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Commanders vs Giants Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 9

ByUSA Wager

Washington is favored on the road with a money line of -185 as they take on the Giants at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Giants’ money line odds are +155, and the point spread has the Commanders -3.5. The over/under line is set at 43.5 points. This week nine matchup is being televised on FOX.

Prediction at a Glance for Giants vs Commanders

  • We have the Giants winning this one by a score of 25 to 18
  • Not only do we have the Giants winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 43.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Commanders -3.5 | Giants +3.5
  • Total: 43.5
  • MoneyLine: Commanders -185 | Giants +155

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Commanders vs. Giants Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 9, the Commanders are 3rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 29.5, and they are also 3rd in total yards per game, with 396.2. They have leaned on the run game, ranking 5th in rushing attempts and 3rd in rushing yards per game (165.8). On 3rd down, they convert 46.4% of the time, which ranks 4th in the league, but they are 25th in red zone conversion percentage despite leading the NFL in red zone attempts.

Jayden Daniels threw for 326 yards and a touchdown in week 8, going 21 of 38 against the Bears. Terry McLaurin led the team with 5 catches for 125 yards, while Brian Robinson Jr. had 65 rushing yards on 16 carries. Washington scored 6 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters but failed to convert on any of their 3 red zone attempts.

Heading into week 9, the Giants’ offense ranks 25th in our power rankings and 30th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 14.6. They are 25th in the league in total yards per game (303.6) and 22nd in passing yards per game (195.1) despite ranking 5th in passing attempts. On the ground, New York is 24th in rushing yards per game (108.5) on 25.9 attempts per game. The Giants have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 34.5% of their attempts, but they rank 6th in the league in red zone conversion percentage.

Daniel Jones threw for 264 yards in week 8, completing 24 of 38 passes, but he did not throw a touchdown and had one interception. He was sacked 4 times after being sacked 7 times in week 7. Tyrone Tracy Jr. rushed for 145 yards on 20 carries in week 8, while Darius Slayton led the team in receiving with 4 catches for 108 yards.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Giants +155 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Giants Prediction: Total

Washington’s defense was tough to move the ball against through the air in their 18-15 win over the Bears, as Chicago completed just 10 passes for 111 yards. The Commanders’ defense also excelled on third down, allowing the Bears to convert just 16.7% of their third-down attempts. However, Washington did struggle to stop the run, giving up 196 yards on the ground on 34 attempts.

Despite their success against the pass, the Commanders allowed two sacks and didn’t have a great game in terms of tackles for loss. They’ll be looking to improve their run defense in their next game, as they allowed the Bears to average 5.8 yards per attempt on the ground.

In their 26-18 loss to the Steelers, the Giants’ defense allowed 426 total yards. They struggled to stop the run, giving up 167 rushing yards on 31 attempts. In the passing game, they allowed 259 yards on just 20 completions, with Pittsburgh averaging 9.2 yards per attempt.

Despite their struggles, the Giants did manage to sack the quarterback four times. However, they allowed the Steelers to convert on 46.2% of their third down attempts. Additionally, the Giants allowed Pittsburgh to complete 71.4% of their passes.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 43.5 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Giants Prediction: Spread

The Commanders head into week 9 with a 6-2 record, putting them in first place in the NFC East. After a week 6 loss to the Ravens, Washington has bounced back with two straight wins, including a 33-point victory over the Panthers in week 7 and an 18-15 win over the Bears in week 8. They covered the spread in both games, and they are now 6-1-1 ATS this season.

Washington currently has a +8.6 scoring margin, and our power rankings have them 8th in the NFL. We give them an 83.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 45.6% chance of winning the NFC East. Their O/U record is 5-3, with the under hitting in their last two games.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Washington have gone 2-1. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-0-1 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
  • In their last five road games, Washington has averaged 30 points per game while allowing 28. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-1-1.

The Giants enter week 9 against the Commanders looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 26-18 road loss to the Steelers in week 8. This dropped their record to 2-6, leaving them 4th in the NFC East. New York is 0-4 at home but 2-2 on the road, with both of their wins coming away from MetLife Stadium.

Our projections give the Giants just a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs, and they rank 29th in our NFL power rankings. They are 3-5 against the spread and have been underdogs in all of their games so far. Their O/U record is 2-6, with their games averaging 36.5 points compared to an average line of 42.

  • Across New York’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 0-3. The team’s record vs the spread was just 1-2, in addition to an over-under mark of 0-3.
  • Across their last five home contests, New York has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 22 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Giants +3.5 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Giants Pick: Giants Moneyline (+155)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Giants to cover at +3.5 in their week nine matchup against Washington. We have the Giants winning by a score of 24-17.

For this one, we are going with the under as our best bet, with a projected combined score of 41 points, just below the O/U line of 43.5.

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