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Eagles vs Commanders Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 16

ByUSA Wager

The Eagles are favored on the road as they take on the Commanders at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 22nd at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. The Eagles’ money line odds are -176, while the Commanders are at +147. FOX is covering this week 16 NFC East matchup, with the Eagles favored by -3.5 points and the over/under line set at 45.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Commanders vs Eagles

  • We have the Commanders winning this one by a score of 23 to 16
  • Not only do we have the Commanders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Eagles -3.5 | Commanders +3.5
  • Total: 45.5
  • MoneyLine: Eagles -176 | Commanders +147

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 16, the Eagles are 4th in our offensive power rankings. They’re averaging 26.4 points per game, which ranks 8th in the NFL, and 373.2 yards per game, putting them 6th. Philadelphia leans heavily on the run game, leading the league in rushing attempts (36.8) and rushing yards per game (186.2). On the passing side, they rank 28th with 187 yards per game, despite being 30th in pass attempts.

Jalen Hurts has been on a roll, posting a passer rating of 125 in week 15, with 290 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Steelers. A.J. Brown led the team with 8 catches for 110 yards and a touchdown, while Saquon Barkley had 65 rushing yards on 19 carries. Philadelphia converted 10 of 17 third downs and scored on 3 of 6 red zone trips in week 15.

Heading into week 16, the Commanders rank 5th in our offensive power rankings. They are 6th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 28.3, and 5th in yards per game with 373.9. Despite being 24th in passing attempts, they are 16th in passing yards per game, averaging 218.4. Washington leans heavily on the run game, ranking 3rd in both rushing attempts and yards per game, with 155.5. They also rank 6th in 3rd-down conversions and are 3rd in red zone attempts, but their red zone conversion rate is just 27th in the league.

Jayden Daniels has been efficient, completing 25 of 31 passes for 226 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 15, posting a passer rating of 118. Terry McLaurin led the team with 7 catches for 73 yards and 2 touchdowns. However, Daniels was sacked 8 times in the win over the Saints. Washington has been strong in the 1st quarter, averaging 6.8 points, which ranks 3rd in the NFL.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Commanders +147 (Bet Now)

Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction: Total

Philadelphia’s defense was tough to move the ball against in their most recent game, as they allowed just 107 passing yards and 56 rushing yards on 17 attempts against the Steelers. The Eagles gave up just 163 total yards in their 27-13 win, with Pittsburgh managing only 14 completions. One of the few blemishes was allowing a 63.6% completion percentage and one passing touchdown.

Despite allowing a touchdown, the Eagles’ secondary limited big plays and gave up only 4.9 yards per attempt. They were also strong on third down, allowing the Steelers to convert just 30% of their third down attempts. Philadelphia’s defense recorded two sacks in the game.

Washington’s defense was tough to run against in their 20-19 win over the Saints, allowing just 69 yards on 16 rushing attempts. They gave up two passing touchdowns but held the Saints to 176 passing yards and a 46.9% completion rate. The Commanders also picked off one pass and limited New Orleans to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down.

Washington recorded three sacks in the game and pressured the quarterback more than their opponent, with a positive QB hit differential. Overall, their defense played a key role in the narrow victory, in which the offense managed just 245 total yards.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 45.5 (Bet Now)

Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction: Spread

With a 12-2 record, the Eagles sit atop the NFC East and have a 99.5% chance of winning the division. They rank 5th in our NFL power rankings and have a 10-game winning streak, including a 27-13 win over the Steelers in week 15. Philadelphia was favored by 5.5 points and covered the spread, but the 40 combined points fell short of the 43-point line.

Philadelphia is 9-5 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +8.7. Their O/U record is 5-9, with the under hitting in 3 straight games. The Eagles’ games have averaged 44 points, compared to an average line of 46.

  • Through their last three games, the Eagles have a record of 3-0. In terms of betting, the team went 2-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 0-3.
  • The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last road games and 5-0 straight-up.

Washington snapped a three-game losing streak with back-to-back wins over the Titans and Saints, improving their record to 9-5. After a 23-point victory over Tennessee in week 13, they narrowly edged New Orleans 20-19 in week 15. The Commanders were 7.5-point favorites in that game but couldn’t cover the spread. They are now 8-5-1 against the spread this season, with a +5.8 scoring margin.

Heading into week 16, Washington ranks 10th in our NFL power rankings and has an 86.7% chance of making the playoffs. They are 7th in the NFC and 2nd in the NFC East. The Commanders are 2-2 in division games and 6-3 in conference play.

  • Washington has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). The team’s record vs the spread was just 1-2, in addition to an over-under mark of 3-0.
  • In their last five games at home, the Commanders have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-2-1 vs the spread. The team averaged 26 points per game in this stretch.
  • Free Spread Prediction Commanders +3.5 (Bet Now)

Eagles vs. Commanders Pick: Commanders Moneyline (+147)

Our projected score for this week 16 matchup between the Eagles and Commanders is 25-19 in favor of Washington. With Washington currently sitting at +3.5 point home underdogs, we like them to not only win this one, but also cover the spread.

For this game, we have a pick against the over/under line of 45.5 points. We are leaning towards taking the under, with our projections pointing to a combined score of 44 points.

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