Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Commanders vs Eagles Prediction & NFL Odds For The Conference Championship

ByUSA Wager

The Eagles are favored by -6 in their NFC East conference championship matchup against the Commanders on Sunday, January 26th at 3:00 ET. The game, being played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, is also being broadcast on FOX. The Eagles’ money line odds are -286, while Washington’s odds are +233. The over/under line is set at 47.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Eagles vs Commanders

  • We have the Eagles winning this one by a score of 26 to 16
  • Not only do we have the Eagles winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -6
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 47.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Commanders +6 | Eagles -6
  • Total: 47.5
  • MoneyLine: Commanders +233 | Eagles -286

Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction: MoneyLine

Jayden Daniels has been impressive in the playoffs, posting a passer rating of 122 in the divisional round against the Lions, with 299 yards and two touchdowns on 22 of 31 passing. In the wild card round, he threw for 268 yards and two touchdowns without an interception. Dyami Brown has been his top target, recording 6 catches for 98 yards in the divisional round and 5 catches for 89 yards in the wild card game.

Washington ranks 5th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 29.1 points per game, which is 4th in the NFL. They are 13th in passing yards per game (222.7) but rely heavily on the run, ranking 3rd in both rushing attempts and yards per game (151.7). Despite being 6th in 3rd-down conversions, they struggle in the red zone, ranking 28th in conversion percentage.

Philadelphia’s offense has leaned heavily on the run game, leading the NFL in rushing attempts and ranking 2nd in rushing yards per game with 184.3. Saquon Barkley has been a big part of that, rushing for 205 yards on 26 carries in the divisional round and 119 yards in the Wild Card round. Jalen Hurts threw for 128 yards on 15/20 passing vs the Rams, but he was sacked 7 times.

In terms of scoring, the Eagles rank 7th in the NFL with 27 points per game. They are 10th in 3rd-down conversions, but their red zone conversion rate of 10.3% ranks 26th in the league.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Eagles -286

Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction: Total

In their most recent game, the Washington Commanders’ defense came up with four interceptions, despite giving up 320 passing yards to the Lions. They won the game 45-31, and the Lions still managed to put up 521 yards of total offense. Washington’s run defense struggled, allowing 201 rushing yards on just 23 attempts, with Detroit averaging 8.7 yards per attempt on the ground.

Even with their struggles against the run, Washington’s defense made key plays, holding the Lions to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down and allowing just one passing touchdown. They also finished with two sacks and came out ahead in the QB hit battle by five hits.

In their 28-22 win over the Rams, the Eagles’ defense allowed 402 total yards, but they did come up with 5 sacks and held the Rams to a 37.5% conversion rate on third down. The Eagles gave up 111 rushing yards on just 21 attempts and allowed 291 yards through the air. The Rams completed 26 passes against Philadelphia, and two of those were for touchdowns.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 47.5

Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction: Spread

After finishing the regular season with a 12-5 record, the Commanders are riding a five-game winning streak, which includes a 36-33 win over the Eagles in week 16. Washington was a 4-point underdog in that game but came away with the victory, and they also covered the spread in their 30-24 win over the Falcons in week 17. In week 18, they beat the Cowboys 23-19, but they didn’t cover the 7-point spread.

Washington ranks 6th in our power rankings and was 10th heading into week 3. They have an average scoring margin of +5.8 points per game and are 12-6-1 against the spread. Their O/U record is 12-7, with their games averaging 52.4 points compared to an average line of 46.7.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Washington have gone 3-0. In these games, they have a 2-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Across their five previous road games, Washington has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-1 while averaging 25 points per game.

Philadelphia finished the regular season 14-3, going 5-1 in the NFC East and 11-3 in the conference. They rank 1st in the division and 2nd in the NFC. The Eagles have won two straight, including a 20-13 win over the Giants in week 18 and a 41-7 win over the Cowboys in week 17. Their last loss was a 36-33 defeat to the Commanders in week 16.

Heading into the playoffs, the Eagles rank 5th in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +9.4 and are 12-7 ATS this season. Their O/U record is 8-11, with their games averaging 44.6 points compared to a 44.9-point line.

  • Philadelphia has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Across their last five home contests, Philadelphia has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 33 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Eagles -6

Commanders vs. Eagles Pick: Eagles -6

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Eagles to cover at home, as they are currently sitting at -6 point favorites in this week three postseason matchup against Washington. Even though the Eagles are the underdogs, we have them winning by a score of 25-15.

For this one, we have a few different picks, starting with taking the Eagles to cover at home. As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 47.5 points, we have a prediction of 40 combined points, making the under a good pick.

Similar Posts