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Dolphins vs Colts Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 7

ByUSA Wager

The Colts are favored at -189 on the money line as they host the Dolphins at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 20th at Lucas Oil Stadium. The game is being televised on FOX, and the Colts are -3.5 point favorites. The over/under line is set at 43.5 points. The Dolphins and Colts both need to add to their records in this week seven AFC matchup.

Prediction at a Glance for Colts vs Dolphins

  • We have the Dolphins winning this one by a score of 21 to 15
  • Not only do we have the Dolphins winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 43.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Dolphins +3.5 | Colts -3.5
  • Total: 43.5
  • MoneyLine: Dolphins +155 | Colts -189

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Dolphins vs. Colts Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 7, the Dolphins rank 31st in our offensive power rankings, averaging 12 points per game, which is 29th in the NFL. They are 23rd in the league in total yards, with 302.4 per game, and 26th in passing yards, with 185.6 per game on 32.2 attempts. On the ground, Miami ranks 18th in rushing yards, averaging 116.8 per game on 29.6 attempts. The Dolphins have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 30.3% of their attempts, but they rank 2nd in the NFL in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 5, Tyler Huntley threw for 194 yards on 18/31 passing, with 1 interception. Tyreek Hill led the team with 6 catches for 69 yards, and Jaylen Wright had 86 rushing yards on 13 carries. Miami scored 6 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters against the Patriots, after being held scoreless in the 2nd quarter.

Joe Flacco has been under center for the Colts, posting a passer rating of 77 in week 6, with 189 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception against the Titans. Before that, he threw for 359 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 5, and in week 4, he had 168 yards and 2 touchdowns. Indianapolis has struggled in the 3rd quarter, failing to score in their last three games, but they rank 9th in the NFL in 1st-quarter scoring.

Jonathan Taylor is questionable for week 7 with an ankle injury. He had 88 rushing yards on 21 carries in week 4. Tyler Goodson led the team in week 6 with 51 yards on 8 carries. Josh Downs had 7 catches for 66 yards and a touchdown in week 6, while Alec Pierce had 134 yards in week 5, and Michael Pittman Jr. had 113 yards in week 4.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Dolphins +155 (Bet Now)

Dolphins vs. Colts Prediction: Total

In their 15-10 win over the Patriots, the Dolphins’ defense allowed just 148 passing yards and held New England to 30.8% on third down conversions. They were tough to throw against, giving up only 18 completions on 34 attempts. However, the Patriots did find some success in the running game, with 151 yards on just 19 attempts, including a few big runs, averaging 7.9 yards per attempt.

Miami’s defense also recorded two sacks and won the quarterback hit battle by four. Despite the Patriots’ success on the ground, the Dolphins’ defense played a significant role in their narrow victory.

In the Colts’ 20-17 win over the Titans, their defense allowed just 95 passing yards on 16 completions. However, they did struggle against the run, giving up 146 rushing yards on 28 attempts, with Tennessee averaging 5.2 yards per attempt on the ground. Indianapolis defended the run well on third downs, allowing just a 36.4% conversion rate.

Despite allowing only 95 passing yards, the Colts did give up one passing touchdown. They didn’t record any sacks in the game but did manage to hit the quarterback two more times than the Titans.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 43.5 (Bet Now)

Dolphins vs. Colts Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 7, the Dolphins sit 31st in our NFL power rankings and have a 9% chance of making the playoffs. Miami is currently 2-3, which includes a 1-1 record in the AFC East. They are 2nd in the division and 9th in the conference. After three straight losses, the Dolphins got back in the win column in week 5, beating the Patriots 15-10 on the road. They were 2-point favorites and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 1-4.

Miami’s average scoring margin this season is -10.6 points per game. Their O/U record is 1-4, with their games averaging 34.6 points compared to a line of 42.9. In week 5, the Dolphins and Patriots combined for 25 points, which was under the 37-point line.

  • The Dolphins have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. Against the spread, Miami went 1-2 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Across their five previous road games, Miami has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 17 points per game.

Heading into week 7, the Colts sit at 3-3, giving them a 51.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 13.8% chance of winning the AFC South. After dropping two of their first three games, Indianapolis bounced back with a week 4 win over the Steelers and a week 6 victory over the Titans. In week 5, they lost 37-34 to the Jaguars but covered the spread as 3.5-point underdogs.

Against the spread, the Colts are 5-1 this season, including a 4-game winning streak. They are 4-0 as underdogs and 1-1 as favorites. Their O/U record is 3-3, with their games averaging 46.3 points compared to an average line of 43.4.

  • Indianapolis has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. This also includes going 3-0 ATS and an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • Across the Colts last five home games, the team averaged 17 points per game while allowing 26. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 1-4 straight-up.
  • Free Spread Prediction Dolphins +3.5 (Bet Now)

Dolphins vs. Colts Pick: Dolphins Moneyline (+155)

With the point spread sitting at 3.5 in favor of the Dolphins, we are going with Miami to cover as our best bet in this week seven matchup between the Dolphins and Colts. Our predicted final score is 25-17 in favor of Miami, making them a good bet to cover as road underdogs.

For the over/under, we have a slight lean towards the under, with a projected combined score of 42 points and the O/U line currently at 43.5 points.

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