Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Patriots vs Jets Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 3

ByUSA Wager

The Patriots are +231 on the money line as they face the Jets at 8:15 ET on Thursday, September 19th at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Jets are favored at -282 on the money line and -6.5 on the point spread. This week three AFC East matchup is being televised by AMZN, and the over/under line is set at 38.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Jets vs Patriots

  • We have the Jets winning this one by a score of 25 to 19
  • Even though we like the Jets to win, our ATS pick is to take the Patriots at +6.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 38.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Patriots +6.5 | Jets -6.5
  • Total: 38.5
  • MoneyLine: Patriots +231 | Jets -282

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Patriots vs. Jets Prediction: MoneyLine

In their 23-20 overtime loss to the Seahawks, the Patriots’ offense managed just 125 yards passing on 27 attempts. They did have a good day running the ball, with 185 yards on 36 attempts, averaging 5.1 yards per attempt. Jacoby Brissett threw for 149 yards, completing 15 of 27 passes, with one touchdown and being sacked three times.

New England finished with 19 first downs and 358 total yards. Brissett’s top target was tight end Hunter Henry, who had 109 yards receiving. On the ground, Antonio Gibson led the team with 96 yards, including a 45-yard run. The Patriots converted on 37.5% of their third-down chances.

The Jets’ offense put up 164 yards through the air in their 24-17 win over the Titans, with Aaron Rodgers going 18/30 for 176 yards and two touchdowns. New York finished with 16 first downs and 300 total yards. Breece Hall led the ground game with 62 yards on 14 carries and added 52 receiving yards, including a receiving touchdown. Garrett Wilson was the top receiver with 57 yards.

New York’s offense was 2-for-2 in the red zone, and Rodgers was not intercepted in the game. The Jets were sacked twice and averaged 5.5 yards per passing attempt.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Jets -282 (Bet Now)

Patriots vs. Jets Prediction: Total

In the Patriots’ 23-20 overtime loss to the Seahawks, New England’s defense allowed 312 passing yards on 33 completions. They defended the run well, giving up just 46 yards on 19 attempts, which is 2.4 yards per attempt. The Patriots’ defense forced three sacks and limited Seattle to a 46.7% third-down conversion rate.

New England’s defense struggled to get off the field on third down, as the Seahawks converted several key third downs to keep drives alive. Despite their success against the run, the Patriots allowed Seattle to finish with 358 total yards. Additionally, the Patriots’ defense allowed the Seahawks to complete 75% of their passes.

The Jets’ defense came up with four sacks and held the Titans to 41.7% on third down in their 24-17 win. Despite giving up 130 yards on the ground, they limited Tennessee to 170 passing yards. The Jets’ defense also picked off one pass and allowed the Titans to complete 67.9% of their passes.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 38.5 (Bet Now)

Patriots vs. Jets Prediction: Spread

The Patriots are now 1-1 after their 23-20 overtime loss to the Seahawks. New England was +3-point underdogs at home and the game ended in a push. The Patriots missed a great chance to win this one in regulation, as Joey Slye missed a 48-yard field goal with 3:59 left in the 4th quarter and New England leading 20-17. Seattle tied the game with 58 seconds left in the 4th quarter on a Jason Myers 38-yard field goal.

In overtime, the Patriots had to kick things off with the ball first, and Seattle’s defense was able to get a stop. The Seahawks then drove down the field and Jason Myers kicked a 31-yard field goal to give Seattle the lead for good. The Patriots and Seahawks were tied at 20 after New England’s Rhamondre Stevenson scored on a 12-yard touchdown run with 12:46 left in the 4th quarter.

  • Over their last three regular season games, the Patriots have gone 1-2 straight up. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 1-1-1 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, New England has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.

The Jets picked up a 24-17 win over the Titans to move to 1-1 on the season. New York was on the road for this one, and they were also the favorite at -3.5. The game was tied at 17 heading into the 4th quarter, but the Jets outscored the Titans 7-0 in the final quarter. The over/under line was set at 41 points, and the teams finished with a combined 41 points, resulting in a push. The Jets fell behind early, with the Titans scoring a touchdown with 2:35 left in the 1st quarter. New York responded with a touchdown from Aaron Rodgers to Braelon Allen to tie the game at 7 in the 2nd quarter. However, the Titans kicked a late field goal to take a 10-7 lead heading into halftime. In the 3rd quarter, the Jets took control, with Rodgers finding Breece Hall and Greg Zuerlein adding a field goal to give the Jets a 17-10 lead.

  • Over their last three games, the Jets have gone 2-1 straight up. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is less impressive at 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 2-1.
  • In their last five games at home, the Jets have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 16 points per game in these contests.
  • Free Spread Prediction Patriots +6.5 (Bet Now)

Patriots vs. Jets Pick: Patriots +6.5

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Patriots to cover as road underdogs in this week three matchup between the Patriots and Jets. The point spread currently has the Jets at -6.5, and with our projected final score being 23-20 in favor of the Jets, we like the Patriots to cover at +6.5.

For an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 38.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, projecting a combined score of 43 points.

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