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Jaguars vs Raiders Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 16

The Jaguars are favored on the road with a point spread of -1 as they take on the Raiders at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 22nd. The Jaguars’ money line is -115, and the Raiders’ money line is -107. The over/under line is set at 39.5 points for this week 16 AFC matchup, which is being aired on CBS. The Jaguars and Raiders both need to add their current records.

Prediction at a Glance for Raiders vs Jaguars

  • We have the Jaguars winning this one by a score of 26 to 20
  • Not only do we have the Jaguars winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 39.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Jaguars -1 | Raiders +1
  • Total: 39.5
  • MoneyLine: Jaguars -115 | Raiders -107

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Jaguars vs. Raiders Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 16, the Jaguars rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in points per game (18.8) and 24th in yards per game (306). Jacksonville ranks 16th in passing attempts and 22nd in passing yards per game, with 204.4. On the ground, they are 24th in rushing attempts and 23rd in rushing yards per game (101.6). The Jaguars rank 25th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion rate (35.2%) and 14th in red zone conversion percentage (27.3%).

Mac Jones threw for 294 yards in week 15, completing 31 of 46 passes with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Brian Thomas Jr. led the team with 10 catches for 105 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Travis Etienne Jr. had 65 rushing yards on 14 carries. Jacksonville scored in every quarter against the Jets, putting up 9 points in the 4th quarter.

After a strong 340-yard performance in week 13, Aidan O’Connell struggled in week 14, throwing for just 104 yards before being sidelined with a knee injury in week 15. Desmond Ridder took over and threw for 208 yards, completing 23 of 39 passes with one touchdown and two interceptions. Jakobi Meyers led the team with 59 receiving yards on 5 catches in week 15.

Heading into week 16, the Raiders rank 32nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 17.5 points per game, and 27th in total yards, with 299.1 per game. Despite ranking 4th in passing attempts, they are 15th in passing yards, averaging 221.1 per game. Las Vegas ranks 30th in rushing, with just 78.1 yards per game.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Jaguars -115 (Bet Now)

Jaguars vs. Raiders Prediction: Total

In their 32-25 loss to the Jets, the Jaguars’ defense allowed 9.2 yards per attempt in the passing game. They gave up 275 passing yards on just 16 completions, with three passing touchdowns. The Jaguars’ offense put up 400 yards and their defense allowed the Jets to convert on 40% of their third down attempts.

The Jaguars also struggled to stop the run, allowing 125 rushing yards on just 23 attempts. They managed only one sack but did have one more QB hit and one more tackle for loss than the Jets.

In their 15-9 loss to the Falcons, the Raiders’ defense held Atlanta to just 93 passing yards on 11 completions. However, they struggled against the run, allowing 168 yards on 37 attempts (4.5 per attempt). The Raiders’ defense also recorded three sacks and held the Falcons to a 30.8% third-down conversion rate. Despite their struggles vs. the run, the Raiders’ defense gave their team a chance to win by limiting the Falcons to 15 points and forcing one interception.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 39.5 (Bet Now)

Jaguars vs. Raiders Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 16, the Jaguars sit 27th in our power rankings and have a 3-11 record. Jacksonville has no chance of making the playoffs, but they are 7-6-1 against the spread this season. As underdogs, they are 6-3-1 ATS, but they failed to cover in their week 15 loss to the Jets, losing 32-25 at home. They were 3.5-point underdogs in that game.

Jacksonville’s last win came in week 14 when they beat the Titans 10-6 on the road. They were 3-point underdogs in that game. Before that, they had lost five straight, including a 46-point loss to the Lions in week 11.

  • Over their last three regular season games, the Jaguars have gone 1-2 straight up. The team’s record vs the spread was just 1-1-1, in addition to an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Across their last five road contests, Jacksonville has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-4, while averaging 15 points per game.

The Raiders’ losing streak has now reached 10 games, dropping them to 2-12 on the season. Their last win came in week 4, when they defeated the Browns to even their record at 2-2. Since then, Las Vegas has been unable to get back in the win column, including a 15-9 loss to the Falcons in week 15. The O/U line for that game was 44.5, and the teams combined for just 24 points, making it the third straight Raiders game to go under.

With their playoff chances now at 0.0%, the Raiders are 24th in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of -9.4 points per game and are 5-8-1 against the spread. As underdogs, they are 5-7-1 ATS, and they failed to cover in their only game as favorites.

  • Over their last three regular season games, the Raiders have gone 0-3 straight up. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 1-1-1 to go along with an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • Across their five previous home games, Las Vegas has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-5 while averaging 17 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Jaguars -1 (Bet Now)

Jaguars vs. Raiders Pick: Jaguars Moneyline (-115)

For this week 16 matchup between the Jaguars and Raiders, we have the Jaguars pulling off the upset by a score of 25-22. With the Jaguars coming in as -1 road favorites, there is a lot of value in taking them to cover the spread.

As for the over/under, the line is sitting at just 39.5 points. Our projections have these teams combining for 47 points, making the over a great bet to take advantage of right now.

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