Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Commanders vs Bengals Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 3

ByUSA Wager

The Bengals are heavily favored in their week three matchup against the Commanders, with a money line of -382. The game, set for 8:15 ET on Monday, September 23rd, will be televised on ABC. The Commanders are +298 on the money line, and the point spread has the Bengals as -7.5 point favorites. The over/under line is 48.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Bengals vs Commanders

  • We have the Commanders winning this one by a score of 32 to 24
  • Not only do we have the Commanders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +7.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 48.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Commanders +7.5 | Bengals -7.5
  • Total: 48.5
  • MoneyLine: Commanders +298 | Bengals -382

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Commanders vs. Bengals Prediction: MoneyLine

The Commanders’ offense put up 215 rushing yards on 35 attempts in their 21-18 win over the Giants, including a 133-yard performance from Brian Robinson Jr. Jayden Daniels, filling in at quarterback, completed 23 of 29 passes for 226 yards and was not sacked. However, Washington failed to find the endzone through the air.

Washington finished the game with 22 first downs and 210 yards passing. Daniels also ran for 44 yards. On the receiving end, Zach Ertz led the team with 62 yards on four catches.

The Bengals’ offense recorded 18 first downs in their 26-25 loss to the Chiefs, with Joe Burrow throwing for 258 yards and two touchdowns. Burrow completed 63% of his passes and was sacked three times. Cincinnati managed only 74 yards on 22 rushing attempts and struggled on third down, converting just 30.8% of their chances.

Mike Gesicki led the team with 91 receiving yards, including a 37-yard catch. Zack Moss was the top rusher with 34 yards. The Bengals’ passing game gained 246 yards, averaging 6.8 yards per attempt.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Commanders +298 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Bengals Prediction: Total

In their 21-18 win over the Giants, Washington’s defense allowed 175 passing yards on 16 completions. The Giants finished with 304 total yards against them, with 129 coming on just 22 rushing attempts. Despite this, the Commanders’ defense allowed two passing touchdowns and struggled on third downs, allowing the Giants to convert 50% of their third down attempts. They also had just one sack and a -8 differential in tackles for loss.

In their 26-25 loss to the Chiefs, the Bengals’ defense gave up 149 rushing yards on 32 attempts, which included a long run of 51 yards. Despite this, they held Kansas City to just 137 passing yards. The Bengals’ defense also forced two interceptions and limited the Chiefs to a 12.5% third-down conversion rate.

However, the Bengals did allow two passing touchdowns and the Chiefs finished with a 72% completion rate. Overall, the Bengals’ defense did a good job of limiting the Chiefs’ passing game, but struggled to stop the run at times.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 48.5 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Bengals Prediction: Spread

Washington is now 1-1 after their 21-18 win over the Giants. The Commanders were favored by -1.5 and with the 3-point win, they also covered the spread. The game was capped off by a late 30-yard field goal from Austin Seibert to give the Commanders the win. The combined 39 points was just under the over/under line of 43 points.

Devin Singletary’s 7-yard touchdown run gave the Giants a 6-3 lead in the first quarter. Washington fought back to take a 15-12 lead in the 3rd quarter after Jayden Daniels found Zach Ertz for a touchdown in the 2nd quarter and a couple of field goals from Austin Seibert. The Giants tied it at 18 in the 4th, but Seibert added a late field goal to give Washington the win.

  • The Commanders have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. The team’s record vs the spread was just 1-2, in addition to an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • Through their last five road contests, the Commanders offense has averaged 20 points per game while allowing an average of 33. Washington posted an overall record of 0-5 while going 2-3 ATS.

The Bengals are now 0-2 after a tough 26-25 loss to the Chiefs, in which they gave up a late lead in the 4th quarter. Cincinnati was on the road for this one and heading into the game they were +6.5 point underdogs. Even though they lost, they did manage to cover the spread with their one-point loss. The game finished with a combined 51 points, going over the total line of 47.5 points.

Cincinnati was up 26-25 heading into the 4th quarter, and they also held a 22-17 lead going into the 4th. The Bengals had a chance to extend their lead in the 4th but missed a field goal with just over two minutes left, giving the Chiefs the chance to win, and they did just that with a field goal from Harrison Butker with 48 seconds left. This was a tough loss for the Bengals, as they had a great chance to pick up their first win of the season.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Cincinnati have gone 2-1. However, they have only gone 1-1-1 vs. the spread over this stretch. Their over-under record in these three games was 2-1.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Bengals offense has averaged 21 points per game while allowing an average of 30. Cincinnati posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • Free Spread Prediction Commanders +7.5 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Bengals Pick: Commanders Moneyline (+298)

Our model has Washington coming out on top by a score of 32-24 in their week three matchup against the Bengals. With the point spread sitting at +7.5 in favor of Washington, we like them to cover as road underdogs.

For this one, we also have a strong lean towards taking the over, as the current O/U line is 48.5 points, and our projections have these teams combining for 56 points.

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