Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Cowboys vs Browns Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 1

The Browns are favored at -140 on the money line as they face the Cowboys at 4:25 ET on Sunday, September 8th. The Cowboys are +118 on the money line and +2.5 on the point spread. This week one non-conference matchup is being televised on FOX, and the over/under line is set at 42 points for this first game of the season for both teams.

Prediction at a Glance for Browns vs Cowboys

  • We have the Cowboys winning this one by a score of 26 to 24
  • Not only do we have the Cowboys winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 42 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Cowboys +2.5 | Browns -2.5
  • Total: 42
  • MoneyLine: Cowboys +118 | Browns -140

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Cowboys vs. Browns Prediction: MoneyLine

The Cowboys’ offense was the top-scoring unit in the NFL last season, averaging 30.1 points per game. They were also the top passing offense in the league, averaging 265.8 yards per game through the air. Dallas led the league in passing attempts per game, averaging 37.4, and was 2nd in third down conversion percentage, converting 48.3% of their third downs.

At home, the Cowboys were even more potent, leading the league with an average of 36.8 points per game, while on the road, they dropped to 9th with 23.3 points per game. Overall, they were 2nd in offensive power rankings and 4th in yards per game, averaging 379.3 yards per contest.

At home, the Cowboys were the top-scoring offense in the NFL last season, averaging 36.8 points per game. Overall, they led the league in scoring, averaging 30.1 points per game. On the road, they averaged 23.3 points per game, ranking 9th in the league. Dallas was 2nd in offensive power ranking and 4th in yards per game, averaging 379.3 yards per contest.

They also led the league in passing yards per game, averaging 265.8 yards, and were 2nd in third down conversion percentage, moving the chains on 48.3% of their third downs. The Cowboys were also one of the most pass-heavy offenses in the league, leading the NFL in passing attempts per game with an average of 37.4 attempts per contest.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Cowboys +118 (Bet Now)

Cowboys vs. Browns Prediction: Total

Opposing quarterbacks had a passer rating of 78.42 against the Cowboys last season, which was the 6th best mark in the league. Dallas’ defense was strong in terms of takeaways, forcing 26 turnovers and ranking 3rd in turnover differential. They also held quarterbacks to the 5th fewest passing touchdowns.

The Cowboys’ defense as a whole was 12th in the NFL, allowing 20.2 points per game. They were tough on the road, giving up 20.9 points per game, the 6th best figure in the league. Dallas also excelled in limiting yardage, giving up just 306.1 yards per game, the 7th best figure in the NFL.

On the road, the Cowboys’ defense gave up 20.9 points per game, which was the 6th best figure in the league. For the season, they allowed 20.2 points per game, placing 9th in the NFL. Dallas’ defense was one of the best units at taking the ball away last season, ranking 3rd in turnover differential and 6th in takeaways with 26.

Overall, the Cowboys’ defense was 12th in the power rankings. They excelled in the passing game, giving up only 192.1 yards per game, the 5th best figure in the league. Against the run, they were 7th best in yards per attempt. Additionally, opponents completed just 60.5% of their passes against Dallas, the 4th lowest rate in the league.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 42 (Bet Now)

Cowboys vs. Browns Prediction: Spread

The Cowboys’ playoff run was cut short in the NFC Wild Card round with a 48-32 loss to the Packers. Dallas finished the regular season with a 12-5 record, putting them 2nd in the NFC and 1st in the NFC East. Within the division, they were dominant with a 5-1 record. However, they struggled in the role of the underdog, going 0-4, while going 12-2 as favorites.

At home, the Cowboys were excellent, going 8-1, but they were below .500 on the road at 4-5. Their games last season had a combined average of 50.2 points, with a 10-8 record against the over/under line. Dallas went 10-4 against the spread as favorites and 0-4 as the underdog.

  • Over their last three games, the Cowboys have gone 2-1 straight up. Against the spread, they have gone 1-2 and logged an over-under record of 2-1 in these games.
  • Through their last five road contests, the Cowboys offense has averaged 24 points per game while allowing an average of 20. Dallas posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.

The Cowboys’ playoff run ended in the NFC Wild Card round with a 48-32 loss to the Packers. Dallas finished the regular season with a 12-5 record, placing them 1st in the NFC East and 2nd in the NFC. They excelled at home with an 8-1 record but were below .500 on the road at 4-5. Last season, the Cowboys were 12-2 as favorites and 0-4 as underdogs.

Against teams with winning records, the Cowboys went 4-5, while they were 8-1 against below .500 teams. Their games had an average combined scoring of 50.2 points, with an over/under record of 10-8. Dallas went 10-8 against the spread, with a 10-4 record as favorites and 0-4 as underdogs.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Cleveland have gone 3-0. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 3-0 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
  • In their last five games at home, the Browns have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 19 points per game in this stretch.
  • Free Spread Prediction Cowboys +2.5 (Bet Now)

Cowboys vs. Browns Pick: Cowboys Moneyline (+118)

For this week one matchup between the Cowboys and Browns, we have the Cowboys coming out on top by a score of 23-21. With the point spread sitting at +2.5 in favor of the Cowboys, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Cowboys to cover as road underdogs.

As for the over/under line, we have a point total of 44 in this one, making the over a great pick with the line currently sitting at 42 points.

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