 carries, while Puka Nacua had 9 catches for 98 yards.

Heading into week 11, the Patriots rank 28th in our offensive power rankings. They are 32nd in the NFL in both passing yards per game (156.8) and total yards per game (271.1). New England is 28th in points per game, averaging 16, and they rank 24th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage (34.6%). However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 48.1% of their opportunities, which ranks 9th in the NFL.

In week 10, the Patriots scored 19 points in their win over the Bears, with 16 of those coming in the first half. Drake Maye threw for 184 yards (15/25), with one touchdown and one interception. Rhamondre Stevenson had 74 rushing yards on 20 carries, and Austin Hooper led the team in receiving with 64 yards on 3 catches.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Patriots +175 (Bet Now)

Rams vs. Patriots Prediction: Total

The Rams’ defense gave up just 171 passing yards to the Dolphins in their most recent game, but they still came out on the losing end by a score of 23-15. Miami’s offense finished with 238 total yards against Los Angeles. The Rams’ run defense was solid, allowing just 67 yards on 22 attempts (3.0 yards per attempt).

Even though they held Miami to 46.2% on third down, the Rams still allowed the Dolphins to convert enough key plays to come out on top. Los Angeles also came away with three sacks and one interception in the game.

New England’s defense was dominant in their most recent game, giving up just 69 yards passing to the Bears. They allowed only 142 total yards and held Chicago to a 7.1% conversion rate on third down. The Patriots’ pass rush was relentless, recording an incredible 9 sacks in the game.

On the ground, the Bears managed just 73 rushing yards on 20 attempts. The Patriots’ secondary was tough to break down, allowing just 16 completions and no touchdowns.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 43.5 (Bet Now)

Rams vs. Patriots Prediction: Spread

After two straight wins, the Rams couldn’t keep the momentum going in week 10, losing 23-15 at home to the Dolphins. Los Angeles was a 2-point favorite but couldn’t get the job done, dropping their record to 4-5 this season. The Rams are now 3rd in the NFC West and rank 18th in our NFL power rankings, giving them an 18.4% chance of making the playoffs.

Against the spread, the Rams are 3-6, with an average scoring margin of -3.6 points per game. Their O/U record is 4-5, with the under hitting in their last two games. On average, their games have had 44.7 points, compared to a line of 47.1.

  • Over their last three games, the Rams have gone 2-1 straight up. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Los Angeles has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 19 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.

Heading into week 11, the Patriots sit 30th in our power rankings and have just a 1% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3-7 this season, including a 1-3 record at home and a 2-4 mark on the road. In division games, New England is 1-2, and they are 2-5 against AFC opponents.

New England has a -6 scoring margin and is 4-5-1 against the spread. They have covered in three straight games, including a 16-point win over the Bears in week 10. The Patriots were 6-point underdogs in that game. They have been the underdog in all of their games so far this season. Their O/U record is 5-5, with the under hitting in their last two games.

  • New England has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 1-2 and an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • In their last five games at home, the Patriots have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 13 points per game in these contests.
  • Free Spread Prediction Patriots +4.5 (Bet Now)

Rams vs. Patriots Pick: Patriots Moneyline (+175)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Patriots to cover as home underdogs in their matchup against the Rams. Currently, the point spread lines have the Patriots at +4.5, and we have them winning 30-21 in week 11 of the regular season.

For the over/under line, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 51 points and the O/U line sitting at just 43.5 points.

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