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Giants vs Falcons Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 16

ByUSA Wager

FOX will broadcast the week 16 NFC matchup between the Giants and Falcons, with the Falcons favored at -512 on the money line. The Giants are +378 on the money line and +9.5 point underdogs on the road at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Kickoff is at 1:00 ET, and the over/under line is set at 41.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Falcons vs Giants

  • We have the Giants winning this one by a score of 23 to 21
  • Not only do we have the Giants winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +9.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 41.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Giants +9.5 | Falcons -9.5
  • Total: 41.5
  • MoneyLine: Giants +378 | Falcons -512

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Giants vs. Falcons Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 16, the Giants rank 29th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 14.9 points per game. They are 28th in the NFL in total yards per game (296.4), with 185.1 passing yards per game (30th) on 35.7 attempts per game, which ranks 6th in the league. On the ground, they are 17th in rushing yards per game (111.3) on 25.4 attempts per game. New York ranks 26th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 34.7% success rate, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 2nd in the NFL with a 47.4% conversion rate.

In week 15, the Giants scored 14 points in their loss to the Ravens, with 7 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters. Tim Boyle threw for 123 yards (12/24), with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Malik Nabers led the team with 10 catches for 82 yards and a touchdown, while Tyrone Tracy Jr. rushed for 31 yards on 10 carries. New York struggled on 3rd down, converting just 2 of 12 attempts, but they scored on 1 of their 2 red zone trips.

Heading into week 16, the Falcons’ offense ranks 13th in our power rankings. They are 18th in the NFL in points per game (20.9) and 9th in yards per game, averaging 363.1. Atlanta ranks 6th in passing yards per game (238.9) and 11th in rushing yards per game (124.2), on 28.3 rushing attempts per game.

Kirk Cousins threw for 112 yards (11/17) and a touchdown in week 15, with an interception and 3 sacks. Bijan Robinson rushed for 125 yards on 22 carries, while Drake London led the team with 53 receiving yards and a touchdown. The Falcons scored 7 points in the first quarter against the Raiders but failed to score in the red zone.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Giants +378 (Bet Now)

Giants vs. Falcons Prediction: Total

In their most recent game, the Giants’ defense allowed the Ravens to complete 84% of their passes for 275 yards. Unfortunately, New York gave up five passing touchdowns and allowed Baltimore to convert on 81.8% of their third down attempts. The Giants’ defense also struggled to stop the run, giving up 170 yards on 31 attempts. Overall, the Giants allowed 445 yards of total offense in a 35-14 loss.

New York did manage to record three sacks in the game but lost the tackles for loss battle. The Ravens’ big plays in the passing game were a key factor, as they averaged 11 yards per attempt through the air.

Atlanta’s defense was tough in their 15-9 win over the Raiders, allowing just 65 rushing yards on 22 attempts. The Falcons’ defense came up with two interceptions and held the Raiders to a 28.6% third-down conversion rate. They also had four sacks and limited Las Vegas to 184 passing yards.

The Falcons’ defense didn’t allow a lot of big plays, as the Raiders managed only 249 total yards. Atlanta gave up just one touchdown and held the Raiders to a 59% completion percentage.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 41.5 (Bet Now)

Giants vs. Falcons Prediction: Spread

With a 2-12 record, the Giants are currently on a nine-game losing streak, including a 35-14 loss to the Ravens in week 15. This leaves New York in 4th place in the NFC East and 16th in the conference. They are 0-8 at home this season but have gone 2-4 on the road.

Heading into week 16, the Giants rank 31st in our NFL power rankings and have a -8.6 scoring margin. Against the spread, they are 4-10, with all four of their ATS wins coming as underdogs. Their O/U record is 5-9, with their games averaging 38.3 points (O/U line: 41.6).

  • Across New York’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 0-3. Against the spread, New York went 1-2 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Giants have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 21 points per game in this stretch.

After four straight losses, the Falcons got back to .500 with a 15-9 win over the Raiders in week 15. This puts them at 7-7, including a 4-1 record in the NFC South. Atlanta now has a 28.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 20.3% chance of winning the division. They rank 19th in our power rankings heading into week 16.

Atlanta has an average scoring margin of -3.5 points per game and is 5-8-1 against the spread this season. Their O/U record is 5-9, with their games averaging 45.4 points compared to a line of 46.3.

  • Atlanta has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 0-3.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Falcons offense has averaged 18 points per game while allowing an average of 27. Atlanta posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 1-3-1 ATS.
  • Free Spread Prediction Giants +9.5 (Bet Now)

Giants vs. Falcons Pick: Giants Moneyline (+378)

Our projected final score for this Giants vs. Falcons matchup is 24-19 in favor of the Giants. With the Giants being 9.5-point road underdogs, we like them to not only win but also cover the spread vs. the Falcons.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 41.5 points, we have these teams combining for 43 points, making the over our top pick for this week 16 matchup.

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