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Jets vs 49ers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 1

ByUSA Wager

ABC will be televising the week one non-conference matchup between the Jets and 49ers. The game is set to kick off at 8:15 ET and is being played at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. The 49ers are the favorite with a point spread of -3.5 and their money line odds are -195. The Jets’ money line odds are +163, and the over/under line is 42.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for 49ers vs Jets

  • We have the Jets winning this one by a score of 22 to 13
  • Not only do we have the Jets winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 42.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Jets +3.5 | 49ers -3.5
  • Total: 42.5
  • MoneyLine: Jets +163 | 49ers -195

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Jets vs. 49ers Prediction: MoneyLine

The Jets’ offense struggled mightily last season, ranking last in the league in terms of yards per game (268.6) and yards per play (4.3). They were also the lowest-scoring offense, averaging only 15.8 points per game, which ranked 29th in the NFL. New York’s inability to move the ball was evident in their passing game, where they ranked 30th in yards, averaging just 171.7 yards per game.

New York’s running game was more effective than their passing game, ranking 22nd in rushing yards with 96.9 yards per game. However, their 35.4 passing attempts per game were the 11th highest in the league, showing just how much they struggled to find success through the air. On third downs, the Jets converted only 26% of their chances, placing them 28th compared to other teams.

On the road, the Jets scored just 13.6 points per game, which was 29th in the league. Overall, they averaged 15.8 points per game, ranking 29th. Their offense was the least productive in the NFL last season, averaging only 268.6 yards per game and 4.3 yards per play. They struggled on third downs, converting only 26%, which was 28th in the league.

New York’s rushing game averaged 96.9 yards per game, while their passing game ranked 30th, with just 171.7 yards per game. The Jets had the 2nd most passing attempts per game, averaging 35.4, but they were 22nd in rushing attempts.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Jets +163 (Bet Now)

Jets vs. 49ers Prediction: Total

The Jets’ defense was one of the best units at generating tackles for loss last season, ranking 3rd in the league. They were also 7th in sacks and 10th in quarterback hits. Overall, the Jets were the 3rd best defense in the league last season, allowing just 292.3 yards per game. They also held opposing quarterbacks to the fewest passing yards in the NFL.

New York gave up 20.9 points per game, which was the 10th best figure in the league. They were tough against the run, allowing just 4.1 yards per attempt (6th). Additionally, the Jets’ defense forced 27 takeaways, the 3rd best figure in the league.

Despite a strong season in terms of yards allowed, the Jets’ defense was 10th in the league, giving up 20.9 points per game. They were 3rd in the league in tackles for loss and 7th in sacks, making life difficult for opposing quarterbacks. New York’s defense was 3rd in our power rankings, and they allowed just 168.3 passing yards per game, the best mark in the league.

The Jets’ defense also excelled in limiting big plays, giving up the 3rd fewest passing touchdowns and the 6th lowest rushing yards per attempt. Their overall yards allowed per game was 292.3, also 2nd in the league. In addition, they held quarterbacks to a collective passer rating of 73.45, the 3rd lowest figure in the NFL.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 42.5 (Bet Now)

Jets vs. 49ers Prediction: Spread

The Jets wrapped up the 2023 season with a 7-10 record, placing them 3rd in the AFC East and 13th in the AFC overall. They were 4-4 against below .500 teams and 3-6 against above .500 teams. New York’s ATS record for the season was 6-10-1, and they were 3-5 ATS against below .500 teams. When playing as the underdog, the Jets were 5-9, and when favored, they were 2-1.

Their games had an average combined scoring of 36.6 points, and their over/under record was 7-10. The Jets’ ATS record on the road was 2-5-1, while at home, they were 4-5.

  • New York will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread and posting an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Jets have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 11 points per game in this stretch.

The Jets were 4-4 against below .500 teams and 3-6 against above .500 teams last season. Overall, they finished with a 7-10 record, placing them 3rd in the AFC East and 13th in the AFC. Within their division, they went 2-4, and they performed better in non-conference games, going 3-2. New York was better as the underdog last season, going 5-9 compared to 2-1 as the favorite.

Against the spread, the Jets were 6-10-1, with a 4-5 mark at home and a 2-5-1 mark on the road. Their over/under record was 7-10, and their games averaged 36.6 combined points. The average over/under line in their games was 37.5, with the Jets having two games with higher lines and 14 games with lower lines.

  • San Francisco will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. But, they did not perform well vs the spread in these games, going 0-3. Their over-under record in these matchups was 2-1.
  • San Francisco has played well in their previous five home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 33 points per game while allowing 19. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • Free Spread Prediction Jets +3.5 (Bet Now)

Jets vs. 49ers Pick: Jets Moneyline (+163)

For this week one matchup between the Jets and 49ers, we have the Jets coming out on top by a score of 25-16. With the point spread sitting at +3.5 in favor of the Jets, we like them to not only win but cover as road underdogs.

As for an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 41 points and the O/U line at 42.5 points.

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