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Dolphins vs Jets Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 18

ByUSA Wager

The Dolphins are favored on the road as they take on the Jets at 4:25 ET on Sunday, January 5th at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Dolphins’ money line odds are -117, while the Jets’ odds are -104. The over/under line is currently at 39 points. This week 18 matchup is being televised by FOX.

Prediction at a Glance for Jets vs Dolphins

  • We have the Dolphins winning this one by a score of 23 to 17
  • Not only do we have the Dolphins winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 39 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Dolphins -1 | Jets +1
  • Total: 39
  • MoneyLine: Dolphins -117 | Jets -104

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Dolphins vs. Jets Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 18, the Dolphins sit 16th in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in the NFL in points per game, averaging 20.3, and rank 18th in yards per game with 324.9. Miami is 15th in passing yards per game (221.1) and 24th in rushing, with 103.8 yards per game. They rank 19th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, converting 37% of their attempts.

Tyler Huntley took over at QB in week 17, going 22/26 for 225 yards and a touchdown. He connected with Tyreek Hill 9 times for 105 yards. Huntley also added 52 rushing yards on 7 carries. Miami scored 3 points in the 1st quarter, 3 in the 2nd, 7 in the 3rd, and 7 in the 4th.

Heading into week 18, the Jets rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 19.1, and 24th in total yards per game with 306.2. New York ranks 6th in passing attempts per game, but only 17th in passing yards, with 216.1 per game. On the ground, they are 26th in rushing attempts and 31st in rushing yards, averaging 90.2 per game. The Jets are 14th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate, at 39.4%.

In week 17, the Jets scored 14 points, all in the 4th quarter, in a 40-14 loss to the Bills. Aaron Rodgers struggled, throwing for 112 yards and 2 interceptions on 12/18 passing. Breece Hall led the team with 45 rushing yards on 10 carries, while Garrett Wilson had 7 catches for 66 yards and a touchdown.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Dolphins -117 (Bet Now)

Dolphins vs. Jets Prediction: Total

In their most recent game, the Dolphins’ defense held the Browns to just 3 points in a 20-3 victory. Miami’s defense was tough against the pass, allowing only 162 yards and 3.4 yards per attempt. They also intercepted a pass and limited the Browns to a 51.1% completion percentage. However, they struggled to generate consistent pressure, finishing with only 1 sack and losing the tackles for loss battle by -8.

On the ground, the Dolphins gave up 114 rushing yards on 28 attempts, with Cleveland averaging 4.1 yards per attempt. Despite this, Miami’s defense kept the Browns out of the end zone and held them to just 3 points. Additionally, they held Cleveland to a 41.2% conversion rate on third down.

In their 40-14 loss to the Bills, the Jets’ defense allowed three passing touchdowns and gave up 251 yards through the air. Buffalo’s offense also had success on the ground, with the Jets allowing 9 yards per attempt. New York’s defense struggled on third downs, allowing the Bills to convert 57.1% of their third down attempts.

The Jets were unable to generate much pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and lost the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials, both by -4. Overall, the Jets gave up 348 yards of total offense in the game.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 39 (Bet Now)

Dolphins vs. Jets Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 18, the Dolphins have won two straight games, bringing their record to 8-8. After a week 15 loss to the Texans, Miami bounced back with wins over the 49ers (29-17) and Browns (20-3) in weeks 16 and 17. Against Cleveland, they covered the 3-point spread, improving their ATS record to 7-9 this season.

Miami currently ranks 12th in our NFL power rankings and has a 25.5% chance of making the playoffs. Their average scoring margin this season is -0.4 points per game, and their O/U record is 7-9, with their games averaging 41.1 points.

  • Miami has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 1-2 on the over/under.
  • In their last five road games, Miami has averaged 19 points per game while allowing 19. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.

Heading into week 18, the Jets sit 21st in our power rankings and have a 4-12 record. New York is on a two-game losing streak, including a 40-14 loss to the Bills in week 17. The Jets were 10.5-point underdogs in that game but couldn’t cover the spread. They also failed to cover in week 16, losing 19-9 to the Rams at home. Their last win came in week 15, when they beat the Jaguars 32-25.

New York is 5-11 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of -4.9 points per game. They are 4-6 ATS as favorites and 1-5 as underdogs. The Jets’ O/U record is 9-6-1, with their games averaging 43.1 points (the O/U line has averaged 42.5 points).

  • The Jets have gone 0-3 over their last three regular season games. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 0-3 to go along with an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, New York has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 20 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Dolphins -1 (Bet Now)

Dolphins vs. Jets Pick: Dolphins Moneyline (-117)

For this week 18 matchup between the Dolphins and Jets, we have the Dolphins coming out on top by a score of 24-22. Even though the point spread is close, we like the Dolphins to cover as 1-point road favorites.

As for the best way to bet the over/under, with the line sitting at just 39 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with our projections pointing to a combined score of 46 points.

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