Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Packers vs Eagles Prediction & NFL Odds For The Wild Card round

ByUSA Wager

FOX will televise the NFC wild card round matchup between the Eagles and Packers. The Eagles are favored at -237 on the money line and -5 on the point spread. Kickoff is at 4:30 ET at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, with the over/under line set at 46 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Eagles vs Packers

  • We have the Eagles winning this one by a score of 24 to 22
  • Even though we like the Eagles to win, our ATS pick is to take the Packers at +5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 46 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Packers +5 | Eagles -5
  • Total: 46
  • MoneyLine: Packers +199 | Eagles -237

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Packers vs. Eagles Prediction: MoneyLine

Green Bay enters the Wild Card round ranked 10th in our offensive power rankings. They are 8th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.1 points per game, and 5th in total yards, with 370.5 per game. Despite ranking 26th in passing attempts, they are 12th in passing yards, with 223.6 per game. The Packers have leaned on the run game, ranking 5th in both rushing attempts and yards, averaging 146.8 yards per game.

In terms of situational football, Green Bay is 14th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 39.5% success rate. They rank 3rd in red zone attempts but are just 27th in conversion percentage, scoring on only 8.7% of their trips inside the 20.

Jalen Hurts threw for 311 yards in week 3, completing 29 of 38 passes, but he didn’t find the end zone and threw one interception. Dallas Goedert led the team with 170 receiving yards on 10 catches. Saquon Barkley rushed for 147 yards and 2 touchdowns on 17 carries.

Philadelphia ranks 4th in our offensive power rankings. They average 27.2 points per game, which ranks 7th in the NFL, and they are 8th in passing yards per game with 367.2.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Eagles -237 (Bet Now)

Packers vs. Eagles Prediction: Total

In their 24-22 loss to the Bears, the Packers’ defense allowed just 141 passing yards on 21 completions. Chicago managed to score one passing touchdown, and Green Bay forced one interception. The Packers’ run defense also played well, giving up only 83 yards on 26 attempts (3.2 yards per attempt) and holding the Bears to 224 total yards.

Despite their strong defensive effort, the Packers struggled on third downs, allowing the Bears to convert 50% of their third down attempts. Green Bay’s defense recorded one sack and had one more tackle for loss than the Bears.

In their 20-13 win over the Giants, the Eagles’ defense gave up 138 passing yards and 100 rushing yards on 25 attempts. They struggled to generate pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and had a negative tackles for loss differential. The Eagles’ defense allowed the Giants to convert 28.6% of their third down attempts.

The Eagles did come up with one interception and limited the Giants to just 4.8 passing yards per attempt. Despite this, the Giants still managed to complete 75.9% of their passes for 22 completions and one touchdown.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 46 (Bet Now)

Packers vs. Eagles Prediction: Spread

The Packers enter the playoffs on a two-game losing streak, including a 24-22 home loss to the Bears in week 18. Green Bay was a 10-point favorite in that game but couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 11-6. That puts them 3rd in the NFC North with a 1-5 division record, but they still managed to finish 7th in the conference. The Packers were 3rd in our power rankings heading into the season.

Against the spread, Green Bay is 8-8-1, with an average scoring margin of +7.2 points per game. They are 6-6 as the favorite and 2-2-1 as the underdog. Their O/U record is also 8-8-1, and the over has hit in two straight games.

  • Green Bay has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). Their record vs the spread sits at 1-2 in these matchups, while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
  • Although Green Bay has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 1-3-1. The team averaged 27 points per game in these games.

With a 14-3 record, the Eagles finished the season first in the NFC East and second in the conference. After a week 2 loss to the Falcons, they bounced back with two straight wins, including a 20-13 victory over the Giants in week 18. Philadelphia entered that game as 3-point favorites and covered the spread, while the 33 combined points fell short of the 36-point line.

The Eagles have an average scoring margin of +9.4 points per game and are 11-6 against the spread. As favorites, they are 8-6 ATS, and they have covered in all three games where they were underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-10, with their games averaging 45.1 points per game.

  • Through their last three games, the Eagles have a record of 3-0. In these games, they have a 3-0 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Across their last five home contests, Philadelphia has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 33 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Packers +5 (Bet Now)

Packers vs. Eagles Pick: Packers +5

Our pick vs. the spread in this Eagles vs. Packers matchup is to take the Packers to cover as road underdogs. Currently, the point spread lines have the Eagles at -5, and with our projected final score being 24-22 in favor of Philadelphia, we like the Packers to cover at +5.

For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 46 points. If you are looking to make a play on the over/under line, we’d recommend taking the over with the line sitting at 46 points.

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