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Falcons vs Vikings Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 14

ByUSA Wager

The Falcons and Vikings will face off on Sunday, December 8th at 1:00 ET on FOX. The Vikings are favored at -228 on the money line and -5 on the point spread. The over/under line is set at 46 points. This week 14 NFC matchup is being played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN.

Prediction at a Glance for Vikings vs Falcons

  • We have the Vikings winning this one by a score of 27 to 26
  • Even though we like the Vikings to win, our ATS pick is to take the Falcons at +5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 46 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Falcons +5 | Vikings -5
  • Total: 46
  • MoneyLine: Falcons +190 | Vikings -228

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Falcons vs. Vikings Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 14, the Falcons are 13th in our offensive power rankings. They are 18th in the NFL in points per game (21.4) and 8th in yards per game (360.6). Atlanta ranks 4th in passing yards per game (242.8) on 33.8 attempts per game, which is 12th in the league. On the ground, they average 117.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 14th in both attempts and yards. The Falcons are 23rd in 3rd down conversions, with a 35.9% success rate, but they are 9th in red zone conversions, scoring on 38.9% of their trips.

In week 13, Kirk Cousins threw for 245 yards but had 4 interceptions in the loss to the Chargers. Bijan Robinson rushed for 102 yards and a touchdown on 26 carries, while Ray-Ray McCloud III led the receiving corps with 4 catches for 95 yards. Atlanta scored 7 points in the 1st quarter and 6 in the 3rd but were shut out in the 2nd and 4th quarters. The Falcons struggled on 3rd down, converting just 3 of 14 attempts, and went 1 for 4 in the red zone.

Heading into week 14, the Vikings rank 11th in our offensive power rankings. They are 8th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 24.8 points per game, and 13th in total offense with 344.6 yards per game. Minnesota has relied heavily on their passing game, with Sam Darnold throwing for 235 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 13, following a 330-yard performance in week 12. The Vikings rank 10th in passing yards per game, averaging 231.6 yards, and are 20th in pass attempts.

On the ground, Minnesota ranks 17th in rushing, averaging 113 yards per game. Aaron Jones rushed for 106 yards in week 12, but the Vikings managed just 68 rushing yards on 15 attempts in week 13. Minnesota ranks 14th in 3rd down conversions, with a 38.7% success rate, but struggled in week 13, converting only 1 of 8 attempts.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Vikings -228 (Bet Now)

Falcons vs. Vikings Prediction: Total

Despite their defensive effort, the Falcons lost 17-13 to the Chargers in their most recent game. Atlanta’s defense allowed just 131 passing yards on 70.8% completions and limited the Chargers to 187 total yards. They defended the run well, giving up just 56 yards on 17 attempts.

Atlanta’s defense also came away with five sacks and held the Chargers to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down. However, the Falcons couldn’t come up with enough stops late in the game to pull out a win.

In their 23-22 win over the Cardinals, the Vikings’ defense gave up 406 yards, including 154 rushing yards on 31 attempts. The Cardinals completed 68.9% of their passes for 252 yards, with Minnesota allowing a passing yards per attempt of 5.6. Despite this, the Vikings’ defense came up with two interceptions and limited Arizona to a 38.5% conversion rate on third downs.

Minnesota’s defense managed just one sack in the game and lost the tackles for loss battle by -1. The Vikings will look to tighten up against the run and improve their overall yardage allowed numbers in their next outing.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 46 (Bet Now)

Falcons vs. Vikings Prediction: Spread

Atlanta heads into week 14 looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 17-13 home loss to the Chargers in week 13. This dropped the Falcons to 6-6, but they remain atop the NFC South thanks to their 4-1 division record. They are 6-2 in conference play and rank 4th in the NFC standings. Our projections give Atlanta a 52.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 49.2% chance of winning the division.

Against the spread, the Falcons are 5-7 this season and have also lost three straight ATS. They were 0.5-point underdogs against the Chargers but couldn’t cover. The under hit in that game, marking the fourth straight Atlanta game to go under. Their O/U record is 4-8 this season.

  • The Falcons have gone 0-3 over their last three regular season games. Across these games, their ATS record was just 0-3, while posting an over-under record of 0-3.
  • Atlanta has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 22 points per game while allowing 25. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.

The Vikings have now won five straight games, bringing their record to 10-2 after a narrow 23-22 win over the Cardinals in week 13. Minnesota was favored by 3.5 points at home but couldn’t cover the spread, and the 45 combined points fell just short of the 45.5-point line. Before this, they picked up road wins over the Bears, Titans, and Jaguars, and they bounced back from losses to the Rams and Lions with a 21-13 victory over the Colts in week 9.

Our projections give the Vikings a 99.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 10% chance of winning the NFC North. They rank 7th in our NFL power rankings and are 7-4-1 against the spread this season. Their O/U record is 4-8, with their games averaging 43 points compared to an average line of 44.4.

  • Minnesota has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread and posting an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 2-2-1 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Falcons +5 (Bet Now)

Falcons vs. Vikings Pick: Falcons +5

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Falcons to cover as road underdogs in this week 14 matchup between the Vikings and Falcons. Even though the Vikings are the favorite at -5, we have the Falcons losing by a score of 28-25 but covering the spread.

As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 46 points, we like the over, projecting a combined score of 53 points. This could be a good spot to take the over before the line moves.

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