Jets vs Bills Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 17

The Jets are +372 on the money line as they take on the Bills at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 29th. Buffalo is heavily favored at -498, with a point spread of -9.5 in this week 17 AFC East matchup. The game is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 46.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Bills vs Jets

• We have the Bills winning this one by a score of 23 to 17
• Even though we like the Bills to win, our ATS pick is to take the Jets at +9.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 46.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Jets +9.5 | Bills -9.5
• Total: 46.5
• MoneyLine: Jets +372 | Bills -498

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Jets vs. Bills Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 17, the Jets are 16th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 24th in the NFL with 19.5 points per game and are 23rd in total yards, averaging 307.9 per game. Despite being 8th in passing attempts, they are 17th in passing yards, with 219.2 per game. On the ground, they rank 28th in rushing attempts and 31st in rushing yards, with 88.7 per game. New York is 12th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage (39.2%) and 16th in red zone conversion rate.

Aaron Rodgers threw for 256 yards (28/42) and a touchdown in week 16 against the Rams, posting a passer rating of 90. Davante Adams led the team with 7 catches for 68 yards and a touchdown, while Breece Hall had 52 rushing yards on 14 carries. The Jets scored 9 points, all in the first half, after putting up 25 points in week 15 and 26 points in week 14.

Josh Allen had a rough outing in week 16, posting a passer rating of 67 against the Patriots, with 154 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. This came after two strong performances, where he threw for 362 yards in week 15 and 342 yards in week 14, without an interception in either game. James Cook rushed for 100 yards on 11 carries in week 16 and also led the team in receiving, with 26 yards on 3 catches.

Buffalo ranks 2nd in our offensive power rankings, averaging 31.3 points per game. They are 7th in the NFL in total yards per game with 366.5 and 9th in passing yards, averaging 233 per game. On 3rd down, they convert 43.4% of the time, which ranks 7th in the league.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction Bills -498 (Bet Now)

Jets vs. Bills Prediction: Total

The Jets’ defense gave up 132 rushing yards to the Rams in their most recent game, with Los Angeles finishing with 242 yards overall. New York’s defense did limit the Rams to 110 yards passing on just 14 completions. However, the Jets allowed one passing touchdown and struggled to get off the field, as the Rams converted on 50% of their third down attempts.

Despite not allowing any sacks, the Jets did manage to force one interception. The Rams’ ground game averaged 4.3 yards per attempt against them.

In their 24-21 win over the Patriots, the Bills’ defense gave up 253 passing yards on 22 completions. New England had some success running the ball, with 126 yards on 30 attempts. Buffalo’s defense forced one interception and came away with two sacks. The Patriots converted 58.3% of their third down attempts against Buffalo.

The Bills’ defense held New England to 21 points, despite allowing 379 total yards. They defended the pass decently, allowing 7 yards per attempt, but did give up two passing touchdowns. Additionally, the Patriots had a couple of big plays in the passing game, including a 45-yard completion.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 46.5 (Bet Now)

Jets vs. Bills Prediction: Spread

With a 4-11 record, the Jets are 3rd in the AFC East and 18th in our power rankings. They have a -3.5 scoring margin and are 5-10 against the spread. As favorites, they are 4-6 ATS, and 1-4 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-6-1, with their games averaging 42.4 points.

After snapping a 6-game losing streak by beating the Jaguars in week 15, New York couldn’t keep the momentum going, falling to the Rams 19-9 in week 16. The Jets were 3-point underdogs in that game, and the 28 combined points were under the 47-point line.

• Over their last three regular season games, the Jets have gone 1-2 straight up. Against the spread, they have a strong mark of 2-1 along with an over-under record of 2-1.
• Across the Jets last five road games, the team averaged 20 points per game while allowing 30. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 1-4 straight-up.

At 12-3, the Bills sit atop the AFC East and have a 100% chance of winning the division and making the playoffs. They are currently on a two-game winning streak, including a 24-21 victory over the Patriots in week 16. Buffalo was a 14-point favorite in that game but couldn’t cover the spread, bringing their ATS record to 9-6 this season.

Buffalo ranks 4th in our NFL power rankings and has an average scoring margin of +9.2 points per game. Their O/U record is 9-6, with their games averaging 53.3 points compared to an average line of 47.

• Over their last three games, the Bills have gone 3-0 straight up. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 1-2.
• In their last five home games, Buffalo has averaged 34 points per game while allowing 27. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.

• Free Spread Prediction Jets +9.5 (Bet Now)

Jets vs. Bills Pick: Jets +9.5

For this week 17 matchup between the Jets and Bills, we have the Bills coming out on top by a score of 24-16. However, with the point spread sitting at -9.5 in favor of the Jets, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Jets to cover as road underdogs.

As for an over/under pick, with the line at 46.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 40 points.