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Jaguars vs Bears Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 6

ByUSA Wager

The Jaguars and Bears will face off at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London at 9:30 ET on Sunday, October 13th. The Bears are the home team, and the game is being played at a neutral site. The Bears are favored on the money line at -133, and the Jaguars’ point spread is +2.5. The over/under line is set at 44 points, with the Jaguars’ money line at +112. The game is being televised on NFLN.

Prediction at a Glance for Bears vs Jaguars

  • We have the Bears winning this one by a score of 25 to 21
  • Not only do we have the Bears winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -2.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 44 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Jaguars +2.5 | Bears -2.5
  • Total: 44
  • MoneyLine: Jaguars +112 | Bears -133

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Jaguars vs. Bears Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 6, the Jaguars are 19th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 19.4 points per game, which ranks 20th in the NFL. They are 14th in total yards per game (327.8) and 19th in passing yards per game (201.6) on 32.8 attempts per game. Jacksonville ranks 11th in rushing yards per game (126.2) on 22.2 attempts per contest. They are 27th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage (25.9%) and 18th in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 4th in red zone attempts.

Trevor Lawrence threw for 371 yards (28/34) and 2 touchdowns in week 5, posting a passer rating of 119. Brian Thomas Jr. led the team with 5 catches for 122 yards, while Tank Bigsby rushed for 101 yards and 2 touchdowns on 13 carries. The Jaguars scored 17 points in the 4th quarter, converting 3 of 10 on 3rd down and 2 of 4 in the red zone.

Caleb Williams has been on a roll, posting a passer rating of 126 in week 5, with 304 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Panthers. He avoided interceptions and was sacked just once. In week 4, he threw for 157 yards and a touchdown, and in week 3, he had 363 yards and 2 touchdowns, despite 2 interceptions. D’Andre Swift led the rushing attack in week 5 with 73 yards on 21 carries, while DJ Moore had 5 catches for 105 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Heading into week 6, the Bears rank 23rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 15th in points per game (22.6) and 24th in yards per game (287.2). Chicago ranks 10th in passing attempts and 21st in passing yards, with 191.8 per game. On the ground, they are 13th in rushing attempts but 29th in rushing yards per game.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Bears -133 (Bet Now)

Jaguars vs. Bears Prediction: Total

In Jacksonville’s 37-34 win over the Colts, their defense gave up 447 yards, with Indianapolis completing 75.6% of their passes for 348 yards. The Jaguars allowed three passing touchdowns and 50% of third down conversions. Despite this, they did come up with four sacks and hit the quarterback five more times than the Colts.

The Jaguars’ run defense held the Colts to 99 yards on 20 attempts, although they did allow 5.0 yards per attempt. Jacksonville’s defense will be looking to tighten up in coverage and reduce big plays in the passing game going forward.

In their most recent game, the Bears’ defense was dominant, allowing just 172 passing yards and coming up with four sacks and one interception in their 36-10 win over the Panthers. Carolina managed only 120 yards on 19 rushing attempts. The Bears’ defense also limited the Panthers to a 25% conversion rate on third down.

Chicago’s defense put a lot of pressure on the quarterback, winning the QB hit differential by 8 and the tackles for loss differential by 1. The Bears’ secondary was tough to beat, allowing only 62.9% completions and no passing touchdowns.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 44 (Bet Now)

Jaguars vs. Bears Prediction: Spread

Jacksonville finally got their first win of the season in week 5, beating the Colts 37-34 at home. This improved their record to 1-4, but they remain 4th in the AFC South. The Jaguars have a -9.2 scoring margin this season and rank 24th in our NFL power rankings. We give them a 10% chance of making the playoffs and a 2.7% chance of winning the division.

Jacksonville is 2-3 against the spread this season, covering in two of their three games as underdogs but going 0-2 as favorites. Their O/U record is also 2-3, with their games averaging 48 points compared to an average line of 45.3.

  • Over their last three regular season games, the Jaguars have gone 1-2 straight up. The team’s record vs the spread was just 1-2, in addition to an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Jacksonville has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 15 per game. The team went 0-5 overall in these games.

After two straight wins, the Bears sit at 3-2, including a 36-10 victory over the Panthers in week 5. Chicago was a 4-point favorite and easily covered the spread, improving their ATS record to 4-1 this season. They are 3-0 against the spread as favorites and 1-1 as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is +5.6 points per game.

Heading into week 6, the Bears have a 33.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 5.7% chance of winning the NFC North. They rank 18th in our NFL power rankings. Chicago is 9th in the NFC and 4th in the division despite a 2-0 conference record. They are 3-0 at home but 0-2 on the road.

  • Chicago will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 3-0 over their past three games. In terms of betting, the team went 3-0 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 2-1.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Chicago has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 13 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Bears -2.5 (Bet Now)

Jaguars vs. Bears Pick: Bears -2.5

Our model has the Bears winning this week six matchup against the Jaguars by a score of 26-20. With the point spread sitting at -2.5 in favor of the Jaguars, we like the Bears to not only win but cover the spread as home favorites.

For this one, we are leaning towards taking the over, as the O/U line is currently at 44 points, and our projections have the teams finishing with 46 combined points.

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