Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Eagles vs Buccaneers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 4

ByUSA Wager

The Eagles are favored on the road as they take on the Buccaneers at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 29th at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL. The Eagles’ money line is -139, and they are -2.5 point favorites. The Buccaneers’ money line is +117, and the over/under line is set at 45 points. FOX is covering this week four NFC matchup.

Prediction at a Glance for Buccaneers vs Eagles

  • We have the Eagles winning this one by a score of 20 to 19
  • Even though we like the Eagles to win, our ATS pick is to take the Buccaneers at +2.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 45 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Eagles -2.5 | Buccaneers +2.5
  • Total: 45
  • MoneyLine: Eagles -139 | Buccaneers +117

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Prediction: MoneyLine

The Eagles’ offense put up 20 first downs and 172 yards on the ground in their 15-12 win over the Saints. Despite not finding the endzone through the air, Jalen Hurts threw for 311 yards, going 29/38 (76%). Philadelphia’s offense was held to 0 yards on 25 attempts and Hurts was sacked four times.

Saquon Barkley, acquired in a trade with the Giants, had a big game on the ground, rushing for 147 yards and averaging 8.6 yards per attempt, including a 65-yard run and two touchdowns. Dallas Goedert led the Eagles in receiving with 170 yards on 10 catches.

In their 26-7 loss to the Broncos, the Buccaneers’ offense struggled to protect the quarterback, allowing seven sacks. They managed just 132 yards through the air, with Baker Mayfield going 25/33 for 163 yards and one touchdown. Tampa Bay’s running game had limited opportunities, with only 16 attempts, but they averaged 5.7 yards per attempt, led by Bucky Irving with 70 yards, including a 32-yard run.

Despite gaining 17 first downs, the Buccaneers failed to convert on 72.7% of their third-down attempts. Mayfield was the team’s leading passer, and Chris Godwin led the receiving corps with 53 yards and one touchdown.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Eagles -139 (Bet Now)

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Prediction: Total

In their 15-12 win over the Saints, the Eagles’ defense didn’t allow a single completion, as New Orleans went 0 for 3 passing. Philadelphia gave up just 89 rushing yards on 29 attempts and 130 total yards. The Eagles’ defense also came up with one interception and limited the Saints to a 46.2% third-down conversion rate.

Despite not allowing a single completion, the Eagles’ defense did give up one passing touchdown. They managed just one sack in the game and lost the QB hit differential by -4. The Eagles also allowed the Saints to convert 53.8% of their fourth-down attempts.

In their 26-7 loss to the Broncos, the Buccaneers’ defense gave up 216 yards through the air. However, they struggled to defend the run, allowing 136 rushing yards on just 28 attempts, with a 4.9-yard average. Tampa Bay’s defense didn’t record any sacks in the game and had a tough time in the backfield, losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.

The defense also forced Denver to convert on just 30.8% of their third-down attempts. Despite this, the Buccaneers couldn’t capitalize and ended up with a loss.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 45 (Bet Now)

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Prediction: Spread

Philadelphia’s 15-12 win over the Saints improved their record to 2-1. Heading into the game, the Eagles were 2.5-point underdogs on the road, and their 15-12 victory was also straight-up win. The combined 27 points was well below the over/under line of 49 points. The Eagles were down 3-0 after the 1st quarter, but Saquon Barkley’s 65-yard touchdown run in the 3rd quarter put them ahead 7-3. New Orleans briefly took a 12-7 lead with a late 4th-quarter touchdown, but Barkley’s second touchdown with just 1:05 remaining sealed the Eagles’ win.

Philadelphia’s defense held the Saints to just two field goals before their late touchdown. The Eagles’ offense struggled early but came through late in the 4th quarter to pull out the 15-12 win.

  • Philadelphia will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 1-2 on the over/under.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Eagles have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 12 points per game in this stretch.

The Buccaneers are now 2-1 after their 26-7 loss to the Broncos, where they fell behind 14-0 in the first quarter. Tampa Bay managed to score in the 2nd quarter when Baker Mayfield connected with Chris Godwin for a 6-yard touchdown, but they still trailed 20-7 at halftime. The Broncos added a field goal in the 4th quarter to pull away.

Wil Lutz added a field goal in the 4th quarter for Denver, and Tyler Badie put the game out of reach with a 43-yard touchdown run with 7:35 remaining in the 4th. Tampa Bay’s defense had no answer for Denver’s ground game, as both of their touchdowns came via the rush.

  • The Buccaneers have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
  • Tampa Bay has played well in their previous five home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 23 points per game while allowing 18. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • Free Spread Prediction Buccaneers +2.5 (Bet Now)

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Pick: Buccaneers +2.5

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Eagles to cover, as they are currently sitting at -2.5 point favorites over the Buccaneers. We have the Eagles coming out on top by a score of 19-18, making them a good pick straight-up and against the spread.

For the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 37 points. With the line sitting at 45 points, there is some good value in taking the under for this week four matchup.

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