Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Cowboys vs Falcons Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 9

ByUSA Wager

The Falcons are favored at -145 on the money line as they host the Cowboys at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The Falcons are -2.5 point favorites on the point spread. This week nine matchup is being televised on FOX, and the over/under line is sitting at 52 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Falcons vs Cowboys

  • We have the Cowboys winning this one by a score of 30 to 29
  • Not only do we have the Cowboys winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 52 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Cowboys +2.5 | Falcons -2.5
  • Total: 52
  • MoneyLine: Cowboys +122 | Falcons -145

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Cowboys vs. Falcons Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 9, the Cowboys rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings, averaging 21.4 points per game. They lead the NFL in passing attempts per game (39.4) and are 3rd in passing yards, with 256 per game. Dallas ranks 10th in 3rd-down conversions and 4th in red zone efficiency, converting 73.7% of their opportunities. However, they are last in the league in rushing, with just 74.1 yards per game, and rank 25th in rushing attempts.

In week 8, Dak Prescott threw for 243 yards and 2 touchdowns, going 25/38, but he also had 2 interceptions. CeeDee Lamb had a big game, with 13 catches for 146 yards and 2 touchdowns. Ezekiel Elliott led the team in rushing with 34 yards on 10 carries. Dallas scored 14 points in the 4th quarter against the 49ers, after being shut out in the 1st and 3rd quarters.

Heading into week 9, the Falcons are 10th in our offensive power rankings. They are 12th in the NFL in points per game (24.2) and 7th in yards per game (371.6). Atlanta is 6th in passing yards per game (250.9) and 9th in passing attempts. On the ground, they rank 18th in rushing attempts and 15th in rushing yards per game (120.8). The Falcons are converting 39.6% of their 3rd downs, which ranks 12th in the NFL, and they are 14th in red zone conversion percentage.

Kirk Cousins had a big game in week 8, throwing for 276 yards and 4 touchdowns with a passer rating of 145. Kyle Pitts led the team with 91 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Bijan Robinson had 63 rushing yards on 13 carries. The Falcons scored 31 points against the Buccaneers, with 24 of those coming in the first half.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Cowboys +122 (Bet Now)

Cowboys vs. Falcons Prediction: Total

In their most recent game, the Dallas Cowboys’ defense gave up 223 rushing yards on 36 attempts to the 49ers. Despite allowing just 18 completions, they gave up 246 yards through the air and allowed a total of 469 yards in the 30-24 loss to San Francisco. The 49ers averaged 9.5 yards per passing attempt.

The Cowboys’ defense struggled to get off the field, allowing the 49ers to convert on 50% of their third down attempts. They managed just two sacks and lost the battles in both QB hits and tackles for loss.

Even though the Falcons’ defense gave up 330 passing yards to the Buccaneers in their 31-26 win, they did force two interceptions. Atlanta struggled to generate pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and had a -4 tackles for loss differential. Tampa Bay completed 37 passes against the Falcons, with three of them going for touchdowns.

On the ground, the Falcons did a decent job, allowing just 102 rushing yards on 22 attempts. However, Atlanta’s defense struggled on third down, allowing the Buccaneers to convert 64.3% of their third down attempts.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 52 (Bet Now)

Cowboys vs. Falcons Prediction: Spread

The Cowboys have dropped two straight games, including a 30-24 road loss to the 49ers in week 8. Dallas couldn’t cover the 5.5-point spread, leaving them at 2-5 against the spread this season. They rank 23rd in our power rankings and have a 12.2% chance of making the playoffs.

Dallas is 3-4 overall, with all three of their wins coming on the road. They are 1-0 in division games but 1-3 in conference play, putting them 3rd in the NFC East. Their O/U record is 5-2, with the over hitting in their last two games.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Dallas has a record of 1-2. Across these games, their ATS record was just 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 2-1.
  • Dallas has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 27 points per game while allowing 17. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.

With a 5-3 record, the Falcons currently sit atop the NFC South, where they are 4-0. They bounced back from a week 7 home loss to the Seahawks with a 31-26 road win over the Bucs in week 8. Atlanta was favored by 1.5 points and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 4-4 this season.

Our projections give the Falcons a 77.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 70.1% chance of winning the division. They rank 15th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 9. Atlanta’s O/U record is 4-4, with their games averaging 48.6 points compared to a line of 45.9.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Atlanta have gone 2-1. However, they have only gone 1-2 vs. the spread over this stretch. Their over-under record in these three games was 2-1.
  • The Falcons are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • Free Spread Prediction Cowboys +2.5 (Bet Now)

Cowboys vs. Falcons Pick: Cowboys Moneyline (+122)

Our model has the Cowboys coming out on top in this week nine matchup between the Cowboys and Falcons, with a final score of 33-26 in favor of Dallas. With the point spread sitting at -2.5 in favor of the Cowboys, we like them to cover as the road underdogs.

For this one, we also have a pick on the over/under line, which is currently at 52 points. Our prediction is that these teams combine for 59 points, making the over a great bet to place.

Similar Posts