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Colts vs Patriots Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 13

ByUSA Wager

The Patriots are +128 on the money line as they host the Colts on Sunday, December 1st at 1:00 ET. The Colts are favored with a money line of -151 and a point spread of -2.5. The over/under line is set at 42.5 points. This week 13 AFC matchup is being televised on CBS. The Patriots’ and Colts’ records are not included in this information.

Prediction at a Glance for Patriots vs Colts

  • We have the Colts winning this one by a score of 22 to 19
  • Not only do we have the Colts winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -2.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 42.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Colts -2.5 | Patriots +2.5
  • Total: 42.5
  • MoneyLine: Colts -151 | Patriots +128

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Colts vs. Patriots Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 13, the Colts’ offense ranks 25th in our power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in points per game (20.2) and 22nd in yards per game (316.3). Indianapolis is 23rd in passing attempts, averaging 199.7 passing yards per game, and they rank 17th in rushing yards per game with 116.7. On 3rd down, the Colts are 23rd in the league with a 36% conversion rate, and they are 16th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 10th in red zone attempts.

In week 12, the Colts struggled offensively, scoring just 6 points in a loss to the Lions. Anthony Richardson threw for 172 yards on 11/28 passing, and Michael Pittman Jr. led the team with 96 receiving yards. Richardson also rushed for 61 yards. The Colts failed to score in the 2nd half and converted only 3 of 12 3rd-down attempts, while going 0/2 in the red zone.

Heading into week 13, the Patriots rank 29th in the NFL in scoring, with 16.4 points per game, and they sit at the bottom of the league in passing yards, averaging 167.2 per game. They also rank 32nd in total yards per game, with 280.1. On the ground, New England is 21st in rushing yards per game, with 112.8, on 25.9 attempts per game.

Drake Maye threw for 222 yards (22/37) and a touchdown in week 12, but he also had an interception and was sacked four times. The Patriots struggled on third down, converting just 3 of 14 attempts, and they didn’t reach the red zone in their loss to Miami. After being shut out for three quarters, New England scored 15 points in the 4th quarter.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Colts -151 (Bet Now)

Colts vs. Patriots Prediction: Total

In their 24-6 loss to the Lions, the Colts’ defense allowed 390 yards and struggled to get off the field on third downs, allowing a 60% conversion rate. Despite this, they did manage to come up with three sacks and held the Lions to 4.2 yards per attempt on the ground.

The Colts allowed 253 passing yards and 26 completions to Detroit, but did not give up any passing touchdowns. Their defense also forced the Lions into a 72.2% completion percentage.

In their 34-15 loss to the Dolphins, the Patriots’ defense gave up 308 passing yards and allowed Miami to complete 72.5% of their passes. They struggled to defend the big play, giving up four passing touchdowns and 7.7 yards per passing attempt. Despite this, they did hold the Dolphins to a 33.3% third-down conversion rate.

On the ground, the Patriots were more successful, allowing just 65 rushing yards on 24 attempts (2.7 yards per attempt). They managed two sacks but lost the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials in the game.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 42.5 (Bet Now)

Colts vs. Patriots Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 13, the Colts sit at 5-7, placing them 2nd in the AFC South. They have a 1-3 record in the division and are 4-4 in conference play. After a week 11 win over the Jets, Indy couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing 24-6 to the Lions in week 12. The Colts were 7-point underdogs at home but couldn’t cover the spread, dropping their ATS record to 8-4.

According to our power rankings, the Colts rank 25th in the league, and we give them a 22.6% chance of making the playoffs. Their average scoring margin this season is -2.7 points per game, and their O/U record is 5-7, with their games averaging 43 points per contest.

  • Indianapolis has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). The team’s record vs the spread was just 1-2, in addition to an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • Indianapolis has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 23 points per game while allowing 25. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.

Heading into week 13, the Patriots have lost two straight games, including a 34-15 defeat to the Dolphins in week 12. This dropped New England to 3-9, leaving them 14th in our NFL power rankings and giving them a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. The Patriots are 1-4 at home and 2-5 on the road, with their last win coming in week 10 against the Bears.

New England has an average scoring margin of -7.1 points per game and is 4-7-1 against the spread. They have been underdogs in all of their games so far. Their O/U record is 7-5, with the over hitting in two straight games.

  • New England has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). Their record vs the spread sits at 1-2 in these matchups, while posting a 3-0 over-under mark.
  • Across their five previous home games, New England has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 16 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Colts -2.5 (Bet Now)

Colts vs. Patriots Pick: Colts -2.5

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Colts to cover as road favorites in this week 13 matchup between the Colts and Patriots. Currently, the Colts are sitting at -2.5 point favorites, and we have them winning by a score of 22-16.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 42.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under with a projected combined score of 38 points.

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