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Lions vs Texans Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 10

ByUSA Wager

The Lions are favored on the road in their week 10 non-conference matchup against the Texans. The game is being televised on NBC, with the Lions favored by -3.5 and their money line at -187. The Texans’ money line odds are +154, and the over/under line is set at 49.5 points. The game is set to kick off at 8:20 ET from NRG Stadium in Houston.

Prediction at a Glance for Texans vs Lions

  • We have the Lions winning this one by a score of 24 to 21
  • Even though we like the Lions to win, our ATS pick is to take the Texans at +3.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 49.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Lions -3.5 | Texans +3.5
  • Total: 49.5
  • MoneyLine: Lions -187 | Texans +154

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Lions vs. Texans Prediction: MoneyLine

Jared Goff has been efficient in his last three games, posting passer ratings of 109 in week 9, 129 in week 8, and 140 in week 7. Against the Packers in week 9, he threw for 145 yards and a touchdown, completing 18 of 22 passes. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receiving corps with 7 catches for 56 yards and a touchdown, while David Montgomery rushed for 73 yards on 17 carries.

Detroit’s offense ranks 3rd in our power rankings, leading the NFL with 32.2 points per game. They are 7th in passing yards per game (217) and 6th in rushing, averaging 152.6 yards per game. Despite ranking 5th in red zone attempts, they are 25th in conversion percentage, with a 41.6% success rate on 3rd down.

Heading into week 10, the Texans rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 16th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 22.3, and 11th in yards per game with 348.1. Houston ranks 13th in passing yards per game (221.7) and 11th in rushing yards per game (126.4). They are 14th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 38.4% success rate, and rank 19th in red zone conversion percentage.

Joe Mixon has been a key contributor for the Texans, rushing for 106 yards on 24 carries in week 9. C.J. Stroud threw for 191 yards on 11/30 passing, while Tank Dell led the team with 6 catches for 126 yards. Stroud was sacked 8 times in the loss to the Jets.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Lions -187 (Bet Now)

Lions vs. Texans Prediction: Total

In their 24-14 win over the Packers, the Lions’ defense gave up 411 yards, including 138 rushing yards on just 23 attempts. They didn’t record any sacks in the game and allowed Green Bay to convert 40% of their third downs. Despite this, the Lions’ defense kept the Packers out of the endzone, as all 14 of their points came from touchdowns.

Detroit’s secondary held up well, allowing just a 59% completion rate and forcing one interception. However, the Lions struggled to generate pressure, with no sacks and only two tackles for loss in the game.

The Texans’ defense gave up three passing touchdowns in their 21-13 loss to the Jets, allowing 193 yards through the air. Overall, the defense struggled to defend the pass, as the Jets completed 68.8% of their passes. Houston’s defense also struggled on third downs, allowing the Jets to convert 41.7% of their third down attempts.

Despite the tough game defending the pass, the Texans’ run defense was solid, allowing just 100 yards on 21 attempts. They also managed two sacks but lost the tackles for loss differential by -3.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 49.5 (Bet Now)

Lions vs. Texans Prediction: Spread

With a 7-1 record, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 98.2% chance of making the playoffs. They also have a 77.7% chance of winning the NFC North. Detroit has won six straight games, including a 24-14 victory over the Packers in week 9. They were favored by 2.5 points and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 7-1 this season.

In week 8, the Lions easily covered the 12.5-point spread by beating the Titans 52-14. In week 7, they narrowly defeated the Vikings 31-29, winning outright as 1.5-point underdogs. Detroit also has road wins over the Cowboys (47-9 in week 6) and Cardinals (20-13 in week 3) and a 42-29 home win over the Seahawks in week 4.

  • Over their last three games, the Lions have gone 3-0 straight up. In these games, they have a 3-0 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • The Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.

At 6-3, the Texans sit atop the AFC South with a 3-0 division record and are 5-1 in conference play. They have a 93.2% chance of making the playoffs and an 88.2% chance of winning the division, according to our projections. Houston ranks 12th in our power rankings heading into week 10.

The Texans are 3-6 against the spread this season, including 2-5 as the favorite. They failed to cover in two straight games, including their week 9 loss to the Jets. The under has hit in three consecutive Texans games, and their O/U record is 2-7 this season.

  • Houston will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 3-0 over their past three games. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is less impressive at 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 0-3.
  • In their last five games at home, the Texans have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 22 points per game in these contests.
  • Free Spread Prediction Texans +3.5 (Bet Now)

Lions vs. Texans Pick: Texans +3.5

Our projected score for this week 10 matchup between the Lions and Texans is 24-22 in favor of the Lions. With this projection, we are looking to take the Lions to cover the spread. Even though the Texans are the favorite at -3.5, we have the Lions pulling off the upset.

For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 46 points and the O/U line sitting at 49.5 points.

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