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Colts vs Vikings Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 9

ByUSA Wager

The Colts and Vikings will face off on Sunday, November 3rd at 8:20 ET on NBC. The Vikings are favored in this one, with their money line sitting at -240. The Colts’ money line odds are +197, and the over/under line is at 46.5 points. This week nine non-conference matchup is being played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN.

Prediction at a Glance for Vikings vs Colts

  • We have the Colts winning this one by a score of 22 to 17
  • Not only do we have the Colts winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 46.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Colts +5 | Vikings -5
  • Total: 46.5
  • MoneyLine: Colts +197 | Vikings -240

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Colts vs. Vikings Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 9, the Colts rank 21st in our offensive power rankings. They are 19th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.9, and 16th in yards per game, with 326. Indianapolis ranks 20th in passing yards per game (198) and 19th in passing attempts per game (30.2). On the ground, they are 11th in rushing yards per game (128) on 27 attempts per game. The Colts are 19th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 37.6%, and they rank 17th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 9th in red zone attempts. Indianapolis has been strong in the 1st quarter, ranking 5th in the league in points scored.

In week 8, Anthony Richardson threw for 175 yards (10/32) with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. He was sacked 5 times in the loss to the Texans. Jonathan Taylor rushed for 105 yards on 20 carries, and Josh Downs had 4 catches for 109 yards and a touchdown. The Colts scored 10 points in the 1st quarter but struggled on 3rd down, converting just 2 of 13 attempts.

Heading into week 9, the Vikings rank 12th in our offensive power rankings. They are 7th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.9, and lead the league in first-quarter scoring. Minnesota is 16th in passing yards per game (213.6) and 22nd in rushing yards per game (111.4), with Sam Darnold’s 240-yard performance in week 8 coming on 18/25 passing with 2 touchdowns and no interceptions.

Justin Jefferson had 8 catches for 115 yards in week 8, and Aaron Jones rushed for 58 yards on 19 carries. Minnesota’s offense struggled on 3rd down, converting only 2 of 7 attempts, but they scored on 2 of 4 red zone trips.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Colts +197 (Bet Now)

Colts vs. Vikings Prediction: Total

In their 23-20 loss to the Texans, the Colts’ defense allowed 267 passing yards on 25 completions. Despite this, they did hold Houston to a 30.8% third-down conversion rate. The Colts gave up 363 total yards, with their run defense allowing 96 yards on 29 attempts.

Indianapolis’ defense recorded two sacks and had five more tackles for loss than the Texans. However, the Colts allowed Houston to complete 67.6% of their passes and score one passing touchdown.

In their 30-20 loss to the Rams, the Vikings’ defense gave up four passing touchdowns and allowed an opposing completion percentage of 73.5%. They gave up 279 passing yards and struggled to defend the big play, as the Rams averaged 8.2 yards per passing attempt. Minnesota’s defense failed to record any sacks in the game.

On the ground, the Vikings did a better job, limiting the Rams to 107 yards on 32 attempts (3.3 yards per attempt). Despite this, the Rams found success through the air, making it tough for the Vikings to get off the field, allowing the Rams to convert 40% of their third down attempts.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 46.5 (Bet Now)

Colts vs. Vikings Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 9, the Colts sit at 4-4, putting them 2nd in the AFC South. We give them a 64.0% chance of making the playoffs and a 15.7% chance of winning the division. In our power rankings, Indianapolis is 9th. They are 3-1 at home but just 1-3 on the road. The Colts couldn’t get their second road win in week 8, losing 23-20 to the Texans. However, they did cover the spread as 5-point underdogs, bringing their ATS record to 7-1 this season.

Indy has covered the spread in six straight games, including a 6-point win over the Dolphins in week 7. They were favored by 3 points in that matchup. The O/U line was 44, but the teams combined for just 26 points, marking the Colts’ third straight under. Their O/U record is 3-5 this season.

  • Indianapolis has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 3-0. Their over-under record in these games was 0-3.
  • Indianapolis has a 1-4 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 18 points per game while allowing 24. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.

After starting the season 5-0, the Vikings have dropped two straight, including a 30-20 loss to the Rams in week 8. Minnesota was favored by 2.5 points but couldn’t get the win, bringing their record to 5-2. They now sit 3rd in the NFC North and 6th in the conference standings. Our projections give them a 67.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 10.5% chance of winning the division.

Heading into week 9, the Vikings rank 11th in our NFL power rankings. Their average scoring margin this season is +7.3, and they are 5-2 against the spread. They have failed to cover in two straight games, including a week 7 loss to the Lions. Their O/U record is 3-4, with the over hitting in their last two games.

  • Through their last three games, the Vikings have a record of 2-1. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 1-2 in those same games.
  • In their last five games at home, the Vikings have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-2-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 24 points per game in these contests.
  • Free Spread Prediction Colts +5 (Bet Now)

Colts vs. Vikings Pick: Colts Moneyline (+197)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Colts to cover as road underdogs in this week nine matchup between the Colts and Vikings. The point spread line is currently at +5 in favor of the Colts, and we have them winning 22-21.

For this matchup, we have a point-spread pick and an over/under pick. With the line sitting at 46.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 43 points.

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