Patriots vs Jaguars Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 7

At 9:30 ET, the Jaguars and Patriots will face off at Wembley Stadium in London. The Jaguars are the home team, but this one is being played at a neutral site. The Jaguars are the favorite with a money line of -239, and they are -5.5 point favorites. The Patriots’ money line odds are +195. This week seven AFC matchup is being televised on NFL Network, and the over/under line is set at 42.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Jaguars vs Patriots

• We have the Patriots winning this one by a score of 29 to 18
• Not only do we have the Patriots winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +5.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 42.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Patriots +5.5 | Jaguars -5.5
• Total: 42.5
• MoneyLine: Patriots +195 | Jaguars -239

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Patriots vs. Jaguars Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 7, the Patriots rank 29th in our offensive power rankings and are scoring 13.8 points per game, which ranks 28th in the NFL. They are 30th in the league in total yards, averaging 257.5 per game, and they have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 31% of their attempts. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 78.6% of their opportunities, which ranks 4th in the league.

Drake Maye took over at quarterback in week 6, throwing for 243 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions in the Patriots’ 41-21 loss to the Texans. Demario Douglas led the team with 6 catches for 92 yards, while Maye also led the team in rushing with 38 yards on 5 carries. New England scored in each of the last 3 quarters but struggled on 3rd down, converting only 3 of 13 attempts.

Heading into week 7, the Jaguars sit 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They rank 20th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.8, and are 19th in yards per game, with 319.5. Jacksonville has been pass-heavy, ranking 10th in passing attempts, but they are only 20th in passing yards per game, with 203. On the ground, they rank 28th in rushing attempts and 19th in rushing yards per game, averaging 116.5.

In week 6, Trevor Lawrence threw for 234 yards and 2 touchdowns on 23/35 passing, with 1 interception. Evan Engram led the team with 10 catches for 102 yards. Jacksonville converted 7 of 15 third downs and scored on 2 of 3 red zone trips in their 35-16 loss to the Bears.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction Patriots +195 (Bet Now)

Patriots vs. Jaguars Prediction: Total

Despite giving up 192 yards on the ground, the Patriots’ defense held the Texans to just 176 yards passing in their most recent game, which ended in a 41-21 loss for New England. The Patriots’ defense struggled to stop the run, allowing 6.9 yards per attempt and three rushing touchdowns. They did manage to force one interception and had two sacks in the game.

New England allowed the Texans to convert on 36.4% of their third down attempts. Even though they gave up 41 points, the Patriots’ offense was responsible for two of the touchdowns, as they allowed 368 yards and 21 points. Additionally, the Patriots allowed two defensive scores in the game.

In their 35-16 loss to the Bears, the Jaguars’ defense struggled to defend the pass, allowing four passing touchdowns while Chicago completed 79.3% of their passes for 221 yards. The Jaguars’ defense did come up with one interception and managed three sacks. However, they allowed Chicago to convert on 45.5% of their third down attempts.

On the ground, the Jaguars gave up 152 rushing yards to the Bears on just 29 attempts, averaging 5.2 yards per carry. Despite their struggles against the run, the Bears were able to move the ball effectively through the air and capitalize with four passing touchdowns.

• Free Total Prediction OVER 42.5 (Bet Now)

Patriots vs. Jaguars Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 7, the Patriots are on a five-game losing streak, including a 41-21 home loss to the Texans in week 6. New England was a 6.5-point underdog in that game, and the 62 combined points easily cleared the 39.5-point line. The Patriots are now 1-5, with their only win coming in week 1 against the Bengals.

Our power rankings have the Patriots 32nd, and they have just a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs. They are 1-4-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -10 points per game. Their O/U record is 3-3, with their games averaging 37.7 points.

• The Patriots have gone 0-3 over their last three regular season games. In these contests, the team went just 0-3 against the spread, while going 2-1 on the over-under.
• Across their last five road contests, New England has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 15 points per game.

Heading into week 7, the Jaguars sit 24th in our NFL power rankings and have just a 4.8% chance of making the playoffs. Jacksonville is 1-5 this season, with their lone win coming against the Colts in week 5. However, they couldn’t build on that victory, losing 35-16 to the Bears in week 6. The Jaguars were 1.5-point favorites in that game, but they couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 1-5.

Jacksonville is 2-4 against the spread this season, including 0-3 as favorites and 2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 3-3, with the over hitting in their last two games. The average combined score in their games is 48.5 points, while the average O/U line is 45.2.

• Through their last three games, the Jaguars have a record of 2-1. However, they have only gone 1-2 vs. the spread over this stretch. Their over-under record in these three games was 1-2.
• In their last five games at home, the Jaguars have a straight up record of 0-5 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 16 points per game in this stretch.

• Free Spread Prediction Patriots +5.5 (Bet Now)

Patriots vs. Jaguars Pick: Patriots Moneyline (+195)

Our projected score for this week seven matchup between the Patriots and Jaguars is 25-24 in favor of the Patriots. With the point spread sitting at 5.5 points in favor of the Patriots, we like them to not only win but also cover as road underdogs.

For this matchup, we also have a point spread pick, and with the line at 42.5 points, we like the over, with a projected combined score of 49 points.