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Dolphins vs Packers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 13

ByUSA Wager

The over/under line is set at 47 points for the week 13 non-conference matchup between the Dolphins and Packers. The game, which kicks off at 8:20 ET on Thursday, November 28th, is being televised on NBC. The Packers are favored at -3.5 on the point spread and have money line odds of -177, while the Dolphins’ money line odds are +150.

Prediction at a Glance for Packers vs Dolphins

  • We have the Dolphins winning this one by a score of 26 to 21
  • Not only do we have the Dolphins winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 47 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Dolphins +3.5 | Packers -3.5
  • Total: 47
  • MoneyLine: Dolphins +150 | Packers -177

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Dolphins vs. Packers Prediction: MoneyLine

Our offensive power rankings have the Dolphins sitting 20th in the NFL, and they are 22nd in points per game, averaging 19.5. They rank 19th in passing yards per game with 207.1, coming on 32.5 attempts per game. Miami is 16th in rushing, averaging 116.8 yards per game on 28.7 attempts, which ranks 8th in the league. On 3rd down, the Dolphins are 10th in the NFL with a conversion rate of 41.8%.

Tua Tagovailoa has been on fire over the last three weeks, posting a passer rating of 128 in week 12, with 317 yards and 4 touchdowns against the Patriots. In week 11, he threw for 288 yards and 3 touchdowns, and in week 10, he had 207 yards against the Rams. Jaylen Waddle led the team in week 12 with 8 catches for 144 yards.

Heading into week 13, the Packers rank 9th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 26.2 points per game, which is 8th in the NFL. They are 5th in yards per game (381.9) and 11th in passing yards per game (230.3), despite ranking 26th in pass attempts. On the ground, they rank 3rd in rushing yards per game (151.6) on 31.5 attempts per game. However, they are 19th in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 37.6%, and 25th in red zone conversions, despite being 4th in red zone attempts.

In week 12, Jordan Love threw for 163 yards and 2 touchdowns, with a passer rating of 107. Josh Jacobs rushed for 106 yards and 3 touchdowns on 26 carries, while Romeo Doubs led the team with 54 receiving yards. The Packers scored 14 points in the 4th quarter and converted 6 of 13 3rd-down attempts, going 5 for 5 in the red zone.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Dolphins +150 (Bet Now)

Dolphins vs. Packers Prediction: Total

In their 34-15 win over the Patriots, the Dolphins’ defense allowed just a 21.4% conversion rate on third down and came away with four sacks. They also held New England to 86 yards rushing on 21 attempts. In the passing game, Miami gave up just 182 yards through the air, and the Patriots managed just one touchdown against them. The Dolphins also forced one interception and limited New England to a 57.9% completion percentage.

In the Packers’ 38-10 win over the 49ers, their defense was outstanding, holding San Francisco to just 44 rushing yards on 16 attempts. They also limited the 49ers to 197 passing yards and a 58.6% completion rate. Green Bay defended the pass well, allowing only 6.8 yards per attempt and giving up just one passing touchdown.

On third downs, the Packers allowed the 49ers to convert only 30% of their chances and came away with two sacks and one interception. Overall, the Packers’ defense played a big role in the victory, keeping the 49ers to only 241 total yards.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 47 (Bet Now)

Dolphins vs. Packers Prediction: Spread

With three straight wins, the Dolphins have improved to 5-6 on the season, putting them 2nd in the AFC East. After beating the Rams in week 10, Miami picked up home wins over the Raiders (34-19) and Patriots (34-15) in weeks 11 and 12. They covered the spread in both games, including a 7.5-point line vs. New England.

Heading into week 13, our power rankings have the Dolphins 16th, and they have a 19.6% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 5-6, with the over hitting in two straight games.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Miami have gone 3-0. In terms of betting, the team went 3-0 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 2-1.
  • Miami has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 15 points per game while allowing 19. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.

With a 28-point win over the 49ers in week 12, the Packers improved to 8-3 and are now on a two-game winning streak. This puts them 4th in our NFL power rankings, and they have a 97.2% chance of making the playoffs. However, they are 3rd in the NFC North with a 1-2 division record, so their chances of winning the division are just 5.3%.

Green Bay is 5-6 against the spread this season, including 3-4 as the favorite. In week 12, they covered the 6.5-point spread by easily beating the 49ers. The 48 combined points in the game went over the 44.5-point line, giving the Packers an O/U record of 5-5-1.

  • Over their last three games, the Packers have gone 2-1 straight up. This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread and posting an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Across the Packers last five home games, the team averaged 26 points per game while allowing 22. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 4-1 straight-up.
  • Free Spread Prediction Dolphins +3.5 (Bet Now)

Dolphins vs. Packers Pick: Dolphins Moneyline (+150)

With the point spread sitting at 3.5 in favor of the Dolphins, we are picking them to not only win this week 13 matchup against the Packers, but also cover the spread. Our projected final score is 29-23 in favor of Miami.

For this week’s over/under pick, we like the over, with a projected combined score of 52 points and the line currently sitting at 47 points.

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